TheBrightMoonShinesBrightly

Just casually predicting the US stock market trend, I feel it will go to test the intraday high, surge about 10 points, then start a wave of pullback, roughly around 2360 to 2380.

Long time no see. The market has made a wave of upward movement based on news. At this point, I think there's no problem with the main position going short. Small positions can enter short positions.

It's pretty much the same as the previous post. It will utilize the monthly closing line along with positive external market conditions to trigger a rally.

If Bitcoin can't push higher, it will be the sixth consecutive month of decline on the monthly chart. Historically, this has been a very extreme market condition. With the monthly close approaching, it’s hard to guarantee that the bulls won't attempt to push through the 67,000 level.

Although the market rebound is weak, and it was pushed down after hitting the resistance level, I still do not recommend opening a short position at the 2000 level. First, the short-term decline caused by market expectations of ongoing war is gradually being digested. Second, with Trump's voter support decreasing and the likelihood of a ceasefire increasing, there is a possibility of a sharp rally to liquidate short positions. If possible, I would consider going long between 1950 and 1900. Although the long-term downward channel suggests that Ethereum may still decline, it is still not suitabl

The market has basically lost faith in Trump's words. The main concern now is Iran's response. The trend is approaching the monthly close, and since the weekend is near, it's not recommended to add new positions. However, I personally might go short near 2100 (possibly around 2080), with a stop around 2130. A small position of a few dozen points is just for fun—if it goes up, we'll see. But the market is really not very optimistic, and there's even a probability of a downward breakout. If your position size is larger, it's definitely not advisable to enter now; wait for the trend to clarify.

Awesome, Trump is really a candlestick chart artist.

The cryptocurrency market is becoming increasingly unstable on weekends these days, with many traders hunting through low weekend liquidity. Going forward, those looking to trade weekend volatility will need to seriously evaluate the associated risks.

Looking at the candlestick patterns and indicators, it does appear to be an uptrend, with frequent dips near 2120 that haven't broken through. The oscillation around 2150 seems like it's tempting people to go long, but I'll pass on it. If it breaks through, I would probably initiate a short position near 2230. If it drops, I'd consider a short-term long near 2050, but I'm not going to gamble at this level. I'll just focus on my own things over the weekend.

Short position placed at 2295, initial order entered

Relying on going long around 1980, a big move might be coming.

Trading Diary 3.9
This morning, the crypto market followed the US stocks downward, but the dip wasn't very deep. Bitcoin still held relatively well, with a dip to 1908. Yesterday's order at 1888 didn't get filled. Currently, the big players clearly don't want to give up chips below 1900, so this morning I took a small long position at 1930 to test the waters, with a stop at 1900. Sure enough, there was a rally. This can also be considered a test order—just a small snack.

Trading Diary Three
The market is most likely following the previous pattern, experiencing a rebound after the initial surge. The bulls haven't finished their move yet. Try to buy on dips as much as possible. Today, entered a long position at 69,500 on Bitcoin, catching a breakout. In the evening, also caught a move on U.S. stocks with long positions. Although the recent rebound has been strong, the overall trend remains bearish. The market still needs a black swan event. Consider short positions above 2300 on Ethereum, and add to positions on further upward movement.

It was a false breakout that was quickly pulled back.

Trading Diary Three
This wave of market rebound is indeed reasonable. Structurally, there is a demand for a rebound. The homogeneous market had already digested expectations of war before the conflict started. In other words, the market had already fallen significantly before the outbreak, so the actual fighting won't cause much damage. Some fluctuations after the conflict begins may even be positive.