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U.S. April CPI Expected to Hit 3.7%, Highest Since September 2023, as Rental Adjustment Adds 0.1 Percentage Points

GateNews

2026-05-12 07:54:18

According to Wrightson ICAP chief economist Lou Crandall and the U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics, April’s consumer price index is expected to rise 3.7% year-over-year on May 12, marking the largest increase since September 2023. Core CPI, which excludes food and energy, is projected to increase 0.3% month-over-month, likely rounding to 0.4%.

The Bureau of Labor Statistics plans a one-time adjustment to rental and owner’s equivalent rent data. Crandall stated that April’s report will incorporate actual data from this rental sample, which should drive a notable catch-up effect. This special factor is expected to add approximately 0.1 percentage points to core CPI growth for the month.

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