SAWA

I played a terrible hand in tonight’s tournament.
In late position, I had an open 3BB.
Two players in early position called.
After the flop, it came 99K.
Both players in the front checked, so I bet 3BB.
The small blind checked, then raised to 8BB—almost matching my stack in the back.
I got hot-headed and shoved; he flipped over a 9.
😑

ETH broke below the trend line for the second time and recovered
Support is roughly at 1600
Compared to the price action on 6/5
The volume on the breakdown was slightly lower, while the volume on the recovery was much lower
This can be seen as weakening support
Third time's the charm, watch the gain or loss of 1600

If the exchange rate drops below 0.0262, it’s hell time.
Last year, b 74k e 1.4k.
Now, b 59k e 1.6k? Why?
Just because of tomlee?

BTC false breakout + genuine dip below 64k VWAP, then heading south all the way, leaving little time for bulls to escape.

Long crude oil dog-run ant position, originally wanted to split into positions at 73, 71, 69

🦅 Federal Reserve Warsh's debut, one sentence: very hawkish stance, actions not hawkish, major communication overhaul.
1. First, say what hasn't changed.
Interest rates remain at 3.50 to 3.75, 12 votes for no change, no reduction in the balance sheet, and today no rate cut even on the table—only a proposal to hold steady, no other options discussed.
The dot plot implies one more rate hike this year (9 members), but Warsh downplayed it on the spot, and he didn't even submit a dot himself.
2. All hawkish in words.
He delivered the harshest line tonight: inflation is a choice, and this

🧵 1/ Starting a new line, focusing solely on tonight's 2:30 AM Warsh's first press conference.
The interest rate and dot plot are written in black and white, holding steady at 3.50-3.75%, with one more rate hike expected this year, and no action on balance sheet reduction.
But the white paper is finished, the real show is just beginning, this is the first time this hawkish new chair has spoken since taking office, and he is famously opposed to forward guidance, advocating that balance sheet reduction alone can tighten monetary policy without raising rates.
So, the shock is more likely t