ZhangShuofeng'sScriptDiary

BTC Market Analysis 2026.04.01
BTC still hasn't broken out of its trend today, so the outlook remains unchanged.
The rebound starting from 60,000 is nearing its end. The subsequent trend of this rebound can be divided into two paths: red and blue.
Red Path: Recently breaking through and stabilizing above 70,000, followed by strong upward momentum. If this continues, we might see BTC reach a high point above 76,000 next week. After that, the rebound from 60,000 could end at any time, followed by a decline comparable to the 97,900-60,000 level.
Blue Path: In the coming days, the market may conti

Gold Price Analysis for April 1, 2026
Yesterday's tweet mentioned the importance of 4603 and clearly indicated that the rebound starting from 4100 in gold prices would not end in the short term. After breaking through 4603, the price quickly surged by 120 points. What’s the outlook now?
If we view the rebound from 4100 as a simple three-wave upward pattern, then the strength of the first wave will directly determine the overall height of this rebound:
If gold cannot break through the blue zone shown this week, then the first wave of the rally is likely to end, followed by a correction targetin

CRCL Market Analysis 2026.04.01
CRCL's outlook remains unchanged. Currently, it is undergoing a correction within the upward range of 49.9-136.64. After the correction ends, there will likely be another upward move of similar magnitude, or even a larger-scale rally.
The longer it takes for CRCL to reach the 83-85 range, the higher the probability that this level will serve as the correction's endpoint, and the subsequent rally could be even more vigorous (red route).
Conversely, if in early April the price accelerates downward to test the 83-85 range, this level may not serve as the correction

ETH Market Analysis 2026.04.01
The overall structure of ETH remains unchanged from yesterday and continues to follow the established path. The rebound starting from 1748 has entered its final stage, and the earliest point for a rebound or a market acceleration could occur this week or next week, marking a turning point.
The only current concern is whether there will be a new high above 2386. Moving forward, pay attention to two things:
1. After 8:00 AM on April 3rd, no new lows below 1940 are allowed; otherwise, there’s a high probability that no new highs will appear later. Even if they do, i

BTC 2026.03.31 Market Analysis
BTC tested upward today and closed with a wick; currently, the trend has not yet broken out. The overall view remains unchanged—the area within the blue box, starting from 60,000, is a rebound from the decline between the black line at 97,900 and 60,000. This rebound is now in its final stage. Once the rebound endpoint is identified, BTC could end the rebound at any time and start a new downtrend. In short, 60,000 cannot serve as the bottom for BTC.
Yesterday, it was mentioned that after April 2, a low below 65,000 should not occur; otherwise, BTC might top out a

XAU Gold Market Analysis 2026.03.31
The 4098 level for gold is the end point of the first major decline phase. Currently, the market is experiencing a rebound from the decline shown on the left side of the chart in red or blue segments.
If this rebound is from the blue segment decline, then the rebound level should correspond to the blue segment decline, meaning the rebound end point will fall within the blue zone on the chart.
If gold can quickly hold above 4603 this week and does not break below 4350 afterward, it has the potential to develop into a rebound against the red segment. This rebo

ETH Market Analysis 2026.03.31
The rebound from 1748 has lasted for 53 days. Currently, the rebound is nearing its end; this week or next week may mark the end of the rebound. After ending the rebound from 1748, ETH will continue to decline, and 1748 cannot serve as a bottom.
The overall approach remains consistent with the view in Sunday’s video. The short-term ETH movement can be divided into two scenarios as shown in the chart:
Red: Rapid upward acceleration in recent days with no deep correction. Under this path, there is a high probability of another peak above 2386 (based on BTC breaking

Unity of knowledge and action. Yesterday afternoon, there was a small pullback, and I took profits on the short position overnight to continue going long. Many friends who watched the Sunday video and my tweet analysis yesterday should be riding the same wave as me? #BTC能否守住6.5万美元？ $BTC ‌$ETH ‌

