Gate Research: BTC ETFs End Six Consecutive Days of Outflows, U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Toward 4.50%

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2026-07-08 03:39:17
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Last Updated 2026-07-08 03:49:34
Gate Research Daily Report: Over the past 24 hours, BTC traded lower in a volatile range as macro conditions remained mixed, with ETF inflows resuming while elevated U.S. Treasury yields continued to weigh on overall risk appetite. ETH traded between 1,727–1,833 USDT, underperforming BTC overall. EVAA surged 165.88% on the TON DeFi narrative, EDGEX gained 28.26% amid growing demand for decentralized derivatives trading, and AGLD rose 27.72%, supported by capital rotation into the Loot ecosystem. U.S. spot BTC ETFs recorded $224 million in net inflows, ending a six-day streak of outflows. An attack on a vessel near the Strait of Hormuz pushed oil prices higher, weighing on technology futures. Meanwhile, the 10-year U.S. Treasury yield climbed toward 4.50% as markets awaited the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes.

Crypto Market Overview

  • BTC (-0.45% | Price: 63,432 USDT): BTC traded lower in a volatile range as macro conditions remained mixed, with ETF inflows resuming while elevated U.S. Treasury yields continued to weigh on overall risk appetite. The price retreated from an intraday high of 64,689 USDT and briefly fell to around 61,320 USDT, with short-term volatility easing. From a moving average perspective, short- and medium-term MAs remain intertwined, with the three key averages converging. The current price is trading slightly below the MA30, indicating persistent overhead resistance. EMA12 and EMA26 are both close to the current price, with EMA12 still marginally above EMA26, although the gap has narrowed, suggesting weakening short-term momentum. On the MACD, both DIF and Signal remain above the zero line, but the histogram stays negative and continues to soften, indicating insufficient bullish momentum. Bollinger Bands have narrowed significantly, with the price trading near the middle band, suggesting the market is awaiting a directional breakout. Key support lies around 62,920.93 USDT; a break below this level could lead to a retest of the intraday low at 62,679.7 USDT. Initial resistance is located between 64,115.56 USDT and 64,249.3 USDT. BTC options recorded approximately $28.67 million in 24-hour trading volume, with capital concentrated in long-dated bullish positions expiring in late 2026 and Q1 2027. The 25DEC26 80K Call alone traded about $6.82 million, while significant activity was also seen in the 80K Put and 58K Put, indicating investors are positioning for long-term upside while maintaining downside hedges.

  • ETH (-0.77% | Price: 1,772.73 USDT): ETH pulled back from recent highs amid a stronger U.S. dollar, elevated Treasury yields, and broad weakness across leading DeFi assets. Over the past 24 hours, ETH traded within a range of 1,727-1,833 USDT, underperforming BTC overall. From a moving average perspective, short-term MAs remain below medium-term MAs, with the major averages converging in a weak configuration. The current price continues to trade below the MA30, reflecting ongoing resistance. EMA12 and EMA26 are both close to the current price, with EMA12 now slightly below EMA26, indicating continued short-term bearish pressure. On the MACD, DIF and Signal remain near the zero line, while the histogram stays negative but shows signs of stabilizing, suggesting bearish momentum remains dominant but is no longer accelerating. Bollinger Bands have narrowed, with the price trading below the middle band and near the lower half of the range, indicating consolidation remains the primary near-term trend. Key support is located around 1,760.86 USDT; a break below this level could expose the intraday low of 1,757.65 USDT. Major resistance is seen between 1,803.87 USDT and 1,812.6 USDT.

  • Altcoins: Over the past 24 hours, major Layer 1 tokens including Ethereum, Solana, and Cardano led market declines, while leading DeFi tokens also remained under pressure. In contrast, TON DeFi, decentralized derivatives trading, and Loot ecosystem assets outperformed, standing out as some of the few bright spots of the session. The Crypto Fear & Greed Index currently stands at 20, remaining in the "Extreme Fear" zone. Overall market sentiment remains risk-off, with BTC and ETH posting modest declines while capital continues to concentrate in a limited number of high-conviction narratives and short-term rotation plays.

  • Macro: On July 7, the S&P 500 fell 0.40% to 7,503.85, the Dow Jones Industrial Average declined 0.20% to 52,925.15, and the Nasdaq Composite dropped 1.20% to 25,818.69. As of 0:56 AM (UTC) on July 8, spot gold traded at $4,121.94 per ounce, up 0.40% over the past 24 hours.

EVAA Protocol (EVAA) (+165.88%, Circulating Market Cap: $49.68 million)

According to Gate market data, EVAA is currently trading at 2.7825 USDT, up 165.88% over the past 24 hours. EVAA Protocol is a lending protocol built on the TON ecosystem and integrated with Telegram Mini Apps, enabling users to supply assets, borrow, earn yields, and participate in protocol governance.

