饼圈NOVA日记

$ETH Evening Precise Strategy for the Double Bottom | 2083 Bull-Bear Boundary, Breakout and Exit, More Stable Right-Side Trading

$BTC Bitcoin evening precise strategy | Flag pattern breakout, critical point for bulls and bears, trade strictly according to structure
📌 Market overview
Bitcoin retraced and broke below the bearish flag pattern, with the lower boundary of the original flag now acting as resistance.
• If it re-enters the flag zone → Likely to continue consolidating sideways
• If it cannot break through the early session spike high → Still difficult to strengthen
• If it consolidates at the lower boundary without breaking the shown low → Limited downside
• Once it effectively breaks down → Directly retest sup

$BTC The morning analysis has fully aligned with the early trading trend, with precise point-level hits.
The short-term trend is clear; follow the trend to operate.
No chasing highs, no resisting orders, strictly implement risk control, and steadily lock in profits.
#加密市场行情震荡 #三月非农数据来袭 #btc

4/5 Bitcoin Midday Analysis:
✅ High-altitude reference (main focus)
Entry: Around 2080, in batches (4-hour moving average + intraday resistance zone)
Target: 2040 (dense support area)
Stop loss: 2100 (breakout turns strong, strict stop loss)
✅ Low-position reference (oversold light position)
Entry: Stabilize around 2040 and enter (Bollinger lower band + psychological threshold)
Target: 2110 (quick in and out, no holding the line)
Stop loss: 2010 (breakdown opens downward space)
Technical logic:
1. 4-hour Bollinger bands trending downward, moving averages in a bearish alignment, resistance on r

$BTC 4/5 Big Dough Morning Analysis
📊 Main Direction: Weakness seeking a bottom, rebound meeting resistance, mainly high-level trading, light position with low leverage for trial and error
✅ High-altitude reference (main focus)
Entry: 67,500–68,000 in batches (4-hour moving average strong resistance + intraday rebound resistance zone)
Target: 66,800–66,700
Stop-loss: 68,500 (if it breaks out, turn strong—strictly exit with stop-loss)
✅ Low-leverage long reference (oversold, light position)
Entry: 66,600–66,800 stabilize and enter (Bollinger lower band + multiple support tests)
Target: 67,000–

4/4 Double Bottom Evening Analysis
Main Direction: Night trading is weak and volatile, following BTC fluctuations, avoid aggressive chasing
✅ Short-term bullish reference
Entry: 2080–2060 in batches
Target: 2040–2020
Stop Loss: 2090
✅ Long-term bullish reference (light position on oversold conditions)
Entry: 2100–2090 with stabilization
Target: around 2050 (quick take profit, avoid holding through resistance ))
Technical Logic:
1. 4-hour Bollinger Bands opening downward, moving averages in a bearish alignment, dominated by bears, resistance on rebounds.
2. The area 2080–2

4/4 Bitcoin Midday Analysis
Main Trend: Volatile with caution, buy high and sell low within the range, no chasing orders
✅ Short-term Long Position Reference
Entry: 67,000–67,300 in batches
Target: 66,400
Stop Loss: 67,700
✅ Short-term Short Position Reference (Light Position Trial and Error)
Entry: 65,800–66,000 stabilize and enter
Target: 66,800–67,200
Stop Loss: 65,400
Technical Analysis:
1. 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrowing, volatility decreasing, typical wait-and-see for direction
2. Above 67,300–67,700 is short-term strong resistance, multiple rejections after non-farm payroll rebound
3.

4/4 Bitcoin Midday Analysis
Main Trend: Volatile and cautious, buy low and sell high within the range, no chasing orders
✅ Long position reference
Entry: 67,000–67,300 in batches
Target: 66,400
Stop loss: 67,700
✅ Short position reference (light position for trial and error)
Entry: 65,800–66,000 stabilize and add
Target: 66,800–67,200
Stop loss: 65,400
Technical Analysis:
1. 4-hour Bollinger Bands narrowing, volatility decreasing, typical wait-and-see for direction
2. Upper resistance at 67,300–67,700, multiple rejections after non-farm payroll rebound
3. Support at 65,800–66,000, dense tradin

The core theme of today's market is the U.S. March non-farm payroll data released at 20:30, which is the fundamental logic behind the day's trend:
• Data result: March seasonally adjusted non-farm employment increased by 178k, significantly exceeding market expectations of 60k. The previous figure of -133k was greatly revised upward, indicating extremely strong employment data.
• Key impacts:
1. The Fed's rate cut expectations are completely delayed: The much better-than-expected non-farm data directly shattered the market's anticipation of a rate cut in June. The market is now re-pricing the

