Hongshi'sSolitaryThoughts

vip
Futures Trading Strategist
Crypto Market Researcher
Market Analyst
Hongshi Guhui, from Qing Dynasty Zeng Guofan's "Portrait of Sage and Philosopher," is used to describe someone with exceptional insight and independent character. Let's use that kind of wisdom to confidently excel in the crypto world! Our trading plan involves risking 2% to 10% of the margin per trade, with leverage of 10 to 20 times! We are confident in achieving a monthly return of 30%, an annual return of 23 times, over 500 times in two years, and reaching the ambitious goal of 10,000 times in three years! Keep going!
Currency: ✅BTC
Direction: Long
Leverage: 100x
Entry: Around 66,880 (1-hour MA99 strong support level, also the dense accumulation zone after the previous sharp decline)
Take profit: 70,200 / 72,500
Stop loss: 65,850
Currency: ✅ETH
Direction: Short
Leverage: 100x
Entry: Around 2,130 (4-hour MA99 resistance level, the neckline of the previous downtrend channel)
Take profit: 2,030 / 1,950
Stop loss: 2,168
These two strategies are quite aggressive, for reference!
BTC-0.04%
ETH0.34%
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Crypto Circle Director:
Asset: ✅BTC
Direction: Long
Leverage: 100x
Entry: Around 66,880 (1-hour chart MA99 strong support level, also the dense accumulation zone after previous sharp decline)
Take Profit: 70,200 / 72,500
Stop Loss: 65,850
Asset: ✅ETH
Direction: Short
Leverage: 100x
Entry: Around 2,130 (4-hour MA99 resistance level, the neckline of the previous downtrend channel)
Take Profit: 2,030 / 1,950
Stop Loss: 2,168
These two strategies are also my own pending orders, for reference only!
BTC-0.04%
ETH0.34%
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In the cryptocurrency (crypto market) space,‌ patience in waiting for opportunities‌ is one of the core skills that determine long-term investment success. Based on current timing (March 2026) and publicly available information, its importance is mainly reflected in the following aspects:
‌1. The necessary mindset to cope with market high volatility‌
Cryptocurrency prices often fluctuate sharply due to policies, sentiment, or black swan events. For example:
‌The Terra/Luna collapse in 2022‌,‌ the liquidity crisis triggered by the Silicon Valley Bank incident in 2023‌, all led to single-day dro
LUNA-2.06%
BTC-0.04%
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It's not money lost, but focus that’s gone.
You might be familiar with trading systems, strict risk control, and keeping up with market dynamics—yet still get wiped out.
It's not the market "punishing" you, but a moment when you let your guard down.
A glance at your phone, a fleeting "what if," an unnecessary entry—everything collapses.
From that moment on, you're no longer trading; you're reacting passively.
Focus isn't about staring fixedly at the candlestick chart.
It's a state: living in the present, calm and steady, fearless and clear-minded, letting go of the obsession with "must trade."
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#Training
When is the best time not to trade in the market?
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In trading, patience is one of the most underestimated skills.
Most people think trading is all about constantly making moves: opening positions, closing them, opening again, making money. But the reality is, genuine profit opportunities are actually quite rare.
And the impulse to jump in just because you feel like it is always there.
You understand technical analysis, can read support and resistance levels, and watch volume, but if you lack patience, all of that is useless.
You rush in early → get stopped out
You exit too soon → miss out on profits
You hold through sideways movement jus
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Three Per Ten Thousand Law
George Soros once introduced a Three Per Ten Thousand Law:
Among 10,000 futures traders:
1,000 can correctly predict the market trend,
which means about one-tenth of the people can see the correct trend;
but among these 1,000 who predict correctly,
only 100 actually make correct trades,
meaning only 1% overall both predict correctly and execute correctly;
Of these 100 who predict and trade correctly,
how many ultimately make money?
Only 3, which means only three in ten thousand overall both predict and trade correctly and end up profiting.
To summarize:
Out of 10,000
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Another month of decline?
Bitcoin is about to close the fifth consecutive month in the red.
From October 2025 to February 2026
March will close on Tuesday, currently $BTC around $66,000, and this month is also in a downward trend.
Six consecutive months of closing in the red will repeat Bitcoin's longest losing streak in history.
This record was set from August 2018 to January 2019.
The only time this happened in history, Bitcoin was at $3,400, and then surged 300% over the next five months.
BTC-0.04%
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GateUser-5b33cef7vip:
March 29, 2026, Late Night Crypto Market Report

First, a pessimistic update for everyone:
There will be no positive news in the next month.
Ethereum is currently hovering around the $2,000 mark.
It has neither broken below nor rebounded.
Throughout the weekend, the price was confined between 1960 and 2030.
Volatility was extremely narrow.
The market has entered a very rare state of silence.
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🔥Qingming Must-Read | Traders' Wealth Feng Shui
Qingming brings heavy yin energy, and the Qimen are all warning:
This period is most likely to leak wealth, so don't act recklessly!
❌ Stay away from KTVs, nightclubs, and places with cold, gloomy, and mixed energies
❌ Don't play recklessly, avoid impulsive trading, and don't go all-in randomly
When yin energy clashes, financial luck is directly cut off
✅ Protect your yang energy; only then will your wealth reservoir be stable
✅ Sleep less late nights, avoid gloomy places, and wait patiently for the trend
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Just sharing some thoughts on the upcoming bear market.
There are some positive signals as well, such as the Federal Reserve printing $16 billion, the US and Iran reaching an agreement, and the end of cryptocurrency law enforcement and regulation, among others...
.
But Bitcoin isn't buying it and continues to fall.
Based on SOPR, MVRV, and buy/sell data from long-term and short-term holders, it also indicates that the decline is likely to continue.
It's clear that the bear market has only completed half of its cycle.
Let's do a simple calculation.
After the last wave B rebound, Bitcoin dipped
BTC-0.04%
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In the new year, don't get too close to "poor people." Please note! In the new year, make sure not to get too close to "poor people."
Of course, this doesn't mean you should look down on the poor. The true "poverty" referred to here is not having an empty pocket, but a deeply ingrained "poverty mindset":
1. Poor in speech: loves to make excuses, always complains, but never reflects on oneself.
2. Poor in vision: shortsighted, only cares about the present, unable to see long-term opportunities.
3. Poor in cognition: shallow understanding, stubborn in one's opinions, ultimately harming o
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