ChánZhōngChánShuōDiary

Yesterday, I attempted to break through but did not meet the three breakout conditions, so you were fooled again, right?
We all know market sentiment; varieties with excessive participation from retail investors and the general public are often difficult to achieve consistency.
The trend is usually the most complex, and to lead the pack, one must have enough experience and observation skills.
As a trader, you should know that only varieties with participation from the main players and institutions are the least risky.
The three conditions are not met, so it does not constitute a breako

I hope every trade you make is driven by enjoyment and rationality rather than impulse and complacency, just like marriage is based on love, not just settling. Last night, there was a tentative breakout, but the breakout conditions were not fully met, so it was all an illusion. Did you fall for it?

Currently, today’s situation shows little change from yesterday’s plan, still oscillating back and forth with high amplitude, the only difference being an acceleration of the amplitude.
A bullish buy signal formed on the 15-minute chart at noon; whether it can break through as per the key factors proposed yesterday is crucial.
The bulls are relatively strong, consistent with the judgment made yesterday.
To achieve a breakthrough this week, Ethereum needs to focus on key factors:
1. A volume breakout when the price surpasses 2385, with a single 15-minute candle showing a gain of over 1.

The new week has just begun, and the bullish sentiment is very strong. Yesterday early morning, a fifteen-minute bullish trend was formed, but the early spike behavior exceeded my trading principles and was forced to be cut. Let the noise be noise, and I will act freely. Anything that doesn't meet my criteria is passed.
Currently, as mentioned last week, after two days of brewing, the price has returned to the 2300-2385 range, and the fifteen-minute oscillation has lasted over half a month. Bitcoin's breakout is complete, and the bulls are already a certainty. For Ethereum to break through t

A new month begins, and this week has mostly been volatile with no significant opportunities; since breaking below 2300, the trend has formed a bearish situation. 2297 is the dividing line between bulls and bears; until it is broken, I still believe the bearish trend has not ended.
Below the 2300-2385 range, a new five-minute range of 2270-2245 has formed today. There was an attempt to break through in the morning, but now it is retracing and consolidating. As the weekend approaches and with May Day, the overall market is unlikely to be very easy to trade; it’s better to focus on small range

The trend has returned to the initial 2300-2385 range, and yesterday's market movement was similar to the 20th, with a break followed by a five-minute consolidation, then a one-minute central pivot upgrade breakout.
In trading, you should respond to market sentiment and the actions of the main players with the same direction; sometimes profits are limited, so don't let your desires control your emotions.
The 2300-2385 range continues, and the key point is whether this can absorb the four-hour retracement to form a four-hour cycle end, with the hallmark price action maintaining above 2278.

Last night, the first downward break of the range occurred, finally breaking the bulls and bears' equilibrium.
The bears are starting to become more confident, and the price continues to decline.
Breaking below 2300 indicates the end of the bullish phase, and whether it rebounds or continues to decline afterward, trading becomes much simpler.
The range between 2300 and 2385 has been broken, and currently, a five-minute consolidation zone has formed between 2291 and 2278.
This zone is critical in determining whether the downtrend will continue or if a rebound will occur.
It has alread

The basic overview shared last time is not much different. The breakout and rally took 20 hours, and the trend was ended in just two hours, once again perfectly drawing the gate. These past few days, I’ve been very restless, unable to come up with elegant language. The basic trend remains oscillating, giving you an illusion of endless upward pressure, only to let you feel disappointed again and again.
The fluctuation pattern between 2300-2385 has not changed. This kind of trend is not worth analyzing; do you say now to catch the rebound or continue to squeeze higher? I think neither is corre

There was no update yesterday, partly because there was no market movement, and partly because something different happened.
Everyone should have noticed that market trends are usually continuous; only when market sentiment is in place or a one-sided trend emerges does the market become active.
Currently, there are two main directional judgments for the market:
1. Next week, a positive catalyst will trigger a large bullish candle, completing a thorough breakout and achieving a continuous one-month rebound.
2. The rebound should be over, and the consolidation has not ended. From trading

Some may question whether this multi-head trend has really arrived.
Answer: The market is still dominated by Bitcoin, with altcoins lagging behind.
The bullish trend of Bitcoin is intact, and questioning the bulls is a market consensus; trading should primarily focus on opportunities.

