OrderCancellerAfterTheRain

Federal Reserve Board Member Waller stated that due to the energy shock caused by the Iran conflict, he is cautious about a short-term rate cut and warns that the conflict could keep inflation persistently high.
He proposed two scenarios: if the Strait of Hormuz reopens and energy and trade recover, inflation would fall back to 2% and he would lean towards a rate cut later this year to support the labor market; if oil prices remain high and the labor market remains weak, policy space is limited, requiring a trade-off between higher inflation and a weaker labor market, and if inflation risks exceed labor market risks, he would maintain the current rate.

CryptoWorld News: Federal Reserve's Barkin recently made the following statements:
1. Past policies effectively responded to supply shocks, but future challenges may be more difficult and shocks more frequent.
2. Consumers are "not satisfied," but continue to spend; companies have so far managed productivity increases through natural attrition rather than layoffs.
3. Whether the Federal Reserve needs to raise interest rates depends on how businesses and consumers respond to the changing economic situation.
4. The United States may be somewhat immune to oil price shocks.

BlockBeats News, May 22 — The White House announced that the swearing-in ceremony of the new Federal Reserve Chair, Waller, will be held at 11 a.m. on May 22 (Beijing time 11 p.m.), hosted by Trump.
According to CME "Federal Reserve Watch" data, the market believes that the outlook for rate cuts after Waller takes office remains bleak, with a 96.8% probability of holding rates steady in June, a 3.2% chance of a 25 basis point rate hike, and no chance of a rate cut.

The Federal Reserve is seeking public comment on the establishment of a new type of payment account. Qualified institutions may directly connect to the clearing and settlement system to support innovation and reduce systemic risk, but the account will not provide intraday credit, a discount window, or reserve interest.
The new access will allow crypto companies to directly connect to the core payment rails and avoid intermediary banks; compared with last year’s version, the maximum end-of-day balance has been raised.
The measure stems from an executive order by Trump, emphasizing the assessment of how digital assets and traditional finance can be integrated. It also advises that, before the rules are finalized, each Federal Reserve Bank should temporarily defer decisions on granting third-party institutions access.

> Original Title: "Are Prediction Markets a Money Tree? An In-Depth Breakdown of Their Profit Model"
> Original Authors: Changan, Amelia, Biteye


In the past, when discussing prediction markets, people were more concerned about their accuracy, trading volume, and whether they could become a new information market. But when prediction markets are viewed as a business, the core question changes: What is the profit model of prediction markets?


In the business world, high trading volume does not necessarily mean the platform is making money. A market can have a huge volume of trades, and users can buy and sell frequently, but if most transactions do not fall within the fee scope, or if active user engagement is purely maintained through subsidies and points, then the trading volume is just eye-catching data, not healthy revenue.


For prediction markets, the true test of business strength is not "how many markets are opened," nor is it "whether a certain event has"

ME News Report, April 17 (UTC+8), according to CoinMarketCap market data, XRP is currently priced at $1.5041, with a 24-hour increase of 5.2%. (Source: CoinMarketCap)

CoinWorld News reports that trader yixie stated on Chain Wall Street Express that he has reduced his long position in MU by 1,289.56 shares, approximately $1,034,307.07, with a current holding value of $8,347,955.94, an average price of $749.82, and a current profit and loss of -$217,436.10 (-8.25%). The current price is $730.79, and the liquidation price is $526.33.
Since April, yixie has been building long positions in MU and SNDK on the HyperLiquid platform, becoming the biggest beneficiary in the on-chain semiconductor sector in May, with a monthly profit of $7 million, and is the largest long in AMD.

🚨 𝐀𝐍𝐎𝐓𝐇𝐄𝐑 𝐌𝐀𝐉𝐎𝐑 𝐂𝐀𝐏 𝐈𝐒 𝐐𝐔𝐈𝐄𝐓𝐋𝐘 𝐖𝐀𝐊𝐈𝐍𝐆 𝐔𝐏 🔥
$NEAR is starting to flash some interesting signals again and the market may finally be paying attention.
Current developments:
🔶 AI privacy integrations expanding
🔶 ATH holder growth continues
🔶 209M transactions processed
🔶 ~$60M in fresh longs entering
The interesting part?
This no longer looks like a simple price bounce.
We're seeing:
📈 Growing network activity
📈 Increasing user adoption
📈 Stronger positioning from traders
📈 AI narrative heating up again
When strong fundamentals begin aligning with momentum, market attention usually follows quickly.
𝗧𝗿𝗮𝗱𝗶𝗻𝗴 𝗛𝗲𝗶𝗴𝗵𝘀 𝗩𝗲𝗿𝗱𝗶𝐜𝐭:
The market appears to be rotating back toward quality AI-related protocols. If this trend continues, $NEAR could become one of the stronger names to watch in the next phase of altcoin expansion.
Question for you 👇
Which AI coin leads the next wave: $NEAR, $TAO, or something else? 🚀
#near #tao #GateSquareMayTradingShare $NEAR