BTC Market Analysis 2026.03.30
Currently maintaining the same view as in the Sunday video: the rebound of BTC from 60,000 is a correction against the illustrated 97,900-60,000 (black segment). This rebound has now lasted 52 days and is approaching its final stage.
As shown in the chart, if BTC can push a strong rally this week, there is a high probability that a new high above 76,000 will appear. Once it breaks through 76,000, the rebound can end at any time, entering a new downward trend. If the price does not fall below 65,000 in the next couple of days, the probability of following the red

XAU Gold Price Analysis 2026.03.30
The rise from 4100 is a rebound, targeting the decline in the blue or black segments in Chart 2. Currently, we treat it as a rebound with the possibility of an expanded level while considering the blue segment.
The ongoing market is referenced by the 1-hour candlestick chart in Chart 1. This move is a correction of the rise from 4100 to 4603, with two possible scenarios:
Red: This correction is a converging pattern, with subsequent narrowing of volatility, raising lows, and not breaking below 4350, directly initiating the next upward wave.
Blue: This correcti

2026.03.28
In my video on 3.22, I clearly stated that gold opened lower on Monday, then rebounded, with gold rising from 4100 to 4600. After failing to break through 4603, I indicated that the first wave of upward movement had ended. Subsequently, gold fell to 4350. Although last night gold rebounded to 4555, I still maintain the view shown in Chart 2 as long as it does not break above 4603.
Oh, by the way, last night I took a short position on gold at 4553. You can compare the message time with the candlestick to verify if it's accurate.
Even if the market opens higher on Monday, or even brea

Ethereum Market Analysis 2026.03.27
Since February, ETH has experienced most of its major swings, and new friends can review the referenced video in this post for verification. I just took profits on most of the short positions opened this week, and now I am fully preparing for the market turning point.
The rebound from 1748 in ETH has entered its final stage. After the rebound ends, a new decline will begin. Based on ETH's current structure, I have illustrated two possible paths for the upcoming market:
Red Path: ETH will bottom out with a V-shaped reversal within the next two days. Under thi

How many people still remember the principles I shared in yesterday's post?
How many dared to short right before the sharp decline?
Any major market trend evolves from smaller timeframes. When you see an opportunity on a smaller scale, just jump in boldly. If it develops into a larger trend, that's even better; if not, treating it as a short-term trade can still be profitable. Be flexible—trading doesn't have to be so complicated. #eth $ETH

Silver Market Analysis 2026.03.27
I remember on January 3rd and January 8th, some friends asked me about my view on silver. At that time, silver was priced at 70. I told them that the upward trend for silver was about to start, and I saw it surpassing 100+.
Later, I also reminded friends holding silver in the group to sell after it reached 100+. Time flies—two months have passed in the blink of an eye, and silver has returned to where the dream began.
I have always advised against making silver your main trading target because its primary use is industrial, with almost no financial attributes.

Gold Market Analysis 2026.03.27
Last Sunday's video was viewed by 130,000 people. Just by looking at the video thumbnail, you can tell my opinion—opening lower on Monday and then moving higher. Gold rebounded from 4100 to 4603, and I was right; I said yesterday that the first wave of the rebound was over, very clear and indisputable. I was right again.
What’s the outlook now? As shown in the chart—a pullback / a new low, then continuing higher. If you’ve been following my rhythm, you won’t be worried about whether there are further lows, because yesterday you already closed your positions and

Ethereum 2026.03.26
On February 5th, it was indicated that February 6th would be a critical turning point, potentially marking a bottom in the cycle. Subsequently, after dropping to 1748 on February 6th, a decisive entry was made. All subsequent actions are marked by arrows in Chart 1, supported by the viewpoints at that time. You can judge how well it was done. Currently, ETH has reached a turning point again. Will the next trend be in the car or at the bottom of the car?
Tonight, we will observe whether ETH will break below 2023 and whether the daily chart will close below that level tomorro