百世论币

What major event has happened?
Bitcoin surged, while Ethereum's price action remains stagnant, is it holding back for a big move?
The European market opened with Bitcoin directly showing a strong bullish rally. It seems many are about to start saying the bull is returning quickly.
During midday, the price was around 747, with a rebound to about 763 for a short sell. Now the highest rebound reached near 76350, another divine-level prediction, just hitting the ambush point and then starting a waterfall decline to around 754, with a 900-point drop easily achieved.
Now, looking at the 4-hour chart

The US and Iran are expected to resume talks, with Bitcoin maintaining resilience and fluctuating.
The Middle East conflict is likely to ease, as Israel has agreed to a 10-day temporary ceasefire with Lebanon, and Trump also mentioned that the US and Iran might have another round of talks this weekend. The market is also becoming optimistic, so recent market volatility hasn't been significant; whether it's Bitcoin or gold, they are oscillating within their reasonable ranges.
But it's important to note that if negotiations go awry again, a rebound in oil prices could trigger inflation concerns,

The market is waiting for news to settle, is Bitcoin looking for a clear direction?
News of the US and Iran heading toward negotiations is spreading more and more, and everyone's risk aversion has eased; the Federal Reserve has also signaled a hawkish stance, meaning high interest rates may need to stay for a while longer.
Where will the price go in the future? It all depends on two things: first, what kind of deal can US and Iran negotiate; second, the US inflation situation and the Federal Reserve's policy direction.
Yesterday, Bitcoin was expected to rebound from around 732, with the lowest

The Iran–US are expected to return to the negotiating table, and the big picture is temporarily showing strength
After the Iran–US negotiations broke down, the United States imposed a maritime blockade on Iranian ports, which had once raised market risk sentiment.
But the market quickly brought new updates: the Iran–US negotiation teams, over the next two days this week, are expected to return once again to the negotiating table in Islamabad, and U.S. President Trump also said he was “very hopeful that a peace agreement can be reached.” This eased market tension quite a bit.
Yesterday, before

Yesterday's fundamentals: U.S. Vice Minister Vance stated in an interview with Fox News that the U.S. has made significant progress in negotiations with Iran. When asked if there would be more negotiations, Vance said the ball is in Tehran's court. He added that the U.S. expects Iran to make progress in opening the Strait of Hormuz and warned that if Tehran does not do so, the negotiation situation will change. The news of the second round of talks also helped the market, which had collapsed after the first round over the weekend, return to normal.
Here are two viewpoints.
1. The contest over

Surprised or not, unexpected or not—the Iran-U.S. negotiations have ended. Big rally then a big drop. Crude oil surges violently.
The first formal round of talks between the U.S. and Iran over the weekend ended in a way that, basically, achieved no meaningful progress. The main disputes were still over who would control the Strait of Hormuz and over uranium enrichment research—these are the requirements insisted on by the U.S. This also touched Iran’s bottom line, so the first round of talks ended unhappily. However, both sides also left open the possibility of further negotiations. At the sam

Teasing the little black fans—step out and laugh out loud.
The weekend ceasefire negotiations have been temporarily concluded; up to now, there has been no substantive progress, and the timing of the next round of talks is still to be confirmed.
Instead, at times like this, a situation tends to happen: good news doesn’t carry on, but turns into bad news.
$BTC 735 Empty at the top of the frontline mountain; after breaking below 715, continue looking down at 709
The rebound continues to wane. $BTC $ETH

A large bearish candle, a brief rally, is the bull market coming?
4-hour K-line and daily chart, head and shoulders top pattern.
Large bearish candle, volume continues to shrink. A bunch of post-hoc predictions are starting again.
$BTC Already preemptively laid out a short position at 735-739 across the entire network.
Looking further down to 719 break level that can't be recovered, see further.
A brief trap to lure buyers, you say the bull is here, two days of rise, a few minutes of decline, simple and clear.
Where is all that nonsense? Just two horizontal lines and one vertical

CPI data is positive—could a big move be coming?
$BTC Current price around 72900
Set up a short at the 73500-73900 range
Add to the short at 74700, with a stop-loss at 753
Targets: 71900; if it breaks, then 70900; next looking at 69500. $BTC ‌$ETH ‌#原油小幅上涨

