#世界盃冠軍預測

France is currently the favorite to win the 2026 World Cup in the United States, Canada, and Mexico.

The tournament has officially entered the quarterfinal (round of 8) stage, with traditional powerhouses such as Portugal, Brazil, Germany, and the Netherlands all eliminated.

Below are the latest predictions and analyses from major data institutions and international bookmakers: The latest 2026 World Cup championship odds and probabilities, calculated based on data from The New York Times (The Athletic) and Opta's supercomputer. The current quarterfinal power rankings and situation are as follows:

National team championship favorability / Current odds and predictive analysis
France (France) Championship favorite (+180) Strongest squad depth, supercomputer calculates championship probability as high as 31.42%, firmly ranked first.

Spain (Spain) Second favorite (+160) Has shown extremely strong dominance in this tournament, not even conceding a single goal yet. After eliminating Portugal in the round of 16, their championship favorability has surpassed Argentina.
Argentina (Argentina) Third favorite (+390) The defending champion staged a thrilling 3:2 comeback victory against Egypt in the round of 16. Messi's leadership resilience keeps the outside world optimistic about their championship chances (probability about 15.47%).
England (England) Fourth favorite (+154 odds to reach final) Traditional European powerhouse, extremely high overall squad value, will face Norway led by Haaland in the quarterfinals.
Norway (Norway) Biggest dark horse (15-1) Relying on star striker Haaland's superb goal-scoring performance, they shocked five-time champion Brazil in the round of 16. They are the most favored team among all countries that have never won the World Cup.