According to Bloomberg strategist Simon White, U.S. banks' exposure to hedge funds and non-bank financial institutions has surged to approximately $4.5 trillion from roughly $2 trillion four years ago. Average hedge fund leverage has nearly doubled since 2022, with collateral heavily concentrated in volatile artificial intelligence stocks.
White warned that if a deleveraging event triggers, banks will shift from "shock absorbers" to "amplifiers," causing forced liquidations and margin calls to reinforce destructive feedback loops. The analyst flagged rising margin debt at $1.4 trillion and equity leverage financing costs as key early warning indicators of market stress.