LaoLiuTalksAboutTren

A few days ago I posted that the SpaceX valuation isn't worth chasing, and even mentioned that if it continues to rise, the risk-reward ratio for shorting with low leverage will become increasingly favorable.
Looking back now, the market has already started to realize this logic.
But what I want to say is that I think this story might not be over yet; currently, the valuation for SpaceX is still close to an astronomical level, and the market is valuing not just performance, but Mars, AI, Starlink, and Musk's personal halo.
The problem is, stories can be told infinitely, but chips won't b

ACT is the trade that truly changed my understanding.
By the end of 2024, when the AI concept was just beginning to ferment on the blockchain, I accidentally came across $ACT in my Sesame Wallet. At that time, the project had almost no hype, the community was small, and discussions were few, but its AI narrative made me feel it was different from the pure meme projects in the market.
I didn't go all-in; I just allocated some funds to buy in, thinking: even if it goes to zero, I can accept it, but if the narrative takes off, the returns could far exceed the risk.
Later, ACT started to ri

Honestly, I really can't quite understand SpaceX's valuation.
Its market cap has already surged to nearly $2.8 trillion, about to surpass Amazon, but the problem is Amazon's annual revenue is around $600-28k, while SpaceX's revenue last year was only about $18.6 billion.
Even more outrageous is that in 2025, SpaceX still lost nearly $5 billion.
A loss-making company being driven to become one of the top five most valuable companies in the world—I've only seen this kind of scene during the dot-com bubble.
Many people are hyping Starlink, Mars, AI, and Musk, but if you look closely at th

Here’s a fun fact: Elon Musk’s net worth is about to surpass BTC!
Because SpaceX has gone public, Musk’s personal assets have reached $1.11 trillion.
Bitcoin’s total market cap is about $1.28 trillion. That means Musk’s personal wealth is ≈ 87% of Bitcoin’s total market cap.
BTC took 16 years to attract global capital consensus.
For a tech entrepreneur like Musk, his wealth is less than $200 billion away from the entire BTC network—he’s already almost caught up to the world’s largest crypto asset.
xAI’s valuation is still expanding rapidly, and SpaceX has only just started to emerge.

In the 2024 bull market, I once heavily invested in a popular meme coin.
It surged for several consecutive days, and the group was full of "hundredfold legends,"
I was afraid of missing out, so I went all in.
As a result, I bought at the top, losing nearly 70% in just a few days.
That trade taught me one thing:
The people who truly make money are not the ones who buy the fastest,
but those who can control their risks.
Since then, I set a rule for myself: never fully allocate,
and don't chase high out of FOMO.
There have also been times when I made the right judgment but didn'

很多人还把 HYPE 当成“妖币”看，实际上它已经越来越像一个真正的交易所龙头资产了。
现在 HYPE 市值已经来到 160 亿美金附近，FDV 超过 600 亿。
在整个链上 perp DEX 赛道里，已经是绝对第一梯队。
而且最关键的不是价格，是真实盈利能力。
HyperLiquid 不是那种靠讲故事拉盘的项目，它是真的有人在上面交易。
光 24h 成交量长期都在几十亿甚至更高，大户、做市商、职业交易员越来越多。
很多人喜欢拿 Aster 之类的新 DEX 对比，但我觉得逻辑很简单：
交易所这个赛道，本来就是赢家通吃。
就像当年的币安。
后面出现过无数挑战币安的平台，但最后发现，币安一直是王
流动性最深的平台，会吸走最多用户；
用户越多，手续费赚得越狠；
赚得越狠，生态和产品更新又越快。
最后形成正循环。
HyperLiquid 现在其实已经有那个味道了。$HYPE

Have you ever been liquidated or made huge profits from these crazy coins?
Let's take a look at the current situation of these coins.
FOLKS: The all-time high is about 49, the bottom point is 3.5, early on it reached nearly 13.4 times the high, now 1.2.
PIPPIN: During the contract surge phase, it reached nearly 80 times, now it has fallen from 0.9 back to 0.02.
TRADOOR: During the 0.7u-10u phase, it surged about 17 times.
RAVE: The highest during the phase was about 113 times, the all-time high is about 28.3, bottom point 0.25.
Not finished with the statistics, I don't want to keep

Bitcoin Pizza Day’s biggest regret
might not be buying two pizzas with 10,000 BTC. 🍕
Instead, many people back then felt that:
“Once it goes up a little, it’s time to sell.”
Only later did they realize:
what they’d sold wasn’t really BTC—
it was an entire era.
I feel this one deeply.
Earlier, I bought 1 BTC when it was $20,000, but later it rose to $30,000 and I sold it at the wrong time.
At the time, I even thought I’d profited—so much so that I was feeling smug.
Now looking back,
that feeling is oddly similar to Pizza Day:
You think you’ve just completed an ordinary trade,
o

NXPC /USDT is about to rebound: driven by technicals and market activity.
Recently, the GameFi sector token NXPC/USDT experienced a short-term pullback, with the price briefly falling to a 24-hour low of 1.77770 USDT. However, combining the current technical indicators with market dynamics, several signals indicate that NXPC may have reached a stage bottom, and a rebound is brewing.
Key data support: prices stabilize, trading volume releases positive signals.
1. Signs of price bottoming out are emerging.
- The current quote is 1.91362 USDT, which has rebounded approximately 7.6% from the 24

🔥 Old Liu reveals the hidden divergence between Candlestick and MACD: instantly recognize reversals, a must-have for targeting short orders!
The essence of Lao Liu's words:
Old Liu believes that when the price rises but the MACD red bars shrink? Be careful of the bullish trap! Once the upper shadow appears, go short!
Old Liu summarizes key signals
✅ Old Liu talks about pattern characteristics:
- K-line: Lao Liu believes that when the continuous rise or even a new high, be wary of false heights!
- MACD: Lao Liu emphasizes that if the red bars do not follow the rise but instead shorten/turn

Old Liu talks about the latest strategy for AVAX: Currently, AVAX has shown a double bottom pattern, and once successful, the previous resistance level will turn into strong support. Looking at the fundamentals, recent market data is impressive, with volume skyrocketing 109% within 24 hours, and the number of active addresses has surged by 221%. Both market enthusiasm and participation are significantly increasing.

Based on the trend, AVAX is likely to consolidate in the price range of $23.5 - $25.5 for a few days, and after building momentum, it will most likely break upwards. It is worth p