InvestingWithBrandon

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WHEN THE MARKET GOES STRAIGHT UP, EVERYONE IS A GENIUS:
But the day we get a tiny dip everyone is suddenly big on risk management, bonds, CDs, gold, ect...
I have seen this time and time again…
People just don’t learn.
They buy into the hype, get smoked, then sell for a loss.
The exact opposite of what should be done.
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Where are the day trading Billionaires?
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Buy great companies for less than they are worth.
That's it.
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IF YOU UNDERSTAND THIS, YOU CAN MAKE MILLIONS:
The real win isn’t just buying any old dip.
It’s buying when a stock is trading below its intrinsic value.
As Warren Buffett says, "price is what you pay, value is what you get"
But most people don’t know the difference between price and value.
They know the price a stock is trading at 24/7, but have no clue how to value it.
The key is understanding what a business is actually worth.
Once you know that, you stop guessing and start investing.
When you find the deal:
1. Buy shares.
2. Sell portfolio secured puts.
3. Buy calls.
All options are 1+ y
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If you miss the 10 best days in the market in the last 30 years, your returns will be cut in half!
Think about that!
Are you really good enough to predict the 10 best days in a 30 year time period!?
You aren’t.
Nobody is.
Moral of the story... stay invested in great companies at good prices.
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The same Q trade. Two very different outcomes.
Q: about $585 today. ATH was $637.
1 month put at $555 strike:
Premium collected: ~$380.
Cash needed if cash secured: $55,500 sitting idle.
Margin of safety: ~5%.
EPS tailwind: none.
Need 10 trades in a row just to match the alternative.
1 year put at $525 strike:
Premium collected: ~$3,800.
Cash needed: $0. Portfolio is the collateral.
Margin of safety: ~10%.
EPS tailwind: 12 months of growth working for you.
Take the $3,800.
Buy Q shares & LEAPS.
Every dollar working.
Q at $525 in 1 year would be historically cheap.
That assignment is fine.
Port
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Most people learn about compounding.
Few actually feel it.
Here is when it starts to feel real.
$50,000 invested.
At 10% per year (S&P average):
Year 10: $130,000.
Year 20: $336,000.
Year 30: $873,000.
At 25% per year (with the options layer):
(my CAGR in the last 10 years is around 25% but will likely end up closer to 20 with time)
Year 10: $465,000.
Year 20: $4.3 million.
Year 30: $39.8 million.
Same $50,000. Same 30 years.
The only variable is the system you use.
Year 1 to 5 feels slow.
Year 10 starts to feel real.
Year 20 changes everything.
The hardest part is being patient enough to get
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Before I sell a single put, I ask these 5 questions.
This is the filter. If anything fails, I pass. No exceptions.
1. Is this stock trading below intrinsic value?
If it is not cheap, I do not sell the put.
2. Does it have a moat & pricing power?
Can it raise prices without losing customers?
Can competition easily copy it?
3. Is EPS growing?
Profits drive stock prices in the long run.
If EPS is not growing, I am not interested.
4. Am I OK to own the shares long term if assigned?
If I would not want to own the shares, I should not sell the put.
5. Are my ratios in check?
Can I take assignment wi
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If I won 10 million bucks tomorrow, I would immediately do this:
$4m in $VOO
$4m in $Q
$2m in single stocks.
- Sell puts with strikes 10% below the current prices assuming the stock is near intrinsic value.
-1 year durations.
-Reinvest the put premiums back into more shares.
-Portfolio secured, not cash secured.
- Keep ratios in check to be fine in any volatility.
This is the exact system scaled me to millions, and it can scale you too.
KEEP IT SIMPLE GUYS
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You’ll likely be dreaming of these prices in 5 years for most companies.
Even more likely in 10 years.
Moral of the story, filter out the noise.
Stick to the plan.
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I'd rather own 5 ULTRA high conviction stocks vs 50 garbage companies that are pipe dreams...