According to ThePrint, an official from India's Ministry of Electronics and Information Technology stated that the Indian central government has issued a blocking order to Polymarket and is moving forward to issue the earliest blocking order to Kalshi on Friday to enforce the ban on prediction market platforms still operating in India. The report said that Kalshi and Polymarket had previously been asked to cease operations in India but still allowed Indian users to register and trade; the relevant orders are expected to be issued under Section 69A of the Information Technology Act, requiring internet service providers to block access at the network level, with intermediaries that fail to comply facing up to 7 years in prison and fines. India's "Online Gaming (Regulation and Promotion) Act, 2025" came into effect on May 1, banning real-money online gaming and its provision, advertising, and related financial transactions.

CryptoWorld News: The U.S. exchange River recently disclosed that it holds 437 Bitcoins on its corporate balance sheet, making it the ninth-largest private Bitcoin treasury. The exchange safekeeps more than 25,000 Bitcoins for its clients, and its reserve ratio exceeds 100%.

On May 20th, Trump Mobile experienced a user data breach, exposing personal information such as email addresses and mailing addresses to public access. Coffeezilla and penguinz0 reported receiving alerts after purchasing a gold T1 phone, indicating that personal information had appeared in the leaked data set, covering almost all basic identity details except for credit card numbers. They warned against placing orders on this platform. The data is suspected to come from a public system, and there has been no official response so far. Based on the order numbers in the leaked data, approximately 30k units were actually reserved, far below the expected 590k units. The incident has raised questions about delivery and security capabilities. Source: ODAILY

𝐂𝐑𝐕 𝐌𝐀𝐑𝐊𝐄𝐓 𝐔𝐏𝐃𝐀𝐓𝐄 ⚡
🔶 $CRV continues holding its range low/base structure, which is a positive signal for bulls so far.
🔶 The main focus now shifts toward reclaiming the local supply zone highlighted above. Price is currently sitting in a region where patience matters more than aggression.
🔶 A quick breakout is not required here. In fact, several days or even a couple of weeks of consolidation at these levels could strengthen the overall structure and build a healthier base.
🔶 Strong rallies often become more sustainable after accumulation phases instead of straight vertical moves.
🔶 As long as $BTC maintains its key support zone and avoids aggressive downside volatility, $CRV still has room for continuation.
🔶 Key idea:
▫️ Base holding = bullish structure intact
▫️ Supply reclaim = continuation confirmation
▫️ BTC stability = major factor
Trading Heights Verdict: Current price action looks more like consolidation than weakness. Watch for a decisive reclaim of resistance before expecting stronger upside momentum.
$CRV $BTC
#GateSquareMayTradingShare

The Currency World News reports that the International Monetary Fund (IMF) has downgraded France's economic growth forecast for this year, expecting the country's GDP to grow by 0.7% in 2026, down from the previous month's forecast of 0.9%. The IMF stated that the short-term risks to this outlook are tilted to the downside, noting that new adverse factors stemming from the Middle East conflict are beginning to weigh on economic activity, with business investment and household consumption expected to slow down. Additionally, the IMF warned that France's efforts to reduce its budget deficit face risks, as successive governments have struggled to pass austerity measures in a divided parliament, leading to bond market sell-offs and rising financing costs. The IMF pointed out that upcoming elections could provide France with an opportunity to develop a credible fiscal consolidation strategy, but increased political uncertainty may delay related efforts in the short term.

According to Bloomberg, former CFTC Chairman Christopher Giancarlo, known as "Crypto Dad" for his early support of digital assets, has joined Jefferies Financial Group as a senior advisor focused on investment banking. During his tenure, CBOE and CME Group launched Bitcoin futures contracts for the first time and promoted self-certification of Bitcoin derivatives.