Today I actually don't want to update at all, but we still have to stick to the daily update. The market movement is exactly as expected, with not even an hour of deviation in the start time. Looking at Bitcoin, it still has some room to grow; once it breaks through 78,700, it will signal the true arrival of a bull market.
Specifically, today’s price has reached the upper edge of the 2300-2385 central zone upgrade. Currently, trading volume has sharply decreased, which should be a test of the 2385 level. Someone will definitely question: Why is my judgment of the central zone expansion diffe

Actually, I don’t really want to post an update today, but we still have to stick with one update per day. The market is exactly the same as we expected—right down to the start time being off by no more than an hour. As for Bitcoin, it’s still a bit lacking; if it breaks through 78,700, that will be the true arrival of the bull market.

最近看了cz的《币安人生》明白人生是封面，自己写的才是内容！愿我们都生活在一个以自由为起点的世界里。
人生最终的的自由，从来不是金钱能买来的，而是对规则的敬畏，对自我的克制和对内心的清醒。

Have a pleasant weekend, and a new week begins anew. Market fluctuations are quite significant, mostly large amplitude swings, but still following the 15-minute central zone upgrade range of 2300-2385. This week, we are initially facing a decision on the market direction.
Specifically, the 15-minute trend since 2464 shows signs of a retracement ending. The key remains the support rebound at the 2300 level. If the five-minute trend stabilizes without making new lows, it will continue to return to the 2300-2385 range. This will become increasingly favorable for the bulls.
The observation poi

Today’s flat market seems to be very boring again, with yesterday’s evening session touching the bottom of the fifteen-minute consolidation range. Currently, it continues to fluctuate within the range; to break out of the direction, it probably has to wait until the weekend.
At noon, the bullish volume emerged, but the price did not follow up with an increase, indicating a period of shrinking volume consolidation and market sentiment being subdued. Normally, when such a situation occurs, the consolidation usually takes at least 30-50 hours to complete.
The fifteen-minute consolidation rang

Today’s market feels very boring. Yesterday was also hard to trade, mostly old ladies climbing stairs and annoying. Today’s trend can only be speculated; it may be wrong, but the probability of being wrong is not high.
From yesterday’s market, we can see that 2316 and 2300 are strong support levels, and without fifteen-minute level oscillations, it’s hard to break below.
In the morning, a five-minute consolidation zone was formed at 2380-2346 (yellow box), which is the oscillation range around which today’s trading is based.
The fifteen-minute oscillation consolidation range is 2300-2385

Yesterday's market movement was in line with expectations, really like Zhang Fei eating bean sprouts—easily grasped! First, a range-bound consolidation with increased volume broke through and stabilized at 2377, then quickly surged, perfect. Today's market is actually quite simple; it's important to understand that the market direction and momentum are consistent with Bitcoin. So, casually observing Bitcoin can help with Ethereum trading. Currently, Bitcoin is in a bearish trend, with the long-short dividing line at 74,550; below that, it’s all downward outlook.
Today, Ethereum has not forme

The market is very explosive, breaking through the downward trend line overnight.
The four-hour triple buy successfully increased volume, indicating a short-term trend reversal.
Subsequently, focus on the bulls; even in the worst case, there is still a chance for a fifteen-minute central pivot to rise from 2258 to 2175, and when it breaks through 2258, a five-minute triple buy will successfully form and trend out.
Therefore, the Chan Theory can be trusted; volume and momentum are the components of the candlestick chart.
Due to time constraints, I can only update once a day, so determin