Hi,Squidward

Brothers, I won't be streaming these two days. I'm on a business trip. Last night, Eth, in the live room, the position at 2154, just hold it for now. If it drops below 2100, then watch. If it goes down to 207-205, I want to push it down to 2100, with a break-even stop-loss, or just exit directly. If you don't want to exit, set a break-even stop-loss and let it run on its own!

Xag, the more advanced the technology, the higher the demand. Buying on dips is the right strategy.

Last night, Dalangzi said he was willing to stop the war under protection, but today？？？？

My mom is still awesome!!

Gold, why did it fall instead of rise during this war?
Geopolitical conflict escalation → Oil prices surge → Inflation expectations heat up → Federal Reserve rate cut expectations cool down → Gold prices decline.
1. Conflict pushes up oil prices
Recently, the Middle East situation has escalated, triggering serious concerns in the market about global energy supply (especially the security of transportation through the Strait of Hormuz). This directly caused international crude oil prices to soar.
2. Oil prices trigger inflation concerns
Crude oil is the "blood" of the modern economy. Rising oil

Xag, the importance of silver has far surpassed its traditional perception as a precious metal. It is transforming from a "byproduct of gold" into a strategic resource crucial for modern technology and future development.
Its core value lies in its irreplaceable physical properties: silver is the most conductive and thermally conductive element among all metals. This characteristic makes it an indispensable "industrial blood" in many high-tech industries.
As technology advances, the demand for silver will only grow. Buy on dips, short on rallies—silver is a long-term asset worth holding on

BTC is currently around 67,500, constantly trying to reach 68,000, but the rebound lacks volume and is being suppressed by the EMA200 above. The current trading advice is mainly to go short on high positions, and be sure to set stop-losses. The closer to 69,000, the more you can consider taking partial short positions. For longs, look around 65,000 below.
ETH is currently hovering around 2,064, with the bulls showing weakness and being firmly suppressed by the EMA200. Near 2,100, you can try short positions, and near 1,900, consider going long. But don’t be overly optimistic; if Bitcoin star

BTC Conclusion:
Short-term bullish, but be cautious of "the final dip."
Scenario A (70% probability): First a minor pullback to $70,000-$70,500 for a fake-out (liquidating bottom longs), confirm support, then strong rally to liquidate shorts above.
Scenario B (30% probability): Direct volume breakout through $71,600, triggering a short squeeze.
Trading Strategy: Don't chase at current price. Place buy orders around $70,200, set stop loss at $69,400 (below liquidation cluster). Target $73,500.
ETH Conclusion:
Weak consolidation, waiting for BTC guidance.
ETH is currently in an awkward "follows

# Mind & Mentality Training: Overcoming Human Weakness
"The crypto space is a magnifying glass for human weaknesses: greed, fear, FOMO (fear of missing out), and envy."
**Reject FOMO:** When you see others posting screenshots of 100x gains, don't chase the pump impulsively. Missing one market move won't kill you, but chasing highs and getting trapped will. The market always has opportunities, but once your principal is gone, it's really gone.
**Avoid Leverage:** For beginners, futures leverage = suicide. Even for experienced traders, high leverage is the fast track to hell. Spot trading may be

Brothers in the live stream, wake up and start earning!

# Trading Iron Laws: Stop Loss is Your Only Lifeline
"One loss without a stop loss can wipe out 100 of your past profits."
**Stop loss is not failure:** Stop loss is the cost of trading, just like paying rent to operate a store. Refusing to stop loss is refusing to admit mistakes, and ultimately you'll be forced to capitulate by the market (liquidation).
**Don't hold losing positions:** In the stock market you can hold for years waiting to break even. In crypto, a 90% drop in a day is normal, and it may never recover. Holding losing positions is the fastest route to liquidation.
**Risk/reward

