Prithvir

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Rome looked hopeless against Carthage in 260BC.
Carthage had the wealth, fleet, trade networks, and technology.
Today, China is leading on electricity generation, trade networks, and purchasing power parity.
Sicily was the flashpoint then.
Taiwan is today.
How do we avoid the Thucydides trap?
IN2.06%
ON-11.54%
POWER2.45%
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How far are we from the first Butlerian Jihad?
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if you follow the trend lines:
1. pure software co token spend surpasses employee spend by 2027
2. agency / services firms by 2028
3. SMB back offices by 2029
4. regulated enterprises by 2030
AGI labs generate $1T in annualized revenue by 2031
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turing test on hard-mode
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mallaby delivers again
the infinity machine is hard to put down
sounds banal but the single most important factor in any moonshot is talent density of the founding team
and building it is entropic, non-linear, artistic, scientific, and fortuitous
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just talked to a friend who's a quant at one of the largest hedge funds in the world and he hadn't heard of perps
we are still very early
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2026 is the first year we can measure high agency engineers compounding faster than high skill engineers
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which of these claude tools do you actually use?
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frontier models are becoming veblen goods
the marginal gain from “thinking-max” over “thinking-high” is tiny
the marginal cost difference is not
this is getting insane
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Has anyone built an Etherscan or Arkham style block explorer for LLM CoT reasoning traces?
Would do wonders for mechanistic interpretability
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How many years before the first AI finance ministers and central bankers?
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teammate just sent me a localhost url of a "banger dashboard" he built with claude
ama
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Superintelligence doubling time = ~3 years (conservative, following the trendline)
That's 24% annual GDP growth.
Even if bad policy -- deficit spending, money printing, regulatory capture -- cuts that in half:
12% GDP growth.
For context: the US has never sustained above 8%.
The world will be *unrecognizable* by 2030
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"Bushido is found in the act of dying."
"Fall seven times, stand up eight."
"Imperturbable and free of thoughts."
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Expending all of our resources to train agi on computer science objectives will seem insanely skeuomorphic in hindsight.
AGI's utility in the physical world will dwarf its digital utility by multiple orders of magnitude
The real upside is in physical systems- robotics, energy, manufacturing.
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Looking to fund up to 10 PM traders
$10k referral if your candidate is selected
DMs open
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Exponential job loss won’t come from ai alone.
It will come from ai-augmented offshore workers.
AI makes offshore workers faster and more effective.
They still cost less.
White-collar onshore workers are in trouble.
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The reports of my death have been greatly exaggerated.
- USA, 2026
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Software loans yields exploding to 12% while broad leveraged loans sit at 8.5%.
lenders smell blood as AI murders legacy SaaS.
Refinancing wall incoming.
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pre claude: backend devs get 3 months. frontend devs get 2 weeks.
post claude: backend gets 2 weeks. frontend gets 1 week.
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