Can the early-morning positioned swing/interval short still be held?
Late at night, a short opportunity came near 73,000
If it breaks below 71,500, then you can look for 71,000-70,500
The market is currently down to around 713
It’s another 1700-point move space $BTC $ETH #加密市场回升

Late at night, everything is a witness, and Bitcoin surges past 80k
Pinpointing the top. The bullish candlestick violently liquidates the bears
Lurking short positions in the early morning.
Short position at 73,000, after the Asian session peaks at the top, it quickly pulls back.
Directly drops near the 715 level. $BTC ‌#加密市场小幅下跌

BTC:
Evening Setup Short
Short
Entry Range: 72,950-73,400
Break Defense Level: 74,200
Target: Break 71,500, look for 71,000-70,500$BTC ‌#加密市场小幅下跌

Finally, peace in the world has been achieved.
In the early trading session, U.S. President Trump stated that based on talks with Pakistani Sharif and Pakistani Ahsim Munir, they requested that I not deploy destructive forces against Iran tonight, and on the condition that Iran fully, immediately, and safely opens the Strait of Hormuz with Iran's consent, I agree to suspend bombing and attacks on Iran for two weeks.
This will be a bilateral ceasefire! The reason for this is that we have achieved, and even surpassed, all military objectives, and have made significant progress in reaching a long

$ETH
Two pancakes 2132. The node is present, Kaka aims at the target,
A straight-line waterfall below 2100.
With effort as attitude, execution as armor, untroubled by age, undisturbed by rumors, transforming through action, blooming through persistence. Ultimately, living as the best version of yourself, heading toward your own brilliant light. $BTC ‌#加密市场行情震荡

The negative impact of US non-farm payroll data has been fully priced in. Although the Federal Reserve has delayed interest rate cuts, expectations for a rate cut later this year still remain. The US dollar and Treasury yields are fluctuating at high levels. Additionally, one thing must be reminded to everyone: the global financial markets are welcoming a pivotal day!
Today, Tuesday, the final deadline for the US-Iran agreement announced by Trump has officially arrived, marking an unchangeable final point. On one side, the US is exerting maximum pressure, ready to take tough action if no agree

One year of Qingming, one thought of distant remembrance; gentle breeze and light rain carry mourning, and the heart’s lamp shines brightly like a silk ribbon. Many still remember the crypto market crash during last year's Qingming Festival, and were scared off by the market plunge.
Last week, Bitcoin remained in sideways consolidation with virtually no liquidity. Meanwhile, geopolitical conflicts kept flaring up and ceasing fire, and Trump kept drawing K-line charts, causing the market to fluctuate slightly within a range. Currently, the market is tentatively testing the 70k level — the bigge

Trump suddenly sends a major signal, willing to end the Iran war if the Strait of Hormuz is closed.
The Federal Reserve's March policy meeting signals a hawkish stance, with the full-year rate cut expectation reduced to once. The first rate cut is delayed until September. U.S. Treasury yields remain high, temporarily suppressing Bitcoin's rebound.
Overnight, with the Houthi forces joining the fight, the Middle East once again descends into chaos, and risk aversion sentiment rises. However, later in the evening, there was a turnaround as the U.S. stated willingness to end the war if the Strait

Trump is criticizing Master Bao for being incompetent while also facing a hard-hitting rebuke from the judge; Master Bao is called a "fool," but he has maintained the Federal Reserve's independence through the judge's ruling and will have to continue until his term ends in May. Basically, Trump wanted to pressure the central bank into cutting interest rates through investigations, but the judicial system "doused that idea with cold water," ultimately embarrassing himself, while Master Bao is caught "living in the cracks"!
The market opened lower and then rose in the morning, and in the afterno

Three: The United States continues to send negotiation signals while intensifying troop deployments. Iran denies direct negotiations and proposes "accept the conditions first, then negotiate."
BTC showed strong upward momentum in early trading yesterday, then entered a consolidation phase, ultimately falling back in the early morning hours, with a daily candlestick showing a long upper shadow.
Currently, BTC clearly exhibits a downward trend. Although short-term rebounds may occur, the extremely reduced trading volume and the presence of bearish signals indicate that the price has broken below