# CME观察

📊 CME's latest forecast: The probability of the Federal Reserve holding steady in June reaches 98.1%, and expectations of a rate hike in July are rising!
According to the latest data from CME's "Federal Reserve Watch," influenced by the previously strong non-farm payroll data, market expectations for Fed rate cuts have completely bottomed out:
* June decision: The probability of maintaining the current interest rate is as high as 98.1%, with only a 1.9% chance of a rate cut, making a hold this month a certainty.
* July outlook: The probability of keeping rates unchanged is 84.7%; notably, the