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RBA Stands Ready to Hike if Needed Despite Market Pricing Lower Rates, June 30 Minutes Show

GateNews
Forex
According to Jin10, Australia's central bank meeting minutes released on June 30 indicate the Reserve Bank of Australia remains prepared to raise interest rates if necessary to eliminate excess demand in the economy. However, markets currently price only a 10 basis point chance of further tightening by year-end and see a 17 basis point probability of easing in 2027, creating a stark disconnect with the RBA's hawkish stance. The contradiction reflects market conviction that rates have likely peaked, while the RBA maintains its tightening bias. Falling home prices in Sydney and Melbourne add domestic growth risks, potentially reinforcing market expectations for eventual rate cuts despite the central bank's hawkish guidance.
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