CryptoCircleHuaTuo

The bullish momentum has clearly weakened, and the current rebound strength continues to diminish, making it difficult for the structure to support an effective reversal. The entry zone preset yesterday missed by about 300 points, but the overall directional judgment was not biased.
Currently, the price is oscillating around the 70,000 level during the European session. From a structural perspective, upward momentum is insufficient, and there is still a need for further short-term correction. Pay close attention to the support at the 68,800 level. If this level is effectively broken downward,

Trump's five-day negotiation has entered its fourth day. Based on current progress, the market has not received any substantial easing signals, and oil prices have not shown any significant decline. As repeatedly emphasized before, oil prices are the most direct and authentic pricing indicator for war expectations, with more reference value than any news. Now oil prices remain at elevated levels, which essentially indicates that the situation has not truly cooled down.
This week's overall market rhythm has been slow, with obvious back-and-forth movements, making very high demands on trading pa

Trump's five-day negotiation has entered its fourth day. Based on the current progress, the market has not seen any substantial signals of easing, and oil prices have not shown any significant decline. I have repeatedly emphasized before that oil prices are the most direct and genuine indicator of war expectations, more valuable for reference than any news. Currently, oil prices remain high, which essentially indicates that the situation has not truly cooled down.
This week, the overall market trend has been slow, with very obvious fluctuations back and forth, demanding a high level of patienc

Current market trading volume continues to contract, with significantly decreased fund participation and overall weak sentiment. In the absence of incremental capital driving the market, the short term tends toward range-bound price action, with a lower probability of one-sided trending moves.
Based on the current chart structure and liquidity distribution, operationally prioritize a bearish approach at higher levels:
Short Entry Zone: 72300 – 72600
First Target: 70366
Second Target: 69500

Trump, in the end, many of his moves look like even he doesn't know what he's saying, leaving the market equally confused. But don't mistake him for an idiot—this type of person is actually a classic example of "the wise appear foolish."
It's more like playing GTO poker in Texas. When you're supposed to bluff, you have to let people catch you a few times so the market believes your value bets are genuine later. Otherwise, no one will call your hand.
So the key has never been what's said, but how the money moves.
If war keeps escalating but oil prices keep getting crushed, it means the market d

Overall, Trump's every move has indeed become the most sensitive "pricing anchor" in the current market. Market volatility nowadays is essentially not just about reading candlesticks anymore, but rather trading policy expectations and changes in geopolitical situations.
Looking at this rally from a macro perspective, the US is actually bearing multiple accumulated pressures—the economy, inflation, plus external conflicts—none of which are easy.
Essentially, it's about buying time while alleviating short-term pressure and creating space for the subsequent Iran landing strategy moves.
Trump can

Did Chuanzi stir up trouble again over the weekend? What's the market outlook going forward?
The situation has now reached an awkward position. From a policy-making perspective, the issue is no longer "whether to take action," but rather that choosing either action or inaction will inevitably incur corresponding political and economic costs. For the market, against the backdrop of conflicts not yet materializing substantively but continuing to escalate on the edge, pricing logic is also undergoing a shift.
The core of trading has shifted from short-term sentiment speculation toward systematic

The market has shown initial signs of a stabilization in decline, with small-timeframe momentum indicators beginning to shift from weak to strong. The short-cycle structure is gradually repairing, indicating that BTC is likely to enter a technical rebound phase. As the lower-level trend strengthens, the rebound momentum will transmit to higher timeframes, and the 12-hour bearish structure may be gradually weakened or even dismantled.
Overall, the correction since Wednesday has probably entered its final stage. The current market is transitioning from an adjustment phase to a recovery phase. Tr

Hope all my shorting friends are doing well. I emphasized repeatedly in previous days that shorting near key resistance levels that were effectively broken through last week essentially amounts to trading against the trend. The current market structure is a typical trend correction phase. If short positions lack strict profit-taking discipline, they are easily depleted repeatedly by the continuously rising support structure lows, ultimately resulting in either passive stop-losses or deep losses.
Since last week, it has been clear that short positions are only suitable for short-term speculatio

