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U.S. Headline CPI Falls 0.4% in June, Fed Rate-Cut Odds Plummet to 15.5% on July 15

2026-07-15 02:23:13

CME-0.62%

According to the U.S. Department of Labor, headline CPI fell 0.4% month-over-month in June, significantly below market expectations of 0.1%, on July 15. Core CPI also came in flat, missing the forecast of a 0.2% increase. Following the softer-than-expected data, the probability of a Federal Reserve rate cut this month dropped sharply to 15.5% from 41.7% a day earlier, according to CME FedWatch futures. In South Korea, government bond futures rose in response: the 3-year contract climbed 15 basis points to 102.87, while the 10-year contract gained 25 basis points to 105.30. U.S. Treasury yields also declined, with the 2-year and 10-year rates falling 8.8 basis points and 3.3 basis points respectively.

Disclaimer: The information on this page may come from third-party sources and is for reference only. It does not represent the views or opinions of Gate and does not constitute any financial, investment, or legal advice. Virtual asset trading involves high risk. Please do not rely solely on the information on this page when making decisions. For details, see the Disclaimer.

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