ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

Futures Trading Strategist

Market Analyst

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Rules respect human nature, risk control maintains the bottom line. Be patient and wait for opportunities; discipline turns into profit. Stable gains are my only belief. After nine years of trading, I am still on the journey. Real trading, genuine records, I enjoy sharing and welcome conversations. In my trading journal, there are no gods, only someone who takes trading seriously.

ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-24 11:30

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-24 09:04

Gold's trajectory will depend less on geopolitical headlines
Gold has fallen for ten consecutive trading days, marking the longest losing streak on record. Market optimism initially surged after Trump's comments on potential Middle East progress, but quickly faded. Iran previously dismissed negotiation possibilities, and reports indicated Gulf allies could be involved. The escalating conflict has amplified inflation risks and reinforced expectations that rates may remain elevated for a longer period, creating headwinds for non-yielding assets like gold. Since the conflict erupted on February 2

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-23 07:12

International spot gold annual gains wiped out; subsequent trends depend on extent of damage to Iran's energy infrastructure
International spot gold extended last week's decline at the beginning of this week, with intraday losses exceeding 4%. Today's decline has completely erased the year-to-date gains. Precious metals analyst Bernard Dahdah believes the current trend hinges on the direction of Middle East conflict and whether the Strait of Hormuz can be reopened. If Iran's energy facilities suffer further damage and the conflict becomes protracted, given the stickiness of energy prices, it c

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-23 07:06

Gold, Silver, and Crude Oil 30-Minute Long/Short Strategy
I. Spot Gold (Pivot Point: 4450)
High probability (bearish): Price below 4450, establish short positions, target levels 4210, 4130
Low probability (bullish): Price breaks above 4450, establish long positions, target levels 4540, 4610
Technical signal: RSI drops below 30, bearish bias
Key reference: Support 3890, Resistance 4130
II. Spot Silver (Pivot Point: 67.30)
High probability (bearish): Price below 67.30, establish short positions, target levels 62.00, 60.00 (extended targets)
Low probability (bullish): Price breaks above

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-23 07:01

The weekly MACD has entered a deeply negative zone, and gold may continue to weaken. According to technical analysis, gold experienced a significant decline last week and broke through key support levels, indicating the possibility of further weakness. Spot gold recorded its largest weekly drop since 1983. Additionally, spot gold fell below the support range of $4,381 to $4,403 per ounce today. Moreover, the weekly MACD has entered a deeply negative zone, with the next weekly support level at $4,004 per ounce.#Gate13周年全球庆典

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-23 07:00

# Intraday Analysis of International Spot Gold: Global Liquidity Taking Turns Trampling, Market Selling Gold to Fill Massive Margin Gaps in Equities and Bond Markets
During Monday's Asian trading session, international spot gold prices declined another 3%, continuing the brutal decline of over 10% from last week. As multiple key technical levels collapsed in succession, gold is facing the most severe survival test since this bull market began. Currently, gold bears are unstoppable. As Middle East tensions enter a new stage of "comprehensive escalation," the U.S. dollar and U.S. Treasury yields

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03-23 06:59

International Gold Faces "Liquidity Crisis," Flash Crash Threatening the Foundation of the Bull Market? — Three Key Points to Watch for Gold and Silver Today
1. Market Review: Last Friday, international spot gold declined for the eighth consecutive trading day, marking the longest losing streak since October 2023. The decline accelerated during the U.S. trading session, with an intraday drop exceeding $150, reaching a new low in over a month. The week ended down 3.45% at $4,491.15 per ounce, with the weekly decline the largest since 1983. International spot silver broke below the $68 level, ul

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ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-22 15:25

# Gold Price Outlook Going Forward
The gold market has experienced significant volatility recently, with prices undergoing a shakeout-style decline that has captured investor attention. Based on Jin Shi VIP exclusive gold investor weekly reports and related chart analysis, I believe this decline is not driven by fundamental factors such as inflation concerns, but rather by technical adjustments and short-term factors like option expiration. Looking ahead, gold is expected to form a double bottom pattern before initiating a rebound, with the overall uptrend set to continue.
## I. Reasons for De

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03-22 08:10

Trump Can Calm Oil Markets, But Cannot Decide When to Reopen the Strait; Oil Prices Are Far From Reflecting True Risks
On Friday this week, Brent crude pulled back before the weekend. Compared to before, following Trump's pressure on Israel this week, market concerns about damage to oil and gas infrastructure have eased somewhat. The market is now more likely considering scenarios like the US and Israel announcing "end bombing" or "concluding soon." Even if such statements appear, they may still be accompanied by sporadic bombing over weeks. But Trump is very likely to continue releasing simil

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2026 Charge forward, keep going, let's work together to make a big profit 💪💪💪

ChenDong'sTransactionNotes

03-21 15:31

【Trump Performs "Art of the Buck Pass": Where Will the Middle East Situation Head?】
US President Trump has claimed to be considering a gradual reduction in large-scale military operations against Iran in the Middle East, stating that the objective is nearly achieved. Notably, this announcement was released after market close. Over the past three weeks, each time he has escalated the situation immediately after market close. This time, however, he seems to be de-escalating, or at least hinting that he might withdraw. The strategy he's implying here is something many have speculated about—that h

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03-21 15:30

【Has the Market Already Written the Rate Hike Script? Will the Fed Play Along?】
While the Federal Reserve maintains a rate-cutting baseline officially, market expectations have clearly shifted, even beginning to bet on the possibility of future rate hikes. Three major factors driving this rising risk include: inflation persisting above the 2% target, rising oil prices potentially pushing prices higher, and actual interest rates continuously declining since rate cuts began in 2024, rendering monetary policy no longer distinctly restrictive.
Current inflation remains stubborn, particularly with

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