Since the weekend, I've been emphasizing one key point: the current stage lacks the cost-performance ratio to continue shorting, and the trend has been gradually shifting toward a rebound structure.
From a technical perspective, the pullback magnitude over consecutive days has clearly narrowed, indicating that bearish momentum is being continuously consumed and selling pressure is diminishing at the margin. Meanwhile, each price dip is being quickly absorbed, reflecting sustained buying interest at lower levels. Market liquidity is tilting toward the bulls, which is a typical signal of trend s

Since the weekend, I've already given you a clear reminder that this rebound trend hasn't ended. The market structure has gradually shifted from pure technical bounce-back to a trend recovery phase. Many people were still blindly looking for a pullback around 66000, but based on the on-chart fund absorption and the structure of constantly rising lows, the bears' advantage has actually been weakening for a while now.
The current price has successfully held firmly above the 73600 level. This position isn't just a breakthrough of short-term resistance, but rather a position that confirms stage tr

From the overall market structure over the weekend, although the rebound strength is not extreme, the structure still shows very strong performance. The 70200 level was tested only once before quickly stabilizing, and subsequently lower points kept rising, forming a typical step-by-step upward structure. This indicates that market absorption capital remains sufficient, with clear signs of bullish control.
I already repeatedly emphasized yesterday that at the current stage, I do not recommend blindly shorting. Even if participating in short-term shorts, one must primarily use short-term thinkin

Sol's multi-position layout range is 87.2-85.3. It seems there shouldn't be much problem eating up near 99. After breaking the previous low of 85, losses occurred.
#Gate广场AI测评官
#Gate2月衍生品市场份额创新高
#加密市场上涨
$SOL

Looking at the current daily structure, the market is gradually forming a relatively clear rebound pattern. I have repeatedly emphasized that Bitcoin's performance at this stage is significantly stronger than traditional risk assets, and its capital absorption capacity is also notably superior. Last week's market performance has already provided similar signals, with macro-level headwinds failing to truly break through the structure.
The weekend market released news about the possibility of continued conflict, which is essentially pre-digesting bearish sentiment. Once this expectation was full

Some opportunities don't require much explanation.
Those who understand will naturally come,
Those who don't understand won't benefit from explanations anyway.
Limited seats
#Gate广场AI测评官
#Gate2月衍生品市场份额创新高
#加密市场上涨
$BTC
$ETH

Based on pre-conflict data, the correlation between BTC and the Nasdaq once reached as high as 0.75, making it almost a "high Beta mirror asset" of US tech stocks—whenever the Nasdaq rose or fell, BTC typically amplified the move in sync.
However, the market structure changes in this post-conflict cycle are remarkably evident, with correlation rapidly declining and even experiencing phases of decoupling.
This can be seen from the performance of macro variables:
Oil prices surged 33%, and according to traditional risk asset logic, BTC theoretically should have experienced around a 20% pullback,

The market is like a battlefield, and decisive decision-making often determines the height of returns. Last night, based on chart structure and capital flow, I laid out short positions in advance. ETH successfully pulled back as expected, capturing approximately 40 points of movement, and today's midday strategy was successfully executed.
The core of trading has never been blindly chasing rallies and selling dips. Rather, it's about improving the win rate and risk-reward ratio of each trade through structural analysis, capital flow assessment, and precise positioning at key levels.
#Gate广场AI测评

US Unemployment Rate Expected to Rise Further:
In February, 11% of American small businesses cited "poor sales" as the most important problem they face, a proportion close to the highest level since 2020.
This is the fourth most mentioned problem, behind only taxes, labor quality, and inflation.
Over the past three years, this proportion has tripled and currently reaches levels seen during previous economic recessions.
Historically, this has been a leading indicator of rising unemployment, as small businesses are the largest employers in the economy.
This means unemployment could spike from it

From the current market structure perspective, Bitcoin's short-term trend is significantly stronger than peripheral risk assets. Although U.S. stocks experienced a notable pullback yesterday, the crypto market did not show synchronized panic selling, indicating that core funds in the market have not experienced obvious withdrawal at this stage, but rather maintain a relatively stable state.
On the macro level, the Middle East situation remains tense, and the conflict between the U.S., Israel, and Iran will likely be difficult to resolve quickly in the short term. Based on historical experience