U.S. March seasonally adjusted non-farm payrolls: 178k (expected 60k, previous revised -133k)
Data deviation: +118k, significantly exceeding expectations, representing a very strong positive for the dollar and negative for risk assets
Core impact: Non-farm payrolls far exceeded expectations, directly extinguishing the Fed's June rate cut expectation, with the market re-pricing the rate cut delay to September or even later
#三月非农数据来袭 #加密市场行情震荡 #国际油价走高

$ETH 4/3 Bitcoin Evening Analysis:
Main Trend: Volatile with a slight downward bias, mainly rebound to sell high, weaker than Bitcoin
✅ Short Positions (Core Strategy)
• Entry Range: 2060–2080, scale-in with light positions
• Target: Break below 2020 to watch for 1980–1950
• Stop Loss: 2100 (strict risk control, do not hold through)
✅ Long Positions (Very light scale-in for trial, only if support is confirmed)
• Entry Range: Stabilize at 2010 and go long
• Target: 2040–2060
• Stop Loss: 2000 (abandon if it falls below to cut losses)
Technical Breakdown
First Resistance: 2060–2080 (4-hour Bolli

$BTC 4/3 Bitcoin Evening Precise Analysis | Non-Farm Payrolls Landing, Night Session Swing Trading Ideas
Main Direction: Range-bound Consolidation, Sell High and Buy Low, No Single-Side Trading
✅ Short Positions (Rebound and Short)
• Entry Range: 67200–67400, Gradually Add Short Positions
• Target Levels: 66500–66300
• Stop Loss: 67700 (No Holding Through Breakouts)
✅ Long Positions (Pullback and Long)
• Entry Range: 66000–66200, Stabilize and Enter Long
• Target Levels: 66800–67000
• Stop Loss: 65700 (Abandon Bottom Fishing if Broken)
First Resistance: 67200–67400 (Non-Farm Rebound Resistance

Midday analysis has been realized, hold your hand, wait for the wind to come, and re-enter when the signal appears. #加密市场回调 #btc

Midday Bitcoin Analysis:
$BTC Shorts: Light short positions in the 92700-93200 range, stop loss at 93500, target 90800, break below to 89500.
4-hour/1-hour RSI oversold, MACD bearish momentum strengthening, Bollinger bands widening, price moving near the lower band. #加密市场回调 #btc

Two Bitcoin Morning Analysis:
$ETH Long positions on the low: Build positions in batches around 3180, with a stop loss below 3130; reduce positions when rebounding to the 3250–3300 range, take profits and secure gains.
$ETH Short positions on the high: If the rebound reaches around 3280-3300 with insufficient momentum, consider shorting targeting 3170.
Support level: 3160.
Resistance level: 3250.
4H: KDJ is hovering at low levels; MACD shows a death cross and divergence, indicating short-term rebound momentum is insufficient.
1H: Consolidating and repairing, watch for bottom divergence signals

Bitcoin Morning Analysis:
$BTC Long positions: Build positions in batches around 92,000, with a stop loss below 91,000; reduce positions when rebounding to the 94,000–94,500 range, take profits and secure gains.
$BTC Short positions: Consider shorting if rebounding to around 94,000, targeting 92,500–91,500.
Support level: 92,000.
Resistance level: 94,500.
4H: KDJ shows no effective golden cross, only hovering at low levels with insufficient momentum.
1H: Volatility correction, watch for bottom divergence signals; the rebound volume will determine the height. #加密市场回调 #BTC

The New York Stock Exchange officially announces the development of a tokenized securities on-chain trading and settlement platform. Pending regulatory approval, it will support 24/7 real-time settlement, stablecoin financing, and multi-chain custody. Tokenized stocks and traditional securities will be interchangeable with consistent rights.
If implemented, it could boost the attention to tokenized assets related to U.S. stocks, blockchain infrastructure stocks, compliant stablecoins, and other related targets.
#NYSE #区块链 #btc #eth

On January 19, according to Cointelegraph, the total network hash rate of Bitcoin recently dropped below 1 ZH/s (1,000 EH/s), the lowest since September 2025. Analysts point out that miners are shifting their electricity resources to AI and high-performance computing sectors due to profit pressures. Although mining difficulty has been adjusted downward four times since November last year, and the hash rate unit price has risen to $40 per PH/s/day in recent months, the overall hash rate has still declined by nearly 15% from its October high. Founder of Standard Hash stated that AI has become a