MapleForestBlaze

1.29 Thursday Latest Bitcoin and Altcoin Strategies
Last night, our low-buying strategy once again hit point-to-point, with both Bitcoin and altcoins reaching the first target levels before facing resistance and declining. There is still good room for movement. Tonight is another critical period for bulls and bears to compete. The overall rhythm remains steady and advancing!
Recently, Bitcoin and altcoins have been affected by factors such as Federal Reserve policies, resulting in a volatile trend. The battle between bulls and bears is intense. Short-term directions should focus on news related to the Federal Reserve and US initial jobless claims data. Technical indicators on the daily chart show resistance from above, with insufficient upward momentum on the four-hour chart. Strength and weakness indicators point downward, and the hourly chart shows selling pressure. Overall, the market is in a converging oscillation zone with low trading volume.
Note! Key support levels are at 87,000 and 2,920. Effective support will continue to lead to rebounds and upward movements. Watch the recent daily high points at 90,500 and 3,050. Only a valid breakout can open the upward space.
Bitcoin: 86,800-87,600 range, →90,500, 92,000; Altcoins: 2,890 to 2,930 range, →3,050, 3,110.
Breakouts continue to target 93,000 and 3,200 levels.
Personal opinion, for reference only, not investment advice!

On February 3rd, news broke that Solana experienced a technical correction after a sharp sell-off. Over the past seven days, SOL has declined approximately 15.5%, and during the market turbulence from late January to early February, it briefly touched a low of $95.87. The price then found support and rebounded nearly 8%, currently climbing back to around $103, indicating that short-term selling pressure is easing.
On-chain and capital flow indicators are sending key signals. After completing the downward target of a daily head and shoulders pattern, the Chaikin Money Flow indicator has moved in the opposite direction, forming a classic bullish divergence. This suggests that large-scale capital has started to position around the $95–96 range. The indicator is approaching the zero line, and once it turns positive, it will mean that buying momentum is beginning to dominate the short-term trend.

Some friends can't update apps on their phones, especially the "chrysanthemum" app... Operation method: after downloading, turn off the network to update. Airplane mode also works. Most can follow this method.
Good night, don't worry too much about short-term fluctuations. Rome wasn't built in a day.

📊👀 #BTC Over the last 7 days, taker flow was dominated by put buying, closely followed by put selling. Much of this activity was structured as spreads and concentrated in puts, with very #limited interest in upside exposure. #crypto

On January 29, the Bank of England clarified that it will prioritize the regulation and infrastructure development of systemic stablecoins and tokenized collateral by 2026, marking a significant step forward in the UK's digital finance and blockchain financial regulation. Sasha Mills, Director of Financial Market Infrastructure at the Bank of England, stated at the Tokenization Summit that the coming year will be a “key window for shaping the UK digital financial market framework.”
According to disclosed plans, the Bank of England will provide central bank deposit accounts to “systemic stablecoin” issuers and offer liquidity support when necessary. Its reserve structure will consist of 60% short-term UK government bonds and 40% central bank deposits to enhance stability and transparency. Meanwhile, regulators are evaluating a temporary cap on individual stablecoin holdings set at £20,000 and £10 million for corporate holdings to prevent systemic risk from spreading.

Has anyone noticed that the content in the Square is becoming more and more diverse, and the atmosphere of interaction is also getting livelier? That's right, we have made some small updates to the Gate Square, hoping to create a more interesting and in-depth community for creators.
This time, the content mining gameplay has been upgraded, and creation rewards are directly doubled. Moreover, new and returning creators will also receive exclusive benefits to ensure that every contribution is rewarded.
We have always been promoting the parallel development of content and incentives, with the goal of allowing everyone to create with peace of mind and enjoy the process.
Friends with ideas, join us quickly and let's have fun in the Square together.

