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These days, I see everyone chasing hot topics and rotating them again.
I’ve stuck a sticky note on myself: Don’t be a delivery rider for attention, delivering daily and even losing money on gas.
Honestly, the faster the hot topic, the easier it is to cycle through “just understood → rush in → get harvested.”
My approach is pretty old-fashioned: first, see who’s adding ingredients to the pot on the blockchain (new funds or old addresses moving), then check the heat (whether trading volume is suddenly ignited), and finally look at the timing of the pot (who runs first before and after the event).
Recently, before and after major public chain upgrades/maintenance, everyone in the group was guessing whether the ecosystem would migrate.
I’d rather focus on whether there are anomalies in bridges and exchange deposits and withdrawals.
Anyway, I’d rather miss out on a part than always be the last one to take over…
That’s all for now.