币圈掘金人

Ethereum Surges 300 Points in Six Days: How Far Can the Bulls Go Before the FOMC Meeting?
Ethereum has climbed from $1,741 to around $1,830 over six trading sessions, accumulating gains of over 300 points. However, with the FOMC meeting approaching on July 30 at 2:00 AM (Beijing time), the market stands at a critical crossroads. New Fed Chair Kevin Warsh delivered a strongly hawkish signal in his June debut, with the dot plot showing half of officials supporting a rate hike this year, completely reversing expectations of a rate cut. This article combines the latest market data and macro policy

BTC高位震荡与WLD供应拐点：7月加密市场的两个关键博弈
As of July 6, 2026, Bitcoin is hovering near $62,500 in a high consolidation zone, with ETF capital inflows and improving macro data driving a short-term rebound. However, the resistance zone at $63,500–$64,000 has yet to be effectively broken. Meanwhile, Worldcoin (WLD) is about to undergo a major adjustment in its token unlock mechanism on July 24—daily releases will drop from 5.1 million to 2.9 million, a 43% decline. This structural supply-side change is being significantly underestimated by the market. This article deeply dissects these two most noteworthy博弈

BTC 63,537: Volume is the Only Key Variable Today — the Rebound Structure Is Solidifying, but Direction Is Not Yet Confirmed
Bitcoin is currently consolidating around $63,537. On the 4-hour timeframe, it presents a three-indicator resonance pattern: the price standing above both moving averages, a golden cross of the MACD with widening divergence, and the ADX trending toward the trend confirmation zone. On the spot side, there has been continuous net inflow of large orders over the past three hours, and none of the 12 consecutive candlesticks showed a red candle with sell-off volume, making th

M2 Hits All-Time High, Bitcoin Halves: A Structural Decoupling Is Unfolding
In May 2026, the U.S. M2 money supply surpassed $23 trillion for the first time, hitting a new all-time high. Yet Bitcoin's price has halved from its October 2025 peak of $126k to around $60k. U.S. spot Bitcoin ETFs recorded a record net outflow of $4.5 billion in June, the largest monthly outflow ever, and the market Fear & Greed Index plummeted to 22, indicating extreme fear. This article deeply analyzes three structural reasons behind the decoupling of M2 and Bitcoin—capital diversion, U.S. dollar strength suppressi

The Crypto Market’s Structural Divergence Intensifies: The Liquidity Trap and Ecosystem Migration Signals Behind LAB’s 136% Rally
On July 5, 2026, the cryptocurrency market showed a typical pattern of “calm macro, volatile micro.” Bitcoin consolidated narrowly around the $62,700 range, Ethereum held the $1,760 level, but the LAB token surged 136% in a single day to $16.61, becoming the market’s focus. This article provides an in-depth analysis of the structural risks behind LAB’s low-circulating-supply model, the ecosystem integration trend of Moonbeam migrating to Base, and the significance o

$62,000 Bitcoin: Oversold Trap or Golden Opportunity? Structural Reversal Signals in the Crypto Market, July 2026
In July 2026, Bitcoin hovers around $62,470, Ethereum drops to $1,756, and the RSI collectively approaches the oversold region near 30. On the surface, it looks like a continuation of the bear market, but in reality, it may be the final entry window for a new structural bull run. This article analyzes the deep logic of the current market from three dimensions—reversal of ETF fund flows, explosion of RWA (Real World Asset) tokenization, and resonance of policy catalysts—and projects

ETH 4H Bollinger Bands Pressure and MACD Shrinking Volume: Finding Structural Long Opportunities Amid Dominant Selling Pressure
In early July 2026, after experiencing three consecutive quarterly declines, Ethereum (ETH) staged a technical rebound around the $1740 range. The upper band of the 4-hour Bollinger Bands formed a clear resistance level, and the continuous shrinkage of the MACD histogram indicated weakening short-term momentum; the 1-hour order book depth imbalance (bid depth ratio of 0.40) showed dominant selling pressure, with a high probability of price retracing to the EMA20_1h ($

Macro Sentiment-Driven Crypto Market: Risk Assessment of Short-Term Technical Corrections for BTC and ETH After Rally
In early July 2026, Bitcoin and Ethereum surged strongly driven by macro sentiment, with BTC reaching a high of $62,199 and ETH hitting $1,724. However, after the Fed’s June FOMC meeting released hawkish signals, keeping the benchmark rate unchanged at 3.50%-3.75% and significantly cooling expectations for rate cuts this year, combined with severely overbought KDJ indicators and diverging MACD red bar contraction, the short-term upward momentum has clearly weakened. This articl

After the second bottom test and rebound, the tug-of-war between bulls and bears intensifies: Nonfarm payrolls become the key variable — In-depth trading strategy analysis for BTC/ETH on July 2
In early July 2026, Bitcoin quickly rebounded to around $61,300 after a second bottom test, while Ethereum recovered to the $1,640 range. However, the market remains in a state of extreme fear (Fear and Greed Index at just 11), and at the end of June, Bitcoin spot ETFs saw a single-day net outflow of $223 million, indicating cautious institutional capital sentiment. Tonight at 8:30 PM ET, the release of