# 1. Survival First: Your Principal is Your Life
"In crypto, living long is ten thousand times more important than making money fast."
**Don't All-In:** Never invest all your funds at once. Even if you're 99% confident, that remaining 1% black swan event (exchange collapse, regulatory ban, code vulnerability) can wipe you out to zero.
**Invest with Idle Money:** Only invest money where "even if I lose it all, it won't affect my meals tomorrow, rent payments, or family harmony." Trading under pressure will definitely distort your decision-making.
**Accept Zero-Out Risk:** Besides BTC and ETH, a

I. Macroeconomic Background: Fed's "Hawkish Pause" Pressures Risk Assets
From the text summary you provided:
Interest rates held steady at 3.5%-3.75% → In line with expectations, but "consecutive second pause" signals policy entering an observation period.
Dot plot raises long-term rate expectations → Market previously expected one rate cut in 2026, which remains intact, but "long-term federal funds rate expectation median slightly increased" implies elevated rates may persist longer.
Inflation outlook tilted hawkish → "Firmly committed to restoring inflation to 2%" and raised PCE forecast → M

BTC (Bitcoin) Analysis
1. Price Structure & Fibonacci:
Current Price: $70,187
Fibonacci Retracement Range: High $90,593 → Low $59,921
0.382: $71,780
0.5: $75,441 ← Key Resistance Level
0.618: $79,102
Current price trading below 0.382 level, with fresh breakdown showing exhausted bounce momentum.
2. MACD & Moving Averages:
MACD sticking near zero line, red bars contracting → weakening bullish momentum.
EMA200 at $89,392, significantly above current price → long-term trend remains bearish.
Price suppressed by EMA200, weak bounce unable to break through.
Short-term weakness facing risk of testing

1. BTC (Bitcoin) Analysis:
Trend Status: Currently in a rebound recovery phase following the decline from $84,661 to $59,921. Price has broken through key Fibonacci resistance levels at 0.382 ($69,372) and 0.5 ($72,291), and is currently testing the 0.618 ($75,210) "bull-bear dividing line" golden ratio level.
Moving Average System: EMA 200 is located at $89,392, with current price significantly below this level, indicating that the larger timeframe remains under bearish pressure. The current uptrend is defined as an oversold rebound or wide-range consolidation.
Indicator Signals: MACD has for

The internet suddenly went down and interrupted the broadcast. If Bitcoin and Ethereum are at the resistance level on the upside, you can try to open a short position. If they haven't reached that level, it's a trade you can choose to do or not do—it's better not to do it! In this large meat grinder of a trading market, protecting your principal and pursuing stable compound returns is the key. Fast is slow, and slow is actually fast! Trade at the levels you want, and even if you're wrong, it's still worth trying. Set a proper stop loss! The rest depends on whether the market gives it to you or

# "Crypto Survival Rules: From Principal Protection to Compound Growth——Building a High Win-Rate Trading System"
**Target Audience:** Crypto beginners, losing retail traders, traders seeking systematic trading approaches
**Core Tone:** Rational, data-driven, anti-emotional (no holding losing positions), minimalist
## Why Do 90% of People Lose Money?
**Misconception:**Want to get rich overnight vs.**Reality:** Stay alive first.
**Core Definition:** Crypto is a high-risk speculative market. The only way for small capital to grow big is through "high risk-reward ratio + compound growth," not all-

Share a candlestick chart trick that's especially useful for beginners to reference, with a success rate above 65%. For intraday trades on the 1-hour chart, look for the Evening Star pattern at high positions. This pattern is composed of three candlesticks and must occur at an isolated high point—that's when this pattern is most effective. There's less need for pullback confirmation at low positions.

Live streaming every night at 9 PM sharp. Yesterday evening, 2196 short, the brothers in the live stream all made money, right? 2140 as protection for one position, watching 2118, then 2091, all targets hit. Whether protecting or taking profits, we made solid gains. Bitcoin missed by 100 points to hit. Trades that are optional—better not to do them. For trades at key levels, even if we get it wrong, it's worth taking the shot! Brothers, the market is always right, don't trade based on feelings! The core of trading starts with one word—wait!