Lab4crypto

These opportunities do not come often in Bitcoin's history. It's painful now, but historically, it's the best accumulation region. bitcoin:native

Bitcoin is entering the zone where bottoms usually start forming.
Supply in loss is close to 53%, meaning a large part of the market has already been flushed out, and selling pressure is reduced dramatically.
Risk has also dropped below 20%.
Historically, Bitcoin bottoms have formed close to the 15% risk zone.
Painful price action, but a very important stage for bottoms to form.

Bitcoin now has 52% of its supply in loss.
Historically, this only happens near major 4-year cycle bottoms.
Fear is extreme, but the data is speaking.

I know many are thinking Bitcoin feels “different” this year.
But when we compare BTC’s year-to-date ROI with previous midterm years, 2014, 2018, and 2022, the current performance is still well within the historical range.

Starting to DCA now on BTC, although you may be waiting for $30K $BTC is wise. These opportunities do not come very often.

Starting to DCA now on BTC, although you may be waiting for $30K $BTC is wise. These opportunities do not come very often.

Do you think Bitcoin will give more chances to buy below $60K later this year or not?

Two charts that can keep you on the right side of the crypto market.
Everyone is asking:
Is Bitcoin going to $30K or is the bottom closer to $60K?
Based on our models, the probability is now much higher that the cycle bottom is forming closer to $60K, not $30K.
The second chart is even more important.
For the first time in almost 4 years, Bitcoin’s Supply in Profit and Supply in Loss have crossed.
Historically, this type of shift happens during the most important phases of the cycle.
Also, because the bottom model’s red line is monotonically increasing, the longer Bitcoin waits, the higher the

Bitcoin’s YTD ROI in this midterm year has deviated even further above the historical midterm average and its +1 standard deviation band.
Historically, this kind of extension does not last forever.
The key question now:
Is a correction due soon, or will 2026 continue to break away from the midterm-year pattern?

Bitcoin is currently deviating more than +1 SD from its mid-term ROI. Additionally, its short-term bubble risk has shifted from bearish to neutral.
If Saylor buys in the billions again this week, it could trigger a 'god candle' that is highly likely to be sold into. Ultimately, however, the Clarity Act outcome in May remains crucial.

Bitcoin failed to close above the bull market support band. Do you think it will make it this week, or is the volume so low that it's a bull trap?

Many are celebrating now, but the likelihood that you will be missed soon is high.

Historically, when Bitcoin Supply in Profit and Supply in Loss converge, it’s a major signal that the bottom is in (or very close).
Interestingly, we haven't seen that crossover yet this cycle. Do you think we still need to see them touch before the real move up?

Bitcoin is knocking on the door of the Bull Market Support Band for the first time in 150+ days.
Are the bulls back? Is the momentum real? Or is it a fakeout?
✅ ETF inflows
✅ Institutional accumulation (mostly strategy)
❌ Macro uncertainty
What is your take?