Yongle'sNewExpedition

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Market follow-up, questions, and consultations. See the pinned content of my only followed account.
Bitcoin's price again broke through the 71,000 level this morning, but there was not enough bullish support to sustain the upward movement, and the price pulled back once more. On the one-hour chart, it has tested the 71,000 level three times recently, only to retrace each time. The indicator chart shows that the KDJ lines have entered the overbought zone. Regarding the VOI volume chart, the bullish momentum remains weak. Currently, the geopolitical situation has not had much impact, but I believe that without more participation from chips, it will be difficult to stabilize above the 70,000 le
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Today's biggest news is that the United States has already or is seeking to negotiate with Iran. Current information from multiple channels suggests a possible one-month ceasefire first, during which at least third-party ships can pass through the Strait of Hormuz smoothly. Of course, this also benefits from Trump's TACO, allowing both sides to remain calmer. The legendary focus of negotiations is still getting Iran to abandon nuclear weapons, but Iran has not yet acknowledged that negotiations have begun.
Influenced by the negotiation news, WTI crude oil prices fell below $90. Although there'
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Trump's speech yesterday: I have directed the U.S. Department of Defense to suspend any military strikes against Iran's power plants and energy infrastructure for five days, provided that current talks and consultations are successful. Right after his words, the crypto market rebounded sharply. Looking at the Ethereum chart on the hourly level, after a large bullish candle breakout, the trend is consolidating and pulling back. Currently, the high points are continuously declining. From a technical perspective, the MACD dual lines are turning down from high levels, and the bullish volume bars a
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Today's macroeconomic situation is quite dramatic. On one hand, Trump says Iran is ready to surrender, while on the other hand, Iran claims this is just Trump talking to himself. Tough talk doesn't mean much—the key is to watch the situation at the Strait of Hormuz. Today, WTI crude oil prices broke below the $90 mark, but based on the Strait of Hormuz situation, it hasn't fully opened up yet. If Iran continues to apply pressure, it's unclear whether oil prices will rebound further.
At this point, neither the US nor Iran's unilateral statements are credible. The most direct indicator is the su
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Trump said the U.S. and Iran have had very good and productive discussions over the past two days regarding a complete resolution of hostile actions in the Middle East region. Therefore, all military strikes targeting Iran's power plants and energy infrastructure have been postponed for five days. Markets surged across the board, which can be viewed as a signal of ongoing negotiations. After more than ten days of advocating "fighting to promote dialogue," we can finally see a glimpse of dialogue.
Does this signal work? It depends on Iran's response. Because war is not like trade negotiations
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Ethereum daily chart:
Currently, the price has broken below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, indicating that the bearish trend continues. The MACD indicator shows decreasing bullish momentum, with both lines above the zero line and turning downward. On the smaller timeframe, after weekend consolidation, the price tested the 2024 level with a low in the early morning. The current rebound at 2065 is merely a technical adjustment. The chart clearly shows that bearish momentum is still being released. The weak downward pattern remains unchanged. Any rebound is a trap for trap traders—do not
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YongleCryingvip:
Happy New Year 🧨
Ethereum's four-hour chart has further confirmed a downward trend. In the short-term smaller timeframe, there is still some space for further decline. Unfortunately, there was no chance to enter during the afternoon session. In the evening, more aggressive traders can directly short again.
Ethereum: Short at 2133, target 2073, stop loss 30 points #BTC #ETH
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The Federal Reserve announced in the early morning that it is maintaining its current interest rates, while Powell's remarks lean hawkish. The main reasons, as I explained earlier this morning, are the impact of the war, higher inflation expectations, and the elimination of the possibility of rate cuts at present.
