MinusTwoDegrees

Last night, BTC’s lowest point was 61,297, and this morning’s highest point was 64,691—separated by 3,394 points. So today, the pullback to go long must be between these two levels (you can be 1000% sure it’s impossible to drop below 61,397). Today, you can use Fibonacci retracement levels together with the chart’s timeframe to catch long entries.
64,691-3,394*0.382 = 63,394
64,691-3,394*0.5 = 62,994
64,691-3,394*0.618 = 62,593
Because the fast and slow lines on the 4-hour chart are intertwined, with bulls and bears locked in a fierce battle, for the pullback, watch the 4-hour Bollinger

Every time it bounces up, someone will ask, can we go long now?
Remember one thing: as long as it's not a unilateral downtrend, you can go long at any time. The key is how much you plan to enter, how much volatility you allow, where to set stop loss or do a T trade or where to add positions if it breaks down.
When the market is strong and the pullback is not large, a universal method to avoid both missing out and fearing a drop: initial position at market price + add position when it pulls back to around 0.50 of the day's range (for example, if it rises 2000 points today, add positions at the

The latter half of the bear market is a transition phase. It doesn’t necessarily keep making new lows—instead, it spends more time building a base, with maneuvers performed in plain sight while others are quietly carried out behind the scenes. Be careful if you’re shorting: compared with mid-May to the end of June, there have already been major changes. The adjustment from mid-May to the end of June was the result of a combination of factors, including concerns about policy uncertainty in the market after the Federal Reserve changed leadership, Japan’s rate hikes, and more. When July arrives,

Why is MSTR (MicroStrategy) contract relatively easy to trade? Because its current price is close to SOL, and the amplitude of each small up and down wave is similar to SOL, so trading MSTR feels the same as trading SOL.
Last week, it pulled back to 82 and stopped falling, then broke through 87 and 97 successively, and returned above 100. What's next? I don't guess the direction, only talk about the logic of entry and exit points.
Next Monday after the open, directly market buy a few head positions around 101, add positions directly when breaking 104, lock the defense at 100 (the day before ye

US stock market opening countdown 52 hours, prepare enough ammunition in advance, there will be a big surge as soon as it opens. This time, US stocks and Bitcoin will rally together.
From mid-to-late July to mid-August, buying on dips can make money. I said on June 25 (and repeatedly reminded that after June 26, all negative factors have been exhausted, so you can stop shorting; if you shorted at the bottom, give yourself a few slaps).

Today:
eth: 1746-1738 long, target: 1822-1838. Interim take-profit levels: 1796, 1812. Stop loss: near 1726, the lowest point of last night's retracement.
btc: 62400-62286 long, 61888 add (do not add if not reached). Stop loss 61600. Target 64125. Interim take-profit levels: 63250, 63725.

Companies set to list on the Nasdaq in the U.S. in July include: Bending Spoons (BSP), Itg Inc (ITG), Neutron Holdings (Lime), and MetaOptics (MOT).
Bending Spoons (BSP): A well-known technology company based in Italy.
Neutron Holdings, Inc. (LIME): A U.S. micro-mobility transportation company. It operates shared electric scooter and electric bicycle rental services under the Lime brand (formerly LimeBike).
Itg Inc (ITG): A U.S. digital and communications infrastructure services provider. It primarily offers end-to-end services such as network construction, operation, and maintenance for broad

ETH closed below the resistance zone of 1594-1606 this morning, basically expecting a break below 1500. Long at low: 1470/1468 (light), 1444/1430. Use 1399.5 as defense.

This options expiry day may see a sudden spike (“needle”). Once the spike appears, enter the market immediately. Emphasize the defensive thinking for picking longs at the lows: “defense” varies from person to person, and depends on your own liquidation price—whether it’s above or below.
For example, if someone’s ETH liquidation is below 900, then the long entries at 1468–1444 don’t need to stop out; you can even add to the position, because going long at new lows is the safest. Here, the “defense” is at most like a T—meaning if it goes above 1400, you reduce by at most 5% at 1400, and then add

Some friends said that SOL has been quite strong this week. BTC broke below 59,000, but SOL not only didn't break below 60, it even retraced several times to 67, 64, and 63 in the past two days, and quickly bounced back to 68-69. This is because the starting point of this pullback was 76, and the lowest point of the wave it retraced to is still around 60. Even if 60 is breached, it would only be a fake break to around 58. Therefore, in this decline, SOL's retracement to around 60 can serve as a reference for simultaneously bottom-fishing (going long) BTC and ETH.
Some friends see it dropping t

Recently, I’ve been preparing in advance for the next bull market. Whenever the price dips, I add to my spot positions. Since I mainly trade on a coin basis, I naturally—subjectively, that is—feel happy about prices going up. Shouldn’t nobody like prices falling? Unless they’re into something weird.
Every 4 years, the bear and bull cycles alternate, and the time for the small bull and the big bull takes up 3/4 of it. Even so, it’s only in an upward trend that people truly make money. I’ve never seen anyone get rich long-term just by continuously doing pure shorting. If you want to buy the chea

The next Bitcoin halving date is April 2028, which basically overlaps with the previous one. Each 16 months after a Bitcoin halving marks a major bull cycle, but instead of trading much during the bull phase, I usually don’t, because within those 16 months after the halving, Bitcoin first oscillates from the mountainside up to the peak, and then comes back down—the amplitude is too big, and contracts are easy to wear out. So every 4 years, my focus is mainly on the alternating bear-and-bull cycles during the period leading up to the Bitcoin halving—the small bull cycle before it—meaning from J

Today, if BTC shorts again, wait for 67,850/67,925. 68,000-68,850 is a strong resistance zone for short-term trading. Enter this range to add one more order. A pullback to 67,455-67,155 can be used to close part of the position. After a break below 67,000, consider closing part of the position at 66,850/66,666. The shorts here are protected at 69,000.
For ETH, if you’re shorting, it’s 1,888/1,896. Defense is at 1,900. The resistance points above 1,900 are 1,926 and 1,960. When the price reaches here, it should pull back to 1,888-1,856, where you can close part of the position. 1,960 is a large

Two algorithmic methods to estimate the low point of Bitcoin's main downward wave 3:
Algorithm 1: Referencing the retracement ratios of the previous two waves.
Main downward wave 1: 126209 - 80600 = 45,609, retracement ratio: 45609 / 126209 = 0.361
Main downward wave 2: 97932 - 59800 = 38,132 (actual decline of 38,132 points), retracement ratio: 38132 / 97932 = 0.389
Forecasting main downward wave 3, using the previous two waves' retracement ratios 0.36 and 0.38:
Low point 1: 82828 - (82828 * 0.36) = 53,000
Low point 2: 82828 - (82828 * 0.38) = 51,353
Algorithm 2: Fibonacci retracement ratios.

ETH main decline wave 3 low point derivation:
Method 1: Referencing the retracement coefficients of the previous two waves.
Main decline wave 1: 4957 - 2620 = 2,337
Retracement coefficient 2337/4957 = 0.471
Main decline wave 2: 3403 - 1716 = 1,687
1687/2403 = 0.702
Using the adjustment coefficients 0.47 and 0.70, the retracement positions are:
Low point 1: 2463 - (2463 * 0.47) = 1,305
Low point 2: 2463 - (2463 * 0.70) = 738 (extreme low point, lower than the 2022 low, not used as reference)
Method 2: Fibonacci retracement derivation:
Main decline wave 2: 3045 - 1736 = 1,309
1309 * 0.382 = 50