LiuJinjue

The current market is choppy and fluctuating in a sideways range. The larger timeframe is still in a bearish trend. 63500 is short-term strong resistance and also a turning point. If, in the short term, it cannot break above and stabilize, then it can be regarded as a technical rebound. Once the energy is exhausted, it will inevitably fall back to pull back and readjust!
So in the short term, you can rely on the 63500 resistance to sell short when prices rally and look for a pullback. Downside target: 62000. If it breaks, watch 61000-60200.

World's largest retail-investor-scam coin:
TRUMP dropped from a market cap of 10 billion to 400 million, and the largest receiving address profited $39.88 million
Bought at $0.53, sold at $30, truly made a killing.
This is the capitalist trick!
When it first came out a year ago, people all over the world bought like crazy. Now many have lost everything.
In fact, there are only two cryptocurrencies that have real value: BTC and ETH. All others require caution!
Coins like TRUMP may only have one outcome next: going to zero!#BTC #ETH

Currently, the short-term Ethereum bias is bullish from the hourly perspective; the MA50 and MA200 hourly moving averages are still pressing downward, the medium-term bearish structure has not reversed, and recent movements are a technical rebound after a sharp decline, not a trend reversal to bullish.
The bullish upward momentum is gradually weakening, with signs of bearish divergence. The Bollinger Bands are slightly opening, the price is running close to the upper band, volatility is expanding, and there is a need for a pullback to the middle band at any time. The high-level turn signals an

Currently, Bitcoin's short-term hourly rebound is entering its final stage, with clear short-term pullback pressure. The probability of a retracement under pressure at 63500 is higher!
If it cannot continue to break through the 63500 resistance with volume, it will retrace to the 62200-61000 support zone.
If it breaks out with volume in the short term and firmly holds above 63500, it will open upside space to the 65000-66000 line.#比特币

Although network activity has surged recently, the spot price of SOL faces strong technical resistance in the 82–85 range.
If it fails to break through and consolidate above this zone, SOL may retreat to strong support targets near 73 and 65, especially against the backdrop of overall crypto market liquidity continuing to be pressured by historic ETF outflows.

Although it has rebounded slightly from the 21-month low of 57,800, Bitcoin's overall market structure remains weak as its 200-day moving average continues to slope downward.
Everyone should still remain cautious. If it cannot decisively break through and hold the strong resistance zone of 63,000 to 64,000, there is likely to be a risk of a pullback to the critical support of 58,000, which could open the door to a decline into the 56,200 to 53,000 range.

Don’t get bogged down in the chop—save your strength for the breakout. A grinding, sideways range wears people out; quietly wait for the moment to choose the right direction and confirm it.
Price swings back and forth test your discipline—keep your position and you win. In a ranging market, it’s a contest of patience; in a trending market, it’s a contest of resolve and decisive conviction—show what you’ve got.

Every time, someone says the four-year Bitcoin cycle has failed. What do you think?
The average historical drawdown after halving is about 70%, and the average time to bottom is about 12 months.
The fifth halving is in March 2028. Based on this trend, projecting this cycle:
Price dimension: This cycle's peak is approximately $124,000, with an average drawdown of 70%, so the bottom is roughly between $37,000 and $43,000.
Time dimension: Peak in October 2025. Adding 12 months, the bottom is approximately in Q4 2026.

Currently, Bitcoin is closely watching the important resistance level at 63,000. If it breaks and holds above, it is expected to extend the rebound momentum to the 65,500-66,000 resistance area.
However, from the daily and 4-hour timeframes, the long-term bearish trend has not changed. The current rebound does not show sustained volume increase, and 63,000 is a strong short-term resistance level. Holding this level will require some time to consolidate, so it is more likely to see a range-bound adjustment in the short term.
The support below is in the 61,000-60,200 area. Therefore, in the shor

In the short term, Bitcoin has been continuously recovering, and the hourly chart also shows a top divergence signal. Therefore, for tonight, we should not overly expect the recovery to continue, but need to pay attention to the possible technical pullback demand, and may even give back the recent rally space.
Therefore, tonight we can maintain a view of a relatively strong oscillation for Bitcoin, but in actual operations, we can slightly focus on shorting at highs.
Method: Short near 62000-62300, if further rises to 62800, lightly add, still look down to 61000-60200-59600.

Ethereum, don’t be afraid of heights! Brave jump!
A drop of 20-40 meters, to 1715-1700—no big deal!

Don’t ask me how to read Bitcoin’s short-term moves!
Ask yourself whether you dare to short! Looking down at 61000-60200

XRP hit a 19-month low of 1.01 in late June and is currently facing heavy resistance around 1.07; it remains extremely fragile.
Once it falls below the key support level of 1.00, it could trigger a chain reaction and drive the price down into the 0.80 to 0.85 range.

Since mid-June, this is arguably the first truly strong week for Bitcoin.
It has been hovering just below the 62000 resistance level for a long time without breaking through. Watch out! This is building up to a big move! 🫢

Due to the US market being closed for the holiday, market activity likely won’t be very high. That also means it may provide a short-term buffer for the market. So for today’s Bitcoin trade, price can be handled in the 60200-62000 range for a very short-term plan: go long at the low and short at the high, but be sure to keep it strictly to ultra-short-term only!
Method: In the 61800-62200 area, you can take a short trade once for a quick scalp. Targets on the downside: 61000-60200-59600.

Although Bitcoin has broken through the 62,000 resistance level at the moment, today is a special situation: the U.S. market is closed. In the short term, it cannot keep pushing higher with sustained strength. Most likely, it will choose to range-trade and oscillate around the 60,200–62,000 area.
So today, do not blindly follow yesterday’s rebound. It’s better to stay steady and look for consolidation and oscillation.

Ethereum ends a streak of three consecutive quarterly declines, with a strong rebound at the start of Q3. Ethereum has logged a historically rare move—marking the first time ever that it has closed lower for three straight quarters.
After the third quarter begins, the voyage sees a clear turnaround, entering a strong “repair and recovery” mode. On the evening of July 2, the release of non-farm payroll data sparked volatility in the market, and Ethereum broke through the $1,700 level, fully reversing the short-term weakness.
This swift rebound has put severe pressure on market shorts. Well-know

In the short term, Ethereum seems to perform more strongly than Bitcoin, but the movement early this morning clearly carries a heavy emotional tone.
Technically, this rally has also triggered overbought signals on the hourly chart, so do not have too high expectations for this rally in the short term; instead, be cautious of the risk of the market facing pressure and giving back gains.
For now, first watch the battle around the hourly trendline at 1745-1765; if it breaks through, then look at the resistance near the previous minor high of 1780, but the likelihood of a breakout is low, and it i

Bitcoin is currently consolidating in a narrow range. Thanks to yesterday’s strong non-farm data, the short-term trading momentum has rebounded and broken through the 62,000 level, with a high reaching around 62,200.
When many people see the data come in strong, their first reaction is, no matter the highs and lows, to chase longs. But the one thing the market likes to do most is to flush a wave right when everyone’s emotions have just started to rise.
Around 57,700 is the low point of this short-term move, and around 60,000 is the emotional turning point. Yesterday it rebounded again and went

Everyone said Bitcoin 62000 still couldn’t hold steady—going up is still weak and has no momentum! Isn’t the high-level short position just going to eat again?