Iran and the US are in negotiations this round, but it's not that Iran is cowardly; they just know the truth—America has no credibility. They’ve done things like start negotiations and then act unilaterally halfway through. But the Iranian government wants to keep talking; they first need to pass the test of the Revolutionary Guards. Hardliners are holding back their anger; if they get played again, they might really throw a tantrum and seize power.

This time, Pakistan submitted 10 proposals, but the Persian and English versions are surprisingly different. Regarding uranium enrichment, they loudly claim to stick to their principles internally but are vague externally, playing both sides to keep their footing stable. They only loosen up because intelligence reports came in—eight US refueling aircraft took off, bombers are on the way, and the Revolutionary Guards gritted their teeth and said: give Trump one more chance.

The outcomes are basically a few possibilities:
The most likely is signing a watered-down agreement, with two different narratives internally and externally, putting the core disagreements aside, easing sanctions a bit, allowing ships through the Strait of Hormuz, and if Trump doesn’t ask for money, that’s a win.

Second, if negotiations break down, the conflict continues, and the humanitarian crisis worsens.

The least likely is that the Iranian government uses this opportunity to overpower the Revolutionary Guards, gaining real decision-making power, and future foreign cooperation becomes non-binding.

Currently, the US is divided internally; polls show support for war against Iran at 47% versus 46%, almost a tie. If Iran is smart, they should seize these ten days to ramp up their propaganda, and not stubbornly insist on nuclear issues—after all, no neighbor wants to see you go nuclear.

Finally, honestly speaking: the war can stop, but once the Strait of Hormuz is sealed, Saudi Arabia and the UAE already have backup pipelines and infrastructure lined up. The business of post-war reconstruction has already begun to attract smart investors.