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During the World Cup, I tried several prediction platforms one after another, but in the end I played more often in Gate's prediction market. At first, I just wanted to find a handy place to join the excitement of the matches. Unexpectedly, the experience turned out to be quite stable, and it gradually became the page I would casually open while watching the games.
The main reason is that it's convenient enough: you can participate directly with USDT without having to deal with wallets, cross-chain operations, or gas fees, making the barrier to entry much lower. The page also integrates AI ana

During the World Cup, I tried out several prediction platforms.
After actually using them, I've been spending the most time on Gate's prediction market recently. The reason isn't that the returns are staggering, but rather that it's truly convenient.
You can participate directly with USDT, no need to prepare a dedicated wallet, no back-and-forth cross-chain transfers, and no worries about gas fees. For those who mainly stay on exchanges, the onboarding cost is almost zero.
Another thing that surprised me is that it integrates AI analysis, smart money movements, whale positions, and real-

Woke up to find the US and Iran have clashed once again! The ceasefire agreement just signed is torn up like useless paper.
The US Central Command issued a statement yesterday saying US warplanes struck Iranian missile and drone warehouses, as well as coastal radar stations. The reason given was that the day before, Iran used a drone to bomb a Singapore-flagged cargo ship near the Strait of Hormuz.
But Iran flatly denies this. The Islamic Revolutionary Guard Corps announced early this morning—the US attacked first, striking the Sirik area in Hormozgan Province, and only then did they retaliate

Tonight, I noticed a very dangerous shift in the market.
Not that BTC has dropped,
but that everyone’s definition of “the bottom”
has changed three times in a single day.
Morning:
Many said 62,000 was the bottom.
Afternoon:
It became 60,000.
Evening:
59,000.
Some have even started discussing 50,000.
The price is falling.
Sentiment is falling even faster.
Tonight, BTC hit a low of around 58,100.
24-hour trading volume has clearly surged.
24-hour liquidations exceeded $600 million.
Open Interest has increased by nearly 92%.
But what I’m most focused on
isn’t t

Geopolitical risk has decreased again!
The U.S. Senate has voted.
50 to 48 to pass the resolution!
Calling for Trump to cease military actions against Iran.
This is a strong political signal!
According to Reuters, the U.S. Senate passed a war powers resolution 50 to 48, demanding Trump stop military actions against Iran. The resolution had previously been approved by the House, marking the first time since the War Powers Act of 1973 that both chambers jointly passed a resolution requiring the president to withdraw military operations. (Reuters)
For the market, this is not just poli

The United States doesn’t want to give up control!
Lummis’s words carry real weight.
The internet wasn’t handed over to someone else to manage!
Nor will digital assets be.
Regulatory competition has already risen to the national level!
U.S. Senator Lummis says that back then, after the United States didn’t invent the internet, it handed governance power to others; now, when facing digital assets, the United States won’t do that either.
The core of this statement isn’t a slogan—it’s national competition.
Crypto is no longer just a trading market; it’s a new entry point to financial infrastructu

Federal Reserve Chair Kevin Woor, in his first policy meeting, unleashed three major bold moves, potentially releasing 9 to 12 trillion dollars in liquidity, with no rate hikes on the surface but secretly planning earth-shattering reforms.
First, abandoning Bernanke and Powell’s decade-long “transparency approach,” returning directly to the Greenspan era. This meeting’s announcement was only 130 words, the shortest since 2007, filled with dry data facts, with no future predictions at all. Woor also established a working group to study how to change communication methods—essentially, not lett

Is Trump going to sit at the same table with Li Hongzhang?
The Iranian president has announced that the US and Iran will sign a memorandum of understanding on the 19th.
The market's initial reaction is definitely positive, after all, as long as the Middle East stabilizes, risk aversion will decrease, oil prices will face less pressure, and the Fed's rate cut expectations will rise, benefiting risk assets including BTC.
But I think it's not that simple.
The US's core demands for Iran haven't changed over the years—nuclear issues, missile issues, regional influence—none of which are easy

Great news! Iranian President confirms U.S.-Iran Memorandum of Understanding to be signed on the 19th
The Iranian President officially announced that Iran and the United States will sign a memorandum of understanding on the 19th, which is an obvious short-term positive for the crypto market.
Previously, tense U.S.-Iran relations and the risk of conflict in the Middle East caused funds to flee to safe havens, making cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin more likely to fall.
Now that the situation has eased, market risk appetite has increased, and funds are willing to flow back into the crypto market.
A

Poland is a bit interesting this time.
The president has vetoed the crypto bill for the third time.
The reason is not opposition to cryptocurrency.
But concern that regulation is too heavy.
Pushing companies to other EU countries.
Polish President Karol Nawrocki has again vetoed the Bitcoin and crypto regulation bill, with the core concern being: if the rules are too strict, domestic crypto companies might directly move to other EU countries, and Poland would lose industry opportunities.
This matter is actually quite typical. Now Europe doesn't lack regulation; MiCA (the EU's Marke

Why the Federal Reserve is afraid to raise interest rates? Ten solid reasons explained clearly
Kevin Wash is about to chair his first policy meeting next week. Although there has been a strong voice for rate hikes before—non-farm payrolls surged, PCE high, AI boom, oil prices soaring… why? Ten hardcore reasons
1. Inflation looks high but is actually weakening
Overall CPI rose 4.2% in May, but 60% of that was driven by oil prices. Core CPI only increased 0.2% month-over-month, below expectations. The Fed mainly monitors core inflation pressures from the supply side (Middle East chaos), an

$SPCX SpaceX's first day of trading surges 29%! Elon Musk becomes the world's first trillionaire! Congratulations and prosperity!
The world's largest IPO is here! On the evening of June 12, Beijing time, Musk's SpaceX officially listed on NASDAQ. The opening price was $174, a 29% jump from the offering price.
How fierce was this listing? It raised $75 billion, with a market value directly reaching $1.77 trillion—surpassing Tesla and becoming the seventh-largest publicly traded company in the U.S. Some analysts have set a target of $2 trillion.
But there are also many doubts. Famous short

$SPCX Epic IPO explosion! $17.7 trillion valuation, Wall Street is completely divided
The world's largest IPO lands with a bang! SpaceX sets the offering price at $135 per share, raising $75 billion, with an overall valuation reaching $1.77 trillion. This listing will boost Musk's net worth by $220 billion, potentially making him the world's first trillionaire.
Beneath the dazzling wealth creation myth, controversy in the capital markets is at an all-time high. All institutions recognize SpaceX as a top global leader in commercial spaceflight, but opinions on its sky-high valuation are po

Tonight's CPI report is coming out, with market expectations of year-over-year rising from 3.8% to 4.2%, hitting a three-year high. Everyone is saying inflation is exploding, rate cuts are unlikely, and U.S. stocks will fall. But honestly, I have a slightly different view.
First, could this 4.2% already be priced in? Over the past two weeks, the S&P has already dropped 1.5%, and tech stocks are even worse. Wall Street folks are always ahead of the game. If the actual data turns out to be 4.1% or 4.2%, it might actually be a sign that the bad news is already priced in, and there could be a sh

I took a look at the market value increase of popular AI and semiconductor-related stocks in the US stock market since the beginning of the year.
You never know until you see, and it’s shocking when you do.
In the first half of the year, the fastest-growing market cap was Micron $MU , which increased by nearly $750 billion.
Just this one leading company in the storage sector almost matches the entire crypto market cap evaporation of $793.5 billion in the first half of the year.
Following closely are TSMC $TSM and Google $GOOGL .
The size of the US stock market is indeed too large to