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BTC surged 0.95% in 15 minutes: technical rebound or short trap?
At 4:00 AM, BTC rose from $59,478 to $60,128, a 0.95% rebound in 15 minutes. It doesn't sound like much, but at this level, any green candle can stir emotions.
The previous day, the price dropped to $58,995, a new low since October 2024. A bounce after being oversold is technically reasonable.
A few data points worth watching:
From June 25 to 26, 82% of long positions were forcibly liquidated. After high-leverage longs were cleared, short covering demand combined with dip buying formed a short-term balance at the $60k level. This

This round of control sweep has once again captured 800 points!
Deployed precisely near 592, harvested perfectly near 584.
This morning's sharp drop—slow hands couldn't get in. With execution in place, you get the meat in your mouth.$BTC ‌#0成本拿2股SK海力士

AI hardware inflation is turning around and hurting tech stocks.
Tesla and SpaceX fell overnight, and Musk rarely described the AI chip supply-and-demand imbalance as “crazy.” Even more telling is Apple—Cook compared the price hikes to a “once-in-a-century flood,” with MacBook prices raised by $300 across the board. Even tech giants can’t withstand the cost pressure.
What does this mean?
In the AI sector, the “computing power arms race” is driving up hardware costs. Meanwhile, crypto mining farms and AI data centers are competing for the same supply chain—GPUs, storage, and electricity. When a

Crypto Market Hits “Black Thursday”
In 24 hours, $1.4 billion was liquidated. Bitcoin fell below 60,000, and Ethereum lost 1,600. Over 200,000 people were wiped out in one wave.
The sharp drop was triggered by multiple bearish factors concentrated at once: high inflation weighing on risk assets, ETFs continuing to bleed, and options worth billions expiring—sparking massive hedging. The largest holders are all in the red, and the market also needs to watch for chain reactions. All the funds are rushing to trade AI—who’s still here to play crypto with you?
But after the sudden sell-off, technica

6.26
Near SOL 67.00-67.20, lightly try a long position, stop loss at 65.80, targets 68.40/69.20;
Above, wait for a reverse short opportunity in the 69.50-70.00 range, stop loss at 71.00, targets 67.50/66.00.
The 67.24 level is exactly on the AVL average, indicating that bulls are trying to defend this line. After being pushed down yesterday, it managed to recover, with lows gradually rising. This is not how a weak market behaves.
On the chart, the 66.00-66.50 area has been proven to have support. The 4-hour timeframe shows consecutive small bullish candles, with the center of gravity moving up

6.26
ETH Around 1550-1555, lightly try long, stop loss 1520, target 1585/1610;
Above 1610-1620 zone, wait for reversal short opportunity, stop loss 1645, target 1560/1530.
The market has played out like this; it's strong when it should be weak but isn't.
After the low of 1531 was hit, the 4-hour chart formed a lower shadow, indicating that someone is buying below.
Dropping from 1661 to 1556, nearly $100 space, the selling pressure has been mostly released; further hard selling won't push it down.
Currently, watch two key levels: if 1530 holds, the rebound can continue; only after breaking 1585

6.26
BTC near 59100-59200, try a light long position, stop loss at 58500, target 59800/60200;
From 60300 to 60600, wait for a counter-short opportunity, stop loss at 61200, target 59500/58800.
Last night, US stocks surged and then pulled back. After Micron's stock price hit a new high, profit-taking emerged, shifting market sentiment from euphoria to caution, and the crypto market came under pressure simultaneously.
BTC fell all the way from the high of 60222 to the current 59210, with consecutive bearish candles on the 4-hour chart, bottoming near 59100. The AVL average of 59234 has been brok

The direction of this SOL long position is completely correct!👏
Entered at 67.50, the highest pulled to 69.28 in the afternoon, the first target of 68.80 was perfectly touched, close to the second target of 69.50. MACD turning up at low levels, RSI bottoming signals all verified, stop loss at 66.20 never touched throughout — when the direction is right, every move is a tailwind!$SOL #BTC下探60000美元关键关口

If 1600 breaks, could Ethereum go to 1200? Is 10x Research being alarmist or issuing an early warning this time?
10x Research made a pretty scary judgment — Ethereum has hit the 1600 support level this week. If it cannot hold, the next stop is 1200, directly back to the level at the time of FTX's collapse.
Several bearish factors are indeed on the table:
• Ethereum Foundation lays off 20% of staff, morale affected
• Developer incentive programs expire, ecosystem activity under pressure
• Spot ETFs continue to see outflows, institutional demand weak
• Price is trading below the 7-day and 30-day

Betting 8 months ahead, the "timeline game" in the semiconductor track has already begun.
Serenity shared a very interesting perspective—markets typically price in themes 8 months in advance, except for things too futuristic like space, robotics, and quantum.
Following this timeline, what should we focus on right now?
Memory is the strongest narrative at the moment. HBM3e is already in mass production at Micron, Samsung, and SK Hynix, and HBM4 is nearing production. These companies are still in a "middle bottleneck" phase—the supply-demand gap won't close in the short term, and orders extendin