What I Look For:
- Good Valuation
- Moat
- Pricing power
- Durable Competitive Advantage
- Ok To Hold For Long Run
- All 1+ year option contracts
You work hard for your money, stop gambling like most retail "traders" do.
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I'll never criticize the new investor making $50/month selling options...
Unless they do covered calls or cash secured puts...
Then I will.
(those strategies are a trap)
Most new investors fall victim to this because it's viewed by the herd as "safe" and "low capital"
But in reality, it's a way to cap upside on a bullish company (covered call) & a way to sit on a bunch of cash when you are bullish on a company (cash secured put)
I haven't met a single person that made millions selling CCs or CSPs...
But I have personally made millions selling portfolio secured puts, not cash secured.
Ratios in
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When the market "CRASHES"
Everyone says "Buy the dip"
But do you know what it feels like to actually buy during a "meltdown" as an average retail investor?
- Your portfolio is red.
- The news says the world is ending.
- You second guess everything.
- You end up panic selling... at the exact wrong time.
Happens every cycle.
Smart investors will:
- Buy shares while they are on sale.
- Buy calls when nobody wants them. (cheaper)
- Sell puts when the herd is paying top dollar for them. (selling for max premium)
I always say the emotional aspect of investing is what crushes most retail investors
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Sometimes, the best move to make in the stock market is to DO NOTHING.
Every headline doesn't need to be reacted to.
Every dip doesn't justify being bought.
Every pump doesn't justify to sell.
Be calculated and stick to your plan.
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🔴Please... Just Stop
Stop selling CSP's
Stop selling covered calls on bullish stocks
Stop day trading
Stop doing short duration options trades
Stop getting emotional with your investments
Stop following the broke herd
Instead, do this:
- Build base portfolio
- Sell portfolio secured puts
- Use cash flow to buy more shares & some LEAP calls.
- Know what you own and why
- Accept volatility as opportunity
- Do 1+ year duration plays because they are easier
- Keep ratios in check
- Be patient
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The retirement age is 67
The life expectancy age is 78
Work for 50 years to be "free" for 11?
I still don't understand why people do this...
Most People Should:
Lock in for a few years.
Make a few million.
Then cruise.
Making a few million is MUCH more realistic than you think. You can achieve whatever you want if you set your mind to it.
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If you put $100 into $AMZN in 2010, you would be "rich" today.
Well...Let’s play it out if you somehow did nothing & held until right now.
You would have $505 by the end of 2015
and did nothing
Then watched that $505 climb to about $1,500 by the 2018 peak
and still did nothing
Then watched $1,500 get cut to about $1,000 in the late 2018 crash
and still did nothing
Then watched it rip to around $2,800 at the November 2021 peak
and still did nothing
Then watched $2,800 collapse to about $1,500 at the October 2022 bottom
and still did nothing
Then watched $1,500 explode to a little over $3,500 b
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I make about $29k a month with options.
NO Day trading
NO Swing trading
NO Covered calls
NO Cash secured puts
NO BS
INSTEAD, I DO THIS:
Build base portfolio
Sell portfolio secured puts (not cash secured)
Buy LEAPS with the premium from sold puts
BUY shares with the premium from sold puts
(all 1+year option contracts)
I can explain it to a 13 year old & I will likely outperform 95% of people that read this.
Simple wins.
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Retail investors have been fed crap their entire lives about how to make it in the stock market.
Do more trades
Get more screens
Draw more lines
Get more indicators
Take on more leverage
Get your timing better
Do more complex options strategies
All to realize... it was all a waste.
The disgust you will eventually feel will be like nothing you ever experienced before.
You poured your heart and soul into trading and didn't make it.
Just like almost everyone else...
And at that point, you will give up and think the stock market is not for you.
But the hard truth that took me many years to realize
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If a 8% dip from ATH when valuations were high to start is shocking you... You need to re assess your investment philosophies.
Take a mental note of all the X accounts posting crazy high beta stocks last year that are now down 75%+
I never forget.
Be an investor, not a speculator.
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