This week in the crypto world is a super data week! The Federal Reserve + Bank of Japan double impact, has the market reached a turning point?
Global financial markets are entering a "policy-sensitive window period," and four major events this Thursday will send a "series of shockwaves" to the cryptocurrency market nerves. Among them, the FOMC interest rate decision and the Bank of Japan's December monetary policy meeting minutes form the core variables, combined with key employment and inflation data, directly determining the short-term trend direction of mainstream coins like BTC and ETH, making it the first "Market Anchor Week" of 2026.
🔥 Four major red alert events: each could rewrite the market
1. Bank of Japan December monetary policy meeting minutes (Tuesday) — The "invisible switch" of global liquidity
As a key indicator of non-US monetary policy, the signals from this meeting's minutes are far beyond the norm. From the disclosed core viewpoints, the Japanese economy has shown signs of moderate recovery, corporate fixed investment continues to expand due to labor shortages, and in 2026, large corporate wage increases are likely to stay flat or exceed 2025, with core CPI inflation still on a gentle upward trend. More importantly, the market generally interprets the current BOJ policy tone as "paving the way for normalization," with the 10-year Japanese government bond yield rising to 1.12%, and the global risk-free rate center being passively lifted.
- Market impact logic: Bitcoin's correlation with the yen is currently as high as 0.84. If the minutes clearly signal a tendency to raise interest rates or tighten liquidity, a strengthening yen will divert safe-haven funds from the crypto market, potentially weakening BTC support at the $90,000 level, facing a short-term correction of 1.5%-3%; if the "gradual easing" statement is maintained, the yen depreciation expectation will continue, liquidity in risk assets will be replenished, and mainstream coins may see a weak rebound.
2. Federal Reserve FOMC interest rate decision + Powell press conference (Wednesday 03:00) — The absolute key turning point this week
Market expectations for interest rates to remain unchanged have reached 95%, with the real focus on Powell's policy statements and the March rate cut guidance. Currently, the Fed shows a "cautious dovish" split: Vice Chair Jefferson emphasizes "policy is in a favorable position," with no need for hasty action; meanwhile, markets worry that the Trump administration might nominate a new chair inclined towards easing, raising doubts about policy independence. More importantly, the 2026 dot plot shows only one 25 basis point rate cut planned, far below market expectations of a more easing cycle.
- Market impact logic:
- If Powell hints that "March is suitable for a rate cut," the dollar index is likely to break below the 103 key support, funds will shift from USD assets to risk markets, and BTC, ETH could start a wave of rally, with optimistic scenarios pushing BTC to the $95,000-$98,000 range (institutions forecast a full-year target of $170,000 in a loose cycle);
- If he emphasizes "inflation remains sticky, more data needed before cutting," it will reinforce the expectation of "higher interest rates lasting longer," and the dollar rebound will suppress crypto valuations, with mainstream coins possibly retracing to the $85,000-$88,000 range, high-leverage positions should beware of forced liquidation risks;
- Under neutral statements, the market will turn to subsequent economic data for guidance, and the trend may enter a narrow range with volatility dropping to recent lows.
3. US initial jobless claims until January 24 (Thursday 21:30) — The "touchstone" for rate cut expectations
Employment data is a core reference for Fed policy adjustments. Last week, initial jobless claims were 200,000, below the expected 210,000, indicating the labor market remains robust. As a lagging indicator, if this data shows unexpected volatility, it will directly alter the probability of a March rate cut.
- Market impact logic: If the data exceeds 220,000 (more weakness than expected), the market pricing for a March rate cut will rise from 35% to over 50%, risk appetite will increase, benefiting cryptocurrencies; if below 195,000 (strong employment), the rate cut expectation will cool, causing short-term selling pressure, and mainstream coins may see a quick 1%-2% correction.
4. US December PPI annual rate (Friday 21:30) — The "forward signal" of inflation transmission
PPI, as a leading indicator of CPI, directly reflects upstream price pressures. Currently, US core PCE inflation is stable at 2.8%, near the Fed's target zone. If PPI rebounds, it may trigger market concerns about a "second inflation surge."
- Market impact logic: PPI falling unexpectedly below 2.5% will solidify the deflationary logic, further strengthening easing expectations, and the crypto market may continue to rise; if PPI rises above 3% YoY, inflation stickiness concerns will suppress risk assets, with BTC testing the $88,000 support level or even triggering technical breakdowns.
Summary: The "life-and-death week" dominated by news, with clear operational logic
The core contradiction in the crypto market this week is the resonance between "Fed policy expectation adjustments" and "marginal changes in global liquidity," with a high probability of the trend showing a "reaction to the Bank of Japan first, then focusing on the Fed, and finally verifying economic data." For investors:
1. Avoid blindly chasing highs; current BTC valuation near $90,000 has partly priced in easing expectations, and hawkish Fed statements may trigger a "expectation gap correction";
2. Set stop-loss at key levels: long positions at $85,000, short positions at $92,000, to avoid gaps caused by news;
3. Pay attention to asset correlation signals: dollar index 103, Japanese bond yield 1.15%, S&P 500 at 5200 points—breakthrough directions of these three indicators will guide crypto market trends simultaneously.
Every major event this week could be the fuse for a market "turnaround," especially the Wednesday Fed decision, which will directly set the tone for February—whether to surge to new highs or correct and consolidate. The answer is about to be revealed. Stay alert throughout, respond rationally to volatility! $BTC $ETH