Looking at the Ethereum chart currently, the price tracked the early morning remarks, retracing to a low of 2150 before bouncing and moving upward. As of now, Ethereum is running around 2200 again. Although there was one false breakout during this period, due to insufficient momentum
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ListeningToTheRainvip:
2026 Go Go Go 👊
Currently, there are two relatively important fundamentals at play. One is the escalating conflict between the United States and Iran, and the other is Powell's more hawkish rhetoric. Let me start with the conflict. Although the IEA released oil to lower prices, Iran is preparing to escalate the war. The market is quite concerned about the impact on industry and energy, causing oil prices to rise again. Currently, WTI crude is back at $99, and it could easily breach $100 tomorrow. Although Powell didn't explicitly mention oil prices' impact, he did acknowledge that rising oil prices could push
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Looking at the Bitcoin liquidation map, the whale's desire to push upward has weakened significantly because the chips below are glowing too brightly. Long positions are clustered in the liquidation zone. Currently, the clustered chips above are in the 7.5-7.55w range, but compared to below, it's still far less, meaning the momentum fuel is diminishing.
So with weakening volume, the probability of making a breakthrough effort to push up is not high. At most, there's still a possibility of leveraging evening news to lure longs upward for a touch, but then quickly dropping to liquidate long posi
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Big pie has held for more than a day now, currently there's a 1600-point range at the 74400 level. Going to close it directly and wait to see the situation with the early morning meeting before deciding on direction.
#BTC #ETH
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Clear strategy success, shared Ethereum 2340 empty position this morning, currently verifying target levels, 60 points taken profit #BTC #ETH
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TheWarGodOfTheRuinedTemple,Axivip:
Awesome
Ethereum's trend shows a pullback after reaching highs near 2385. During the night session, price oscillated and adjusted after touching the 2300 level. On smaller timeframes, bullish momentum is gradually weakening, and the closing gains of M-shares have had limited impact. On the 1-hour chart, MACD bearish volume continues to expand. The Bollinger Band channel continues to narrow. For daytime operations, maintain a bearish bias.
Ethereum: Short at 2340, target 2280, stop loss 35 points #BTC #ETH
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Over the past month, the Nasdaq has been oscillating between 24,000 and 25,000 points with no significant fluctuations, which indicates that although the war is progressing, the market has not reached a panic stage yet. After all, everyone knows that although the war has driven up oil prices in the past week, rising oil prices have led to repeated inflation, but the war shouldn't last too long. Moreover, investors currently don't expect the Federal Reserve to cut rates before Powell leaves office.
So although the market appears quite lively, the greater risks are not currently the war itself.
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Based on the liquidation chart, the retracement to around 75,000 is exactly in the chip accumulation zone. If the price moves up to create a secondary high and most of the chips in this zone are liquidated at once, and the short-term momentum can't push the price much higher, then after absorbing this, it may trigger a downward liquidation of long positions. Therefore, I don't recommend chasing the rally.
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Bitcoin tested the 76,000 resistance level in the morning without success and then experienced a pullback. From the four-hour chart, the KDJ crossover is moving downward, and the MACD bullish momentum is decreasing. On the one-hour chart, a sharp top pattern has already formed, and the current price has broken below the middle support of the Bollinger Bands. At present, the Bollinger Band midline has completed a small-scale support and resistance line reversal. In the afternoon, focus on the 73,800 range. If it breaks below earlier, subsequent pullbacks will be more smooth.
Bitcoin reference:
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Intraday Ethereum short position at 2358, currently reaching the target, gaining 60 points. The 2300 level has not been broken by solid candles, so we are temporarily staying on the sidelines!
#BTC #ETH
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Ethereum on the 4-hour level shows price in a 9-day rally near the upper Bollinger Band channel, with the morning high reaching around 2385. From a technical perspective, the KDJ three lines have entered the overbought zone. On the 1-hour level, after the morning surge, it formed a gravestone doji with pullback, and currently price is oscillating at high levels. The MACD indicator shows a bearish death cross at high levels with the dual lines pointing downward, and bullish volume is clearly shrinking. For short-term trading, it's not recommended to chase higher; intraday focus should be on a p
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Yongle'sNewExpeditionvip:
Happy New Year 🧨
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Bitcoin rebounded again in morning trading, reaching nearly 76,000 at its peak. The 73,700+ idea shared yesterday was successfully validated with a 2,000-point gain!
#BTC #ETH
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📈 Successfully continued, Ethereum intraday 2174 long idea captured 80 points, whether the subsequent uptrend can continue needs to monitor whether 2250 level completes the conversion from resistance to support.
#BTC #ETH
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TheWarGodOfTheRuinedTemple,Axivip:
Teacher, is it safe to enter the factory now?
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