EVAA's rally was primarily driven by renewed interest in the TON DeFi ecosystem and Telegram-native financial applications. As the market refocused on on-chain lending protocols with real-world utility, EVAA experienced a sharp increase in trading volume and strong short-term capital inflows, making it the best-performing token on Gate among assets with a circulating market capitalization above $10 million.

EDGEX (edgeX) (+28.26%, Circulating Market Cap: $140 million)

According to Gate market data, EDGEX is currently trading at 0.4012 USDT, up 28.26% over the past 24 hours. edgeX is a decentralized trading infrastructure for global assets, focusing on perpetual futures, spot trading, and high-performance order matching while emphasizing capital efficiency and execution speed within a self-custodial environment.

EDGEX's strength was supported by renewed momentum in the decentralized derivatives sector. In a risk-off market, protocols with genuine trading demand, measurable product activity, and sustainable fee capture potential tend to attract more investor attention. Combined with EDGEX's circulating market capitalization above $10 million and active trading volume, these factors contributed to its strong price rebound.

Adventure Gold (AGLD) (+27.72%, Circulating Market Cap: $14.31 million)

According to Gate market data, AGLD is currently trading at 0.1852 USDT, up 27.72% over the past 24 hours. Adventure Gold is the native token of the Loot ecosystem. Originally launched around the Loot NFT community, it has since evolved to support community governance, ecosystem incentives, and blockchain gaming narratives.

AGLD's gains reflect a short-term rotation into NFT, blockchain gaming, and community-driven assets. As major cryptocurrencies continued to trade weakly, part of the market shifted toward smaller-cap legacy ecosystem tokens with clear narratives. With a circulating market capitalization above $10 million and one of the strongest performances among qualifying assets, AGLD ranked among today's top three gainers.

Alpha Insights

BTC ETFs Record $224 Million in Net Inflows, Ending a Six-Day Outflow Streak

According to The Economic Times, on July 7, 2026, spot BTC ETFs recorded approximately $224 million in net inflows, ending six consecutive trading days of net outflows. Supported by renewed ETF inflows, a weaker U.S. dollar, and improving macro expectations, BTC briefly approached 63,000 USDT. The shift in fund flows suggests institutional buying has re-emerged, helping improve market sentiment compared with the previous trading day.

The return to positive ETF flows indicates that institutional investors have not fully exited the market, providing an important marginal support for BTC's rebound while easing concerns over persistent redemptions. However, a single day of inflows is not sufficient to confirm a trend reversal. The market will need to see sustained inflows alongside improving macro liquidity conditions. Without continued buying interest, the recent rebound is more likely to represent a temporary recovery following the previous decline.

Vessel Attack Near the Strait of Hormuz Pushes Oil Prices Higher, Weighing on Tech Futures

According to The Wall Street Journal, on July 7, 2026, international oil prices rose after two commercial vessels were attacked near the Strait of Hormuz, with both Brent crude and WTI crude posting gains. At the same time, disappointing earnings from Samsung weighed on global semiconductor stocks, pushing Nasdaq futures lower and putting pressure on AI-related equities. Global risk assets remained caught between escalating geopolitical tensions and weakness in technology stocks.

Higher oil prices reinforce concerns over persistent inflation and can influence interest rate expectations through rising energy costs. The simultaneous decline in technology futures suggests that overall risk appetite has yet to return to a broad-based expansion phase. For the crypto market, geopolitical tensions and rising commodity prices typically increase demand for safe-haven assets. However, if U.S. Treasury yields continue to rise alongside oil prices, non-yielding assets such as BTC could still face valuation pressure.

U.S. Treasury Yields Rise Toward 4.50% as Markets Await Fed Meeting Minutes

According to Investopedia and The Wall Street Journal, on July 7, 2026, the yield on the U.S. 10-year Treasury note climbed toward 4.50%, while the U.S. dollar also strengthened as investors awaited the release of the Federal Reserve's meeting minutes. Expectations that interest rates will remain elevated continued to weigh on growth stocks and non-yielding assets, prompting investors to reassess risk-reward opportunities across equities, commodities, and cryptocurrencies.

Elevated Treasury yields suggest that markets are still digesting uncertainties surrounding inflation, energy prices, and the Federal Reserve's policy path. If the meeting minutes deliver a more hawkish message, the stronger U.S. dollar and higher Treasury yields could continue to pressure risk asset valuations. Conversely, if the minutes reveal growing policy divergence among Fed officials, BTC and higher-beta altcoins may enjoy a short-term rebound, although the sustainability of any recovery will ultimately depend on continued capital inflows.

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Author: Akane
Reviewer(s): Puffy, Kieran
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