BrotherTongSaysTheTrend

As of now, Bitcoin is in a deep correction phase after reaching a historical high. It has fallen nearly 46% from the peak of approximately $126k in October last year. In the short term, it is fluctuating within the $66k - $70k range, with the Fear & Greed Index around 31, indicating a cautious market sentiment.
The Fed's rate hike expectations have been delayed, liquidity has tightened, and combined with the slowdown in inflows into Bitcoin, these factors constitute short-term bearish signals; however, the scarcity post-halving, institutional long-term holdings, and on-chain token locking pr

Over the next few days, if you want to catch the pulse of Bitcoin precisely, just follow Tong Ge and focus on these two key points:
Tuesday night at 8:00 PM (Eastern Time)
The deadline for Golden Retriever’s final ultimatum—focus on the negotiation outcome:
Agreed = bullish news; talks fall apart = negative impact, first a drop then a rebound
The navigability of the Strait of Hormuz
As long as ships can still pass normally, oil prices can hold steady;
Once it’s completely blocked, oil prices will surge straight to 120+ and Bitcoin will instantly take a knee.
Even though I really don’t like Gol

After losing 4000 U, my fan base managed to turn things around with this trick.
Last month, a fan reached out to me: "Brother Tong, I’m trading futures in the crypto space. I lost all 4000 U. Is there any hope?"
I didn’t ask for details, just asked him to review the reasons for his losses—going all-in, chasing gains and selling at a loss, buying against the trend... he had almost all the trading taboos.
Then, I shared with him a basic framework for opening futures positions:
① First buy 20%
② If you buy incorrectly and lose 10%, immediately cut losses
The loss amount is 2% of the total positio

Many people trade, but actually it's a form of "self-punishment."
Many people trade not to make money at all.
They do it for "comfort."
Have you noticed:
When the market is stagnant, you feel anxious.
As soon as anxiety hits, you want to place an order.
The moment you place the order, your heart actually calms down.
This isn't trading skill. It's pain relief.
You're not trying to seize opportunities,
You're using "opening positions" to gain a feeling:
I'm still trying. I'm still participating. I'm not falling behind.
That's why I say—frequent trading is a form of emotional addiction.
The marke

Influenced by the outspoken yellow hair, Bitcoin directly hit 69,300 this morning.
However, the weekly/monthly downtrend remains unchanged, with moving averages in a bearish alignment.
Bitcoin: Range around 68,600-68,900, first watch 67,500 with a stop loss at 69,500#三月非农数据来袭 $BTC

Today's Hot Topics
1. U.S. initial jobless claims fall below expectations, indicating economic resilience
2. BlackRock ETF deposits $121 million in crypto assets into Coinbase
3. UBS strategist predicts gold may hit a new high within the year
4. U.S. stocks open lower and decline further, with the Nasdaq down 2%
5. BTC OG suggests Trump's speech hints at an irreversible escalation of conflict
6. BitGo launches institutional stablecoin minting service
7. U.S. prosecutors charge 10 individuals in a cryptocurrency wash trading scam#加密市场行情震荡 $BTC

I'm Tong Ge. Someone asked: "What gives you the right to be in the crypto world until now?"
I only reply one sentence: Only earn money within your cognition. $BTC
Does that sound like empty talk? Those who truly do it are one in a hundred. $ETH
He was stunned and asked again: How do you tell if the money is within your cognition?
I gave him three standards—after hearing them, you'll understand why some lose money in confusion, while others earn steadily.
First, dare to hold a heavy position.
It's not about actually holding a heavy position, but whether you have confidence in your

Today's Hot Topics
1. Google warns that quantum computing threatens Ethereum security, risk exceeds $10 billion (CoinDesk)
2. Iran's Revolutionary Guard announces crackdown on Middle Eastern US companies, warns 18 tech firms

3. Spot gold rises to $4,620 per ounce, silver up over 5%

4. People's Bank of China emphasizes implementing moderately loose monetary policy at the regular meeting

5. Traders estimate a 50% chance that the ECB will raise interest rates by 25 basis points in April

6. US stocks open higher, Nasdaq up 275 points at the open

7. BTC OG insider whale

Today, two pieces of news about the crypto market are worth noting:
1: Australia officially passes the cryptocurrency regulation bill, requiring exchanges and custodial platforms to obtain licenses;
2: The Hong Kong dollar stablecoin license, originally scheduled to be implemented in March, has not yet been issued, indicating that Asian regulators are making progress, but the pace is not as fast as the market expected. In the short term, the first piece of news is somewhat positive, while the second slightly dampens sentiment. Bitcoin is still likely to fluctuate and trend upward.