HanYuxiang

I want to start with a conclusion on this BTC cycle: I don’t think this is the bottom, nor do I think it’s a continuation of a trending move.
Many people get excited when they see this set of data:
Sharpe ratio rebounds after dropping below -20 → “historical bottom signal”
Top short positions keep increasing → “the trend will continue to fall”
But my understanding is the opposite
This isn’t a contradiction—it’s two expressions of emotion at the same stage
Bottom signal = “a post-hoc confirmation logic from history”
Short positions increasing = “real capital behavior in the current market”
In o

The large pastry surged and then pulled back. On the hourly chart, there are six consecutive bearish candles, and the price broke below the 63,000 mark; in the short term, there is still room for further decline.
With this stretch of continuous upward momentum over the weekend and early Monday, the stops at the lower end have been cleared out. Next, holders of high-level shorts can reduce their exposure and look toward the 61.8k-62.3k area. ​​​#btc$BTC

The US stock market is closed today. While the volatility narrows, let's talk about the market.
In the past two days, influenced by macroeconomic data, mainstream coins have seen a strong rebound. BTC broke through 62,000, ETH stood at 1,700, and SOL returned to 80. Before this, I kept emphasizing that shorting Bitcoin at 50,000 level no longer offers good risk-reward. Because the crash over the past few months has largely priced in all the negatives, and even the market has already priced in expectations of further rate hikes. So at the beginning of the week, around 59,000-58,000, I started t

#btc$btc #btc价格可能在 A technical rebound occurred near 57800, targeting the 60000-62000 area, but this is just a corrective bounce after oversold conditions, not a trend reversal. The rebound is an opportunity for longs to reduce positions, not to add.
Medium term
The effective support below is at the 50000 round number (psychological support). Further down is the 42000-45000 area (2024 chip dense zone). If 57700 is effectively broken (likely), 50000 is only a matter of time.
In the long term
The monthly MACD has just crossed below the zero line. Historically, the repair cycle for this structure

$BTC Current price 61366, 24h increase 2.88%, short-term market condition is temporarily defined as a relatively strong pattern.
Today's core idea is not to rush into blind bullishness, focusing on whether the price can effectively hold above the key resistance level of 62200.
The market is releasing three key signals:
1. Volume increases simultaneously; this rally is not an empty pump without capital support.
2. The short-term core pullback support is around 60200; the capital absorption at this level is the watershed for short-term strength.
3. Referring to similar past candlestick structur

Nonfarm payrolls come in unexpectedly weak, and with U.S. stock markets closed tonight, it’s expected that the market will hold steady and continue adjusting at this week’s high levels.
Bitcoin is within expectations. It’s pressing right up against the daily BOLL middle band around 62,200 and has pulled back just as anticipated, but the move isn’t large. With support from favorable news, it may continue to “ferment” and keep that slow-grind adjustment pace.
In terms of trading behavior, this sudden catch-up bounce is still largely within a controllable range. If you’re holding short positions

On the early morning of July 2nd, BTC shot up with a green candle, directly breaking through 61,000 and peaking at 61,280. During the day, it continued climbing and is now hovering above 61,300, up 3.47% in 24 hours. Looks pretty fierce, right? But let me tell you, I've seen this script way too many times.
The 61,000 level has been tested multiple times before. Every time it breaks upward, it can't hold and ends up as a false breakout. Today is no different—one green candle and then it fizzles out. Volume isn't backing it up, and the chips near the 60k mark haven't been sufficiently turned ove

Bitcoin has had a rocky run—shifting back and forth and striking the 61,000 mark twice, before finally coming under pressure and pulling back to adjust around the 60,000 area.
From a short-term perspective, there is still room for another pullback lower. The support below sits around the 59,000 zone. If you’re holding up positions at the highs, you can lighten up and look lower.
Before the US session, wait and watch; by then, we will plan for the Nonfarm Payrolls. ​​

Ethereum’s bullish momentum remains strong, and intraday long opportunities can still be arranged on dips 🚀
Ethereum continued to strengthen yesterday. We provided a strategy of buying on pullbacks in advance, targeting the 1610 area. The profit space was successfully realized within the day—rising all the way from 1552 to 1630, capturing nearly 80 points of gain ✅
At present, although it briefly surged to 1645 this morning and then pulled back to around 1619, the bullish momentum on the 4-hour level is still ample, and the price is still trading near the upper Bollinger Band. We can cont

Everyone’s entry position is different, but if you’re a little more aggressive, you’re just stopped out—getting clipped by the market maker. What can you do, helpless!
As it pulls back after the spike, holding Big Cake at 6.05.
Also holding ETH at 1620/1630…… #btc$BTC

The Small Non-Farm prelude is here—tomorrow’s Big Non-Farm will be the finale!
From the data so far, the gap between the previous value and the forecast isn’t large, so the expected impact is limited.
If you look at it purely from a technical perspective and continue to favor the pullback—if it keeps rebounding—then you can continue to focus on the 5.95–60k area.
Technically, there hasn’t been any major change. Even if there’s a quick intraday rebound spike, the overall situation is still holding in a weak, sideways consolidation.
The daily chart shows a downward trend, but the volume isn’t en

July 1
BTC Evening
4-hour Bollinger Bands contracting, price oscillating near the lower rail repeatedly, with highs and lows narrowing, indicating low-level sideways accumulation and washout. KDJ at low-level stagnation, MACD green bars shrinking, short-term upward repair momentum exists, but insufficient volume limits rebound strength.
Market bull-bear watershed: $60k. Only by holding above 60K can the upward rebound space open; if continuously pressured below 60K, it remains weak.
Strategy: Short 59500-60100, defense 60700, target 58600-57800#btc$BTC

While others enjoy their day-to-day lives, I keep delivering high-level trading ideas. Many retail traders struggle to catch the short-selling rhythm, miss out on market upswings, and their accounts continue to rack up losses.
Looking back at June’s performance for the whole month, we took a top-down approach to align with the bearish trend: we started building short positions from 72,000. Then we kept adding at 65,500, 62,600, and 60,800. After the price broke below 59,000, we continued adding short positions along with the move, staying committed to the core mindset of shorting from high lev

Bitcoin has fallen below 60k, and Ethereum is weakening in sync. The crypto market has entered the late bear phase, but the true cycle bottom may not have appeared yet.
Recently, the cooling of AI trading has become the main theme of the global market. The Nasdaq has fallen for five consecutive trading days, and the Philadelphia Semiconductor Index plummeted 7% in a single day. Funds are rotating from large-cap tech stocks to small-cap stocks and U.S. Treasuries, while crypto assets are under pressure alongside tech stocks.
At the same time, the U.S. May PCE inflation rose to 4.1%, strengtheni