Unlicensed Vendors
@From city management's unwarranted crackdown to legal compliance
#Gate广场创作者新春激励 Market Analysis Today
If the past cryptocurrency market was like an unlicensed vendor wandering the streets, whose stall could be seized by city management at any moment, then a series of recent news essentially announces that this vendor has not only obtained a business license but even the city management team is stepping in to help him run his business. The most significant news is the joint meeting scheduled for January 27 between the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) and the Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC). In the past, these two agencies were like cats and dogs in the crypto world, fighting over who should regulate and how to penalize. Now, they are sitting together to discuss how to implement Trump’s “Global Crypto Capital” agenda. This indicates a fundamental reversal in regulatory logic: from the previous “arrest first, then talk” approach to “set rules first, then act.” This shift from “enforcement” to “legislation” marks the ultimate watershed for the industry’s transition from the fringe to mainstream.
This change in direction is most directly reflected in the “clearing of old accounts.” The SEC has revoked its civil lawsuit against the Gi exchange, and it’s a complete withdrawal—meaning they won’t sue again in the future. This was almost unimaginable a few years ago. In the past, the SEC was like a strict instructor with a magnifying glass, ready to label any financial product as “illegal securities” if you dared to create one. Now, the instructor has put down the baton and returned the confiscated teaching tools. This “rectification” sends a very strong signal: the era of regulation through lawsuits is over.
Meanwhile, Grayscale has seized the opportunity to submit an ETF application for BNB. If Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs are considered “appetizers,” then a BNB ETF—an asset with strong platform characteristics—would be akin to official recognition of exchange tokens’ legitimacy. This is not only a big gift for Binance but also opens a door for the entire industry to access traditional financial markets.
Speaking of traditional finance, Binance is not idle; they plan to relaunch the “stock token” trading that was halted four years ago. Simply put, it allows you to buy stocks of companies like Apple or Tesla on crypto exchanges, just like buying Bitcoin. This is essentially a “dimensionality reduction attack.” Previously, to buy US stocks, you had to open accounts, exchange currencies, and endure cross-border transfer hassles; now, if you can buy stocks directly with stablecoins, cryptocurrencies truly become a bridge connecting to real assets. Although current data shows that last year’s $35 trillion in stablecoin settlements only 1% was used for real-world purchases like bubble tea or payroll, with the remaining 99% still circulating within the crypto space, this highlights enormous potential. When stocks, bonds, and even bank licenses (such as Trump-related World Liberty Bank) start operating on the crypto track, that 1% of real-world applications will rapidly expand like a snowball.
Finally, we need to look at the macro-level “money flow.” Silver prices broke through $100, hitting a new all-time high, which is a big event in the investment world. Usually, the “old money” like gold and silver rises first, followed by Bitcoin—often called “digital gold”—leading the rally, and then various altcoins follow. The surge in silver often indicates that there is an excess of idle funds in the market. Coupled with Arthur Hayes’ mention of the yen exchange rate logic—if the Federal Reserve starts easing to stabilize global exchange rates, then for assets like Bitcoin that are highly sensitive to liquidity, it’s like pouring gasoline on a fire. The current situation is: the policy “straitjacket” has been removed, the “connective bridge” has been built, and the “great flood” at the macro level is imminent. We are standing at the crossroads of an old era ending and a new order beginning.

According to Dune data, on January 21st, the predicted market trading volume exceeded $814 million, setting a new record. The total trading volume for January has reached approximately $10.5 billion, and is expected to break the record. Kalshi remains the largest platform, with a Sunday trading volume of $535 million.

Future Outlook for #SHIBUSDT Cryptocurrency 🇺🇸 on the Four-Hour Time Frame
✨ Imminent Breakout ⚡️
Data:
* An ascending diagonal pattern is forming, referred to as wave (1)/(A). 📈
* A corrective downward zigzag wave, representing wave (2)/(B). 🔽
* The correction has significantly retraced compared to the previous wave. 📉
Predictions:
* Small upward impulsive waves are forming in the short term to complete wave 1 and establish a base for wave (3)/(C).
* The strong wave 3 is expected to propel wave (C)/(3), aiming to break the price channel and form a new high. 🚀
* The formation of impulsive waves from this region is critical to maintaining the bullish trend. 🔝
* The optimal target for the upward wave, if the scenario materializes, is 0.00001102. 🎯
⚠️ Breaking the 0.00000682 level will threaten the bullish scenario and could invalidate it. #SHİB #Ship $SHIB

January 19 News, as the Federal Reserve's rate cut expectations for January rapidly cooled down, the cryptocurrency market came under significant pressure this week. Rate futures-related tools indicate that the probability of the Federal Reserve maintaining interest rates in January has risen to about 95%, with the current target range still at 3.50%–3.75%, and the possibility of a rate cut remaining at about 5%. This shift quickly impacted risk asset sentiment, with Bitcoin, Ethereum, and XRP all weakening simultaneously.
From a longer-term perspective, the policy expectations for the March meeting are also leaning towards caution. Market data shows that the probability of the Federal Reserve holding steady in March is about 75%, with the scope for rate cuts compressed to about 25%. Against the backdrop of limited liquidity expectations, volatility in the crypto market has significantly increased, and short-term funds are becoming more conservative.

Good morning, $DOGE Fam!☕️🐶
Happy weekend, you beautiful diamond paws!☕🐾💎😎✌️
Dogecoin to the moon!🚀🌑
Let's go!🔥🐕