# BTC何时反弹？

#BTC何时反弹？ Bernstein: Bitcoin (BTC) Bottoms Out at $60,000! The 2026 Crypto Market Will Rebound!
Asset management firm Bernstein's analysts expect that despite Bitcoin briefly dropping to the $75,000 range on Monday, down about 40% from its all-time high, the current downturn in the crypto market is still poised for recovery in 2026.
Bitcoin Will Rebound from $60,000 Bottom
In their latest report to clients, led by analyst Gautam Chhugani, the team stated that the crypto market may still be in a "short-term bear cycle," but they anticipate this trend will reverse within this year. Bernstein be

From $34,522 to $75,000: A Cross-Cycle Test of Bitcoin Faith
In November 2023, when Bitcoin was hovering around $34,522, an author wrote a profound reflection on halving, scarcity, and long-term holding. Sixteen months later, Bitcoin experienced intense volatility—from a new high of $73,000 to a "flash crash" near $75,000. This article re-examines the core logic that has persisted through cycles—stock-to-flow model, ETF channel effect, price anchoring game—and explores why the simple strategy of "holding Bitcoin" remains valid amid the perfect storm.
1. The Intersection of Prophecy and Reality

📣Ethereum failed to stabilize after a rally, and the downward trend may continue!
The four-hour chart shows a weak rebound after overselling, with a bearish structure unchanged. The price is oscillating near a key support level, with insufficient rebound momentum, so watch out for the risk of a second decline. Real-time price: approximately $2,310, down about 5.1% in 24 hours, with a daily low of $2,219. The rebound is about 7.7%, but it has not broken through the critical resistance at $2,400.
K-line pattern and structure: Overall, a suppression structure with successive lower highs has form

Based on the current market situation, Bitcoin has successfully stabilized above the key zone of 78,500-79,000 after forming a W-shaped bottom in the early session, demonstrating the resilience of the bulls. On the 4-hour chart, after approaching around 77,800, the price continuously formed lower shadows, indicating strong buying support in that area. Additionally, the short-term moving averages are gradually turning upward, and the MACD momentum bars are narrowing and turning green near the zero line, suggesting that the downward momentum is weakening.
It is worth noting that if the 79,000 le

Currently, this kind of volatile market is actually the most ideal trend—within a range with nearly a thousand points of fluctuation, with bulls and bears repeatedly pulling back and forth, and a clear rhythm. It offers both trading opportunities and risk control.
In the morning, in the publicly available Silk Road strategy, I also clearly provided the judgment: there are no clear bullish or bearish signals in the current market.
Based on this judgment, I have also made corresponding strategic arrangements: at high levels, rely on resistance levels to set up short positions and seize profits o

2.3 Latest Ideas on Big Bull and Small Bull
Last night, we placed long positions on Big Bull at 2250 and Small Bull at 77000. The market smoothly pushed higher in the early morning, with Big Bull reaching a high of 79300, and Small Bull testing 2395, leaving good room for growth. Tonight, Shipan will continue to provide real-time updates. There is still an opportunity for a reversal!
Today’s white session saw oscillations and a pullback, but the downward momentum has significantly weakened. On the daily chart, there was a consecutive decline with a long lower shadow on yesterday’s candle, indi

February 3, 2026 11:30 (UTC+8), BTC is currently trading at $77,800, rebounding from $74,600 over the past 24 hours, an increase of about 2%, indicating a weak correction after an oversold condition. The dominant trend remains bearish, and the rebound momentum is relatively weak.
📊 Key Levels and Indicator Overview
- Resistance: $79,000-$79,500/$80,000 (strong resistance); Support: $76,800/$75,000/$74,500 (strong support at $74,500).
- Moving Averages: 50/200-day moving averages are in a bearish alignment, with the price below the 20-day moving average, indicating ongoing bearish pressure.
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