BitWuOldWet

Shared a gambler bankruptcy formula from JiYou, I really like it!
Advantages don't matter
Position sizing is what matters
Probabilities need time to be realized
And heavy positions leave you no time
Being able to withstand volatility is the greatest skill, no doubt!

👀 JUST IN: Data shows that Bitcoin has already fallen below the fire sale zone at the bottom of the rainbow chart, and is severely undervalued!
In every previous cycle, this position has not been a normal correction, but rather an extremely pessimistic phase with large-scale capitulation and chip redistribution, followed by a period of structural recovery:
In 2018, it was mainly due to the systemic clearing after the ICO bubble burst, with many projects losing their funding ability, exchange liquidity drying up, and almost no capacity to absorb sell-offs.
The 2022 cycle was characterized by a

Iran says no negotiations, Trump says he wants a ceasefire, both sides are talking past each other, it's very strange!
Look at Trump's statements over the past ten days—
On March 21, he proposed that Iran open the Strait of Hormuz within 48 hours, or else attack Iran's power plants and energy facilities;
On March 23, he changed his tone, saying he would delay a five-day airstrike;
On March 26, he announced a delay of 10 days until April 6 as the final deadline;
On March 29, he said he wants to seize Iran's oil and does not rule out occupying Hark Island.
April 6 has now become a cr

Captured a TV tower after the rain clears, so healing!
Research shows:
In natural environments, walkers have a lower tendency to ruminate, meaning they think less repeatedly and passively about negative events, allowing them to break free from the mental cages they set for themselves.
People are small, but when they integrate into the world, they become something great!

📚 Master the logic of making money. Over the past period, I’ve been repeatedly reading a few books—
I’ve always believed that all of life’s difficulties can be solved through deep thinking, higher-level friends, and reading.
Recently, the market is in a state that’s actually quite suitable for calming down and reading. I still want to recommend some good books to everyone!
Will reading these books help you make money? Is there any book that, after reading, you can start earning?
The answer is simple: No, there isn’t.
But reading will help you see clearly: why you’ve been unable to make money.

📆 Regarding Trump's TACO cycle pattern, the market finds it very useful and has gradually figured out the trend—
1) Thursday / Friday: More likely to TACO (easing, signaling, cooling down)
2) Sunday / Monday: Reinforcing toughness (not wanting the market to gain too much)
3) Oil price at $90-100 + 4.5% 10-year U.S. Treasury yield = TACO critical point
Have you learned it thoroughly?

🚨 A not-so-good signal: The mini death cross has already appeared in the US stock market, and the US Treasury yields are approaching 4.4% —
The technical outlook has already deteriorated, volatility is rising, and market positions are overly concentrated in tech stocks and high-volatility assets.
If key levels are broken, the sell-off triggered by capital flows could be very severe.
After the death cross appeared in March 2022, $BTC experienced a maximum drawdown of over 60%. The real driver was rate hikes and liquidity tightening; the death cross was just a confirmation signal.
This

Can anyone tell me, what exactly is the algorithm mechanism of X right now?
Why does this content in the picture have 10 million views? 🥲
Damn it, I just can't figure it out at all!

I looked up some information, and this statement is indeed reliable:
Spending 1.5–2 hours outdoors every day can significantly reduce the incidence of myopia in children. There's a well-known saying in ophthalmology circles: the most effective "medicine" to prevent myopia isn't atropine, but the sun.
Mechanism 1: Bright light → Dopamine release → Inhibits eye elongation,
Mechanism 2: Outdoor environment provides a wide range of viewing distances.
So protecting your eyes = 20-20-20 rule + 2 hours outdoors:
Every 20 minutes of near work,
Look at something 20 feet (6 meters) away,
F

Modern Finance ——

Has Zhang Xuefeng just disappeared?
What exactly has been going on lately?! 😳

I can't hold it anymore, I feel I absolutely must go against this guy on a trade. There's definitely insider information about the US-Iran war!
This account called "NOTHINGEVERFRICKINGHAPPENS" was only opened at the end of February. The first two trades were——
1) Bet $7600 that the US would launch a strike against Iran by February 28th
2) Bet $11283 that the strike would happen by March 1st
These two trades combined made a profit of $85,000.
Now this account has opened two more trades——
1) Bet $8005 that the US-Iran ceasefire would be reached by March 31st
2) Bet $15614 that the ceasefire woul

That's very real—we all move forward through continuous trial and error!
The ceiling of AI is largely determined by whether you have a methodology, not by how powerful it is itself.
Most people overestimate AI itself while underestimating the difficulty of organizing information.
If your input is scattered, fragmented, and lacks clear direction, AI will only amplify that chaos.
This is why the more you use AI, the more you realize you don't know how to use it, and there's increasingly more to learn—it never ends!

📌 According to CME FedWatch data, traders have abandoned rate cuts in April, with the probability of maintaining rates unchanged at 92.8%.
Besides the United States, central banks in several other major economies that were prepared to gradually cut rates are now all turning hawkish—
📍 The Bank of England unanimously approved maintaining the base rate unchanged, with markets pricing in two rate hikes of 25 basis points each within the year.
📍 Europe is more sensitive to energy price shocks, with markets betting on at least one rate hike within the year.
📍 The Reserve Bank of Australia has a