WaterExpoChaos

vip
Age 1.3 Year
Peak Tier 0
Former research dog in science and technology → now a full-time contract hunter, I have deconstructed 90% of the trading theories on the market using a research mindset, ultimately creating a system that integrates institutional money + order flow... Daily musings on market data highlights, focusing mainly on the European and American markets.
CME is not waking up, not watching anymore.. Watching a wave before bed
Figure 1 First look at Open Interest, which is still at the historical extreme levels of this cycle.. (based on BTC)
Although the weekend market looks calm, in fact both bulls and bears are still active.. Just waiting for a trigger in a certain direction...
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Figure 2 The order book currently has little reference.. Over the weekend, it mostly operated in a relatively empty zone in the middle, with both sides placing orders..
From the order book, the key zones for bulls and bears are still around 65k, below t
BTC0.08%
ETH-0.16%
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Today’s market...
I didn’t watch the market at all yesterday while on the plane... Today I took a look around and found... This news market is really hard to trade...
Watching Trump try to save the US stocks... but it seems the situation is no longer in his control...
And now the weekend adds another layer of risk... The Marine Corps was almost in position earlier, right? If this week’s taco is just a delaying tactic, are they really waiting until the US stock market is closed on the weekend to make a move?
No point in overthinking... Aside from the news, let’s see what the various data tell u
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Withdrawn.. Taking a break tomorrow, no updates..
Starting the Asia timezone now..
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# Today's Market Overview -- Today is truly full of undercurrents...
Took a look around the market and discovered that this string right now has both longs and shorts wound up tight...
Let's look at the data first, then draw conclusions at the end...
Let's talk about OI first today... Across the entire Asian session, OI is showing a steady upward momentum... This indicates that at this price level, both longs and shorts are entering in massive volume...
(Chart 1)
Currently, OI has already reached recent highs...
The leverage on both sides is wound up tight... (Though still some distance from e
LONG-1.6%
TRUMP-1.99%
HYPE-2.71%
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Why did US stocks plummet on Friday while BTC stayed so strong?
24 hours have passed... AI summarizes current perspectives from across the network...
BTC0.08%
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# Today's Market Overview -- Candlesticks and Capital Flow Look Boring, But Options Traders Can't Hold Back?
Woke up over the weekend and the price action looked incredibly dull... It's been consolidating just above 70k for over 12 hours...
Checked the charts this morning for a couple hours, and kept wondering what lies beneath the surface of this K-line calm—is it just emotional quietness, or is something else hidden underneath?
Let me unpack this a bit.
**Chart 1: Order Book**
Currently in Asian hours, there's a large OKX spot order at 70500.. This is rather uncommon—we usually see more act
COINON-0.27%
BTC0.08%
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Just looking at BTC's peaceful times, I didn't notice that US stocks had such a day with this triple witching today....
Nasdaq and S&P 500 both broke through levels..
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Today's Market Overview
Chart 1: As mentioned yesterday, the area around 70-69k yesterday marked the first time since the rally began on March 9th that the price retested the lower dense buy zone. This suggests a potential intraday opportunity for long entries at lower levels. Additionally, near 69k, there were two entry setups for long positions—one was a false breakout, and the other was an SFP. The market provided opportunities both times. Although the rebound has been somewhat hesitant, since the 69k entry point remains valid, we can continue to look for upside potential.
Chart 2: From the
BTC0.08%
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MiaoMiaoMiaoMiaovip:
Professional!
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The last entry into this model at 71.1k is decent.
TP'd half and watching Powell speak...
Reviewing today...
It was still that pending order interference that disrupted the normal rhythm.
To summarize:
According to normal practice, 72.8k should have been a standard EU session volume expansion entry model + SFP. After I traded this entry, this SFP's second test should have broken and I should have let it go (if it comes down further, the false break becomes a real break).
(Result was right at the pending order range, so didn't exit this time)
(Image 1)
During the subsequent decline there were N
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What the heck... I was halfway through the market analysis today and it's already starting to move.
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CrispStarsvip:
How does the teacher view the market today?
# Today's Market Overview
Went out this morning, came back to check the charts... and it feels like, the show you wanted has finished playing (75k)), so where do you want to go next...
As usual, let me review various data points.
**Chart 1 - Capital Flow**
After touching 76k today and reversing, it was mainly due to selling pressure from Binance and OKX. In contrast, Coinbase didn't sell much. Combined with ETF inflows remaining stable at around 200 million per day this week with no major FOMO buying or outflows, the entire week has been a slow staircase-like uptrend.
**Chart 2 - Total Delta P
COINON-0.27%
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Today's Market Overview 1
Not bad. Woke up this morning and saw 74k—this SFP short ultimately didn't disappoint. It hit TP1.
However, I missed the intraday long opportunity at 72.8k during sleep, which was also a valid long entry model.
For the rest of today's price action, anyone with some technical analysis knowledge should be able to see the pattern. If it can hold above 74k, we continue upward all the way. If it can't hold, then it will keep returning to the lower range, wherever it goes.
Let's continue to look at what various data points from the past few days are telling us ↓
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SFP-1.58%
COINON-0.27%
BTC0.08%
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CVD going in such a straight line like this is quite rare.....
Looks like a flat-lined EKG doesn't it........
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# Today's Market Review
-- Yesterday, they manipulated a big move over 12 hours of grinding. Today, the 75k gamma squeeze script is already written... Just waiting to see if the bulls want to make a move...
Let me review yesterday first. Yesterday basically played out according to the script...
**Chart 1**
The 70.8k contract's naked short position continuously pressed for 12 hours...
But spot has been continuously selling off, while simultaneously unable to break down. Formed a consistent high point (due to contract suppression).
But the lows kept forming higher in a wedge pattern... looks exa
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Today's Market Overview -- Yesterday we spent 12 hours manipulating a major move. Today's 75k gamma squeeze script is already written...
Just depends on whether the bulls want to make a move...
(Trying a single thread format today, updating as I write. Click to see full text↓)
First, let's review yesterday. Yesterday basically played out according to the script...
The 70.8k futures contract pinned the price down hard for 12 hours..
But spot has been selling off the whole time, yet couldn't push lower. We saw a consistent high (due to futures suppression) but lows kept getting higher in a wedge
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