AzureSeaVessel

ETH medium-term bearish, short-term weak rebound. **EMA four-line bearish cascade + death cross + ETF 30-day outflow of $1.05 billion, trend clearly bearish. 1H level MACD golden cross has a rebound, but 15-minute RSI has reached 77 (overbought), the rebound is likely to be blocked and pull back at **$1,695-$1,700**.
**Key Today**:
- Above **$1,695** is the bull-bear boundary (1H 200EMA), break above looks for rebound, blocked looks bearish
- Below **$1,628** is intraday support, break below accelerates towards $1,600→$1,582
- ⚠️ A dormant 7-year whale sold 27,585 ETH today at an average price

ETH Daily Trading Strategy
Entry Strategy 　Enter in two batches (re-enter after rebound to VWAP+1σ/EMA zone)
First Batch (60%)　$1,672 – $1,674 (VWAP+1σ $1,666.84 / EMA20 $1,673 convergence zone)
Second Batch (40%)　$1,693 – $1,702 (EMA50 $1,694 / below $1,700 round number, if rebound touches)
Average Price Reference　$1,680 ± 5
Hard Stop Loss　$1,698 (4H ATR×1, about +1.8% / Engine calculation: $1,697.60)
Target Price T1　$1,583 ($1,584 calculation) — Close 50% | Risk-Reward Ratio 1:3.5
Target Price T2　$1,540 ($1,539 calculation) — Close 30% | Risk-Reward Ratio 1:5.4
Target Price T

Today’s ETH trading points
Current price $1,737. Bollinger Band squeeze has turned before the FOMC:
6/15 surged to $1,849 (+9.9%) then hawkishly plummeted to $1,672, forming a typical false breakout.
EMA bearish arrangement (9<21<55), price far below EMA55 ($1,954) and EMA200 ($2,494).
MACD golden cross but KDJ death cross, conflicting signals. Volume shrank (volume ratio 0.60).
Resistance $1,750/$1,796/$1,849, support $1,700/$1,656/$1,569.

Today’s ETH Trading Strategy
Currently mainly observing, do not rush to enter. This morning’s liquidity is low (trading volume below 0.0x), wait until the Asian or European markets become active before acting.
My priority recommendations:
Wait for a rebound
2148
2,148–2,158 → Short position ← Primary
If it directly breaks below $2,110 → Do not chase the short, observe if there is a new bottom divergence before considering
If volume breaks through $2,148 → Light long for a rebound ← Secondary
If it fluctuates narrowly between 2,126–2,148 → Do not act, wait for the trend directio

ETH Night-time Order Points
Short position: 2340, 5% of position, take profit at 2300-2280-2264, stop loss at 2355
Long position: 2264, 5% of position, take profit at 2285-2298-2330
Strict take profit and stop loss!

During the day, short-term ETH trading entry points
Multiplier 200x
Ethereum 2283 place order to go long
Take profit at 2295-2305-2330
Stop loss at 2275
Strictly manage take profit and stop loss

Congratulations to the partners earning money through the experience order!

The multiple orders given this morning have been reduced to take profits. A break-even stop has been set to continue aiming for the next target!

Ethereum today's order placement levels

Current spot price: 1979.83 USDT; 24h -3.07%.
15-minute level
Support/Resistance: Support ~1958.36, Resistance ~1998.31.
Indicators: RSI6 ≈58, KDJ J high (71) indicating short-term pullback pressure; MACD HIST negative but trending upward.
Order Book/Funding Flow: 15m net inflow slightly positive (total buy ratio ~54%), indicating active buying by short-term bulls.
1-hour level
Support/Resistance: Support ~1954.4, Resistance ~1994.0.
Indicators: RSI6 ≈53, MACD DIF negative but MACD HIST slightly positive (recent bullish-bearish divergence); EMA series close together, no clear trend.
Funding Fl