PEPE's Moderate Uptick and Chip Absorption: Slow Rises Are Not a Bad Thing, the Key Is $0.00000245
In early July 2026, PEPE is modestly up 2.58% at $0.00000239, with a 24-hour trading volume of approximately 17.53 million USDT. Against the macro backdrop of the total market cap of meme coins recovering to $47 billion, up 23% from the start of the year, PEPE's slow and steady rise is more worthy of observation than a violent spike. This article deeply analyzes the underlying logic of PEPE's current trend from four dimensions: technical support and resistance levels, volume structure, sector rot

$BTC BTC price broke below the previous low earlier and quickly recovered, further rising to form a bullish solid candlestick, which will further increase bullish strength.
It is currently the beginning of a new monthly cycle. If a strong bullish daily candle forms, there will be a small rebound in the short term.
Since June 25, the market has been continuously probing lower lows. This time, it formed a standard stabilization pattern of "breaking below the previous low + quickly recovering," which is a core technical signal for a short-term rebound.

Short-term logic: After the

The Federal Reserve Chair's statement that inflation has eased,
This is clearly a hawkish tone externally but dovish internally.
As a result, BTC also rebounded directly from 58,000. This external push, I believe, marks the starting point of the rebound.
Although being bullish during a bear market will invite many criticisms, I must speak out the true thoughts in my heart.
At 20:30 tonight, there will be labor data. Based on the data and market trends, we can better determine whether to go long with larger positions or continue to lie low.
Additionally, I have listed more than a doze

Bitcoin's $60,000 Defense Line: Reversal Signals and Structural Risks Coexist
In early July 2026, Bitcoin is engaged in a critical battle near the $60,000 threshold. Technical indicators show the beginnings of a short-term reversal—an EMA golden cross, RSI neutral low, and trading volume exhibiting accumulation characteristics—but at the macro level, it faces the most severe ETF capital outflow pressure in history. This article combines on-chain data, miner ecology, and institutional capital flows to deeply analyze the current market at a crossroads between "technical rebound" and "structural

$BTC just did the opposite of what it should have done—stopped making lower lows
The data shows:
• Price: $60,078.00 (24h range: $57,758.60–$61,322.00)
• RSI(14): 59.7—neutral to low
• EMA20: $59,719.75 | EMA50: $59,479.25 ✅ golden cross
• Volume: $15.36B
📈 If so, here’s the plan:
📈 Entry: $60,108.05 – $60,469.34
🛑 Stop loss: $57,360.54
🎯 First target: $65,214.31
🎯 Second target: $70,114.51
🎯 Third target: $75,560.42
The volume signal looks more like accumulation than distribution.
This support level has held multiple times over the past few weeks.
If you skip the stop loss, the market

On July 1, the EU completely banned USDT, which was supposed to be a massive positive for Circle to dominate Europe.
As a result, $CRCL stock price plummeted 17% today.
The reason is that BlackRock, Visa, and Coinbase—these old foxes of Wall Street—got together and launched a new stablecoin, OUSD, directly overturning Circle's table.
Before, Circle enjoyed all the underlying dollar interest alone, but now OUSD is playing profit-sharing with the interest.
This move is too ruthless; it's like openly inciting all of Circle's channel partners to defect.
The most brilliant part is Coinbase—clearly

Tonight, the Fed Chair's speech is the core watershed for the market. Two tones correspond to completely opposite market logic:
1. Hawkish tone: Emphasizes that inflation risks are not subsiding and retains room for further rate hikes, which is bullish for the US dollar, reduces risk appetite, and puts downward pressure on crypto assets;
2. Dovish tone: Acknowledges economic growth pressures, signals a slowdown or even pause in rate hikes, which pressures the US dollar to weaken, giving Bitcoin and Ethereum an opportunity to rebound.
Fundamental context: He personally holds hundreds of million

Bitcoin at the 57,700 Threshold: Waiting for the Wind to Rise in the Eye of the Storm
In early July 2026, Bitcoin is undergoing the most severe test since the FTX collapse in 2022. The price is approaching the prior low area around $57,700, and on the 4-hour timeframe there is a bottom-divergence structure: prices are trending lower while indicators are strengthening. At the same time, Bitcoin spot ETFs in June recorded a single-month net outflow of over $4.1 billion—an all-time record for net outflows—and expectations for Fed rate cuts have been pushed back significantly to 2027. This article

7.1🫓
BTC next focus is whether it can drop below the previous low of 57758. On the 4-hour timeframe, a 4-segment price decline top bearish divergence has formed. The previous low has not been effectively broken. The main trading approach is to go long on dips.
🚨 Trading Advice
Enter long orders at 57800～58100
Target 59000
⚠️ If it breaks below the previous low of 577, cut the loss in time.
All the hibernation is just waiting for the wind to rise—drifting with the wind, not going against it.
#Gate股票转仓功能上线 $BTC ‌