8,734 ETH gone to zero overnight, this 'whale' bought a lesson with $14.11 million
Opened a long at $1,661 yesterday, ETH dropped below $1,600 today, 8,734 ETH directly liquidated in a cascade on Hyperliquid, $14.11 million vanished into thin air, with less than $150k left in the account—this plot would leave even the most seasoned crypto veterans speechless.
A classic case of 'betting heavily on direction with no margin for error.' The 1580-1600 range was already a liquidity cluster in the near term; a breakdown to the downside is a graveyard for longs, yet this whale went all-in, stubbornly

6.25
Lightly attempt a long near SOL 67.50. Place stop loss at 66.20, with targets at 68.80/69.50;
Above the 69.50-70.00 range, wait for a reverse short (counter-trade) opportunity. Stop loss at 71.00, targets at 67.50/66.00.
Last night, U.S. stocks stabilized and rebounded, Micron’s stock price hit a new all-time high. Market risk appetite recovered slightly, but SOL and other small- and mid-cap assets are clearly being sidelined, with funds flowing first into Bitcoin and tech stocks.
SOL rebounded from the 66.50 low to the current 67.79, printing a small bullish candle on the 4-hour timefram

6.25
ETH around 1615, lightly try long, stop loss at 1580, targets 1650/1680;
Above, waiting for a counter opportunity in the 1680-1700 range, stop loss at 1730, targets 1620/1580.
Last night, the US stock market stabilized and rebounded, Micron's stock price hit an all-time high, and risk appetite saw a slight recovery. However, capital in the crypto market prioritized BTC first, and ETH's follow-through rally was clearly insufficient.
ETH rebounded from a low of 1551 to the current 1619. The 4-hour level formed a small bullish candle, with lows gradually rising, but the AVL mean of 1619 is e

6.25
BTC tried long near 60800, stop loss 60000, target 61800/62500;
Above 62800-63200 range, wait for counter order short opportunity, stop loss 64000, target 61500/60500.
Last night, US stocks continued to rebound, Micron's stock price hit an all-time high, the semiconductor sector led the rally, and market sentiment gradually recovered from panic.
Bond yields stabilized around 4.15%, short-term liquidity pressure marginally eased, giving risk assets a breathing window.
BTC quickly rebounded from the low of 59062 to the current 60815, forming a hammer candlestick with a long lower shadow on

Today BTC is ranging and oscillating around 62,800, while ETH is also under pressure around the 1,660 level.
Over the past 24 hours, total liquidations across the entire network have exceeded $2.5 billion, and long positions account for as much as 94%—the leverage flush is almost done.
After the sharp selloff, volume has shrunk and the market is moving sideways; volatility continues to compress. This is a typical bottoming signal, not a “downtrend continuation.” The fear index is 17, and it’s eerily quiet in the group—but precisely when no one is discussing it, it’s actually worth taking a clo

Fear Index 17, Extreme Fear.
Others are afraid, I am greedy? That sounds cliché, but the data tells me it's really time to act.
$62,889, many people are afraid to look at this level, thinking it will fall further. But have you ever thought—ETF fund inflows are flat, rate hike expectations are at 86%, and the entire network has liquidated 558 million, all the bad news is already on the table, how much worse can it get?
What does a Fear Index of 17 mean? In historical data, extreme fear is often a phase of the bottom, not the top. The real top is when the Greed Index surges above 80, and even ma

6.24
SOL is mainly watching around 72.00, with a light attempt at a bounce, stop loss at 70.80, target 73.50/74.50;
Above 74.50-75.00 range, wait for a reversal opportunity, stop loss at 76.00, target 72.00/70.50.
Last night, the US stock market stabilized, bond yields fell back to 4.18%, and short-term market sentiment has somewhat recovered, but the overall rebound in the crypto market remains weak, with funds concentrated in Bitcoin and Ethereum, while mid-cap assets like SOL are clearly marginalized.
Looking at the market structure, SOL has been oscillating narrowly between 71.50 and

6.24
Second pancake around 1675 with light bearish attempt, stop loss at 1655, target 1695/1715;
Above 1720-1730 range waiting for reversal opportunity, stop loss at 1755, target 1680/1650.
Last night, U.S. stocks stabilized and rebounded, bond yields fell back to 4.18%, short-term liquidity pressure eased somewhat, but the overall cryptocurrency market lacked strong follow-through.
After hitting a low near 1650, the second pancake rebounded to 1676, forming a small positive candle on the 4-hour chart, but the rebound strength is clearly weaker than Bitcoin, indicating funds are prioriti

6.24
Bitcoin hovers around 63,000, attempting a slight rebound after a minor dip, with support at 62,400, targeting 63,600/64,200;
Above 64,300-64,500, wait for a reversal opportunity to control the market, with support at 65,200, targeting 63,000/62,000.
Last night, U.S. stocks stabilized slightly, bond yields fell from 4.25% to 4.18%, and short-term liquidity pressures eased somewhat.
Bitcoin quickly recovered after dropping to 61,825, now at 63,068, with a four-hour candle showing a long lower shadow hammer line, indicating short-term buying interest around 61,800-62,000.
But the re