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4/4 Double Bottom Evening Analysis
Main Direction: Night trading is weak and volatile, following BTC fluctuations, avoid aggressive chasing
✅ Short-term bullish reference
Entry: 2080–2060 in batches
Target: 2040–2020
Stop Loss: 2090
✅ Long-term bullish reference (light position on oversold conditions)
Entry: 2100–2090 with stabilization
Target: around 2050 (quick take profit, avoid holding through resistance ))
Technical Logic:
1. 4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, moving averages in a bearish alignment, dominated by bears, resistance on rebounds.
2. The area 2080–2100 is a multiple intraday resistance zone, insufficient volume to break through.
3. The area 2020–2030 provides double support, night trading prone to spikes, wait for stabilization before entering, avoid bottom fishing.
4. During Qingming late night, liquidity is extremely low, volatility is high, false breakouts are common, total position ≤20%, single trade ≤10%.
📌 Macro Rhythm
Non-farm payrolls reinforce high interest rate expectations, CPI approaching, market fear index at 31, funds are cautious, no clear trend, only trading within ranges, quick in and out.
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