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I will have no reason to be bearish on $BTC once we breakout from the log trend and reclaim the $74k range.
But for now, this is no place to get excited at the macro resistance.
The first scenario is more probable since we are under the trend.
Many altcoins have a very good bullish structure. I'd rather play them than to diddle with BTC here.
BTC5,22%
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While altcoins are bouncing, most people will start ignoring the $BTC chart.
But the real question is, has BTC actually bottomed?
On the linear scale (right), the macro downtrend has already been broken on the 3D timeframe.
But on the log scale (left), BTC is now approaching a major confluence:
• Macro trend resistance
• Key weekly S/R around $74k
This is the real test.
A proper bottom confirmation would look like:
• Break above the macro log trend
• Reclaim and hold inside the $74k–$108k range
That’s when structure shifts.
If instead price rejects here and continues to stay below the log tr
BTC5,22%
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$CRV before and after.
Clean price action.
Very similar setup to the $EIGEN one I posted just now.
CRV6,8%
EIGEN9,34%
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$EIGEN
Interesting structures forming across altcoins. Clean AMD on display.
This is exactly the type of structures you look for after a prolonged downtrend to signal a potential bottom (even if it’s just local)
• Wait for a retest of the range lows, aligning with daily demand + 4H FVG.
That’s where I look to enter.
Let’s see.
#EIGEN #EIGENUSDT
EIGEN9,34%
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$USDT.D
Consolidating above a key confluence zone of horizontal _ diagonal support.
If it continues to hold above the black box for 4h, we should see a squeeze back up on $USDT.D.
For BTC to continue its move up, USDT.D needs to lose this support area and start a breakdown.
BTC5,22%
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$ETH
Monday highs swept.
Previous month highs swept.
Liquidity taken. Late longs trapped.
From here, Monday lows are the most logical nearest point of interest.
If downside continues, then the next levels in play are:
• Monthly Open
• 0.75 Fib
• Range lows if the full setup unfolds
Invalidation is simple:
If Monday highs get reclaimed and broken, this short idea is invalid.
Clean sweep of liquidity above the highs. Now watching for price to unwind in the opposite direction.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
ETH5,98%
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$SOL
Currently Short from these levels ($85)
• But...If we get a clean flip of the red box (4H supply), I’ll look to switch bias and target a move into the mid $90s.
Price has spent too much time around the $80 region after it fell from the $95 region on a failed breakout attempt. Should have fallen by now to new lows if weakness persisted.
But because price action here is constructive with structure forming bullish on LTF, I will flip LTF bias if we get the confirmation.
Let's see.
#SOL #SOLUSDT
SOL5,91%
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$BTC
This is our 4H / 1D range. Focusing on the extremes until the range breaks: Short highs, Long lows.
Two simple triggers define direction:
1. A clean break above $73.4k (red box) with 4H acceptance opens the door for upside.
2. A sweep above $73.4k followed by a rejection and consolidation back below confirms the short plan I am playing.
On the upside, we have a clear draw in the $79.4k – $83.5k region (CME gap + monthly FVG). Price should get pulled into this zone on a confirmed breakout.
Take your best bet.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC5,22%
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$ETHBTC grinding under 1W50MA is bullish right?
Altseason soon right?
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The best thing about the Crypto charts right now is that coins can go 50% lower on the day, and the charts would basically look the same on HTF xD
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Your goal is to make money, not to be right.
CT is full of noise, people constantly trying to prove a point, and in the process, blowing up because they can’t accept they’re wrong.
Trading isn’t about ego.
It’s about adapting.
Take the loss. Move on. Adapt. Stay in the game.
That’s what actually pays.
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#Crypto is at a crucial point for the short-term trend.
$BTC and $ETH are sitting at macro trend resistance, while $USDT.D is at daily trend support.
Rejection here = business as usual → continuation lower.
But if BTC breaks this trend, I’d expect a move into the low $80ks before any meaningful reaction.
This is a gamble zone for me.
Only interested in playing extremes at the moment:
• Long on a sweep of the $60k region
• Short if we tap the low $80ks
Let's see what Saylor does on the weekend.
BTC5,22%
ETH5,98%
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Truth is, the market isn’t in a booming phase right now.
Whether the bottom is in or not, generational wealth isn’t getting printed in the next few months. Cycles take time. Rotations take time. Expansions don’t happen overnight.
The only asset I’m consistently accumulating, regardless of price, is $ETH.
I don’t know if the bottom is in — or if it goes to $1600, $1400, even $1000. Time will decide.
But I’m willing to bet on $ETH to deliver exponential returns in the next cycle.
In my view, it’s heavily mispriced and has the potential to outperform BTC by a wide margin.
GN.
ETH5,98%
BTC5,22%
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$BTC 4H, Looking for a scalp short
Price is sitting just below the range high.
• Strong move up, but now stalling at resistance.
• LTF showing compression, momentum slowing.
Not clean breakout behavior.
Best case we drop from here, Worst case we sweep range highs and retest lower
Levels to watch lower: 69k → 67.5–68k → 65k
Bullish case: Break and hold above 74k only then we can expect continuation higher into $80ks
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC5,22%
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$ETH Price stalling right at macro resistance. No surprises here.
Low probability of a clean breakout from this region.
If I try to be very optimistic (and assume we don’t start another down leg):
• Best case would be a textbook accumulation —slow bleed, multiple drives into lows, then breaks and flips the trend, sweeps the current lows, and starts sending higher.
But that’s a scenario, not confirmation.
Until the structure actually shifts, I’m not interested in calling bottoms.
Stopped catching falling knives after the 2020 cycle.
#ETH #ETHUSDT
ETH5,98%
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CryptoMarketLittleAnt:
H The price is stagnating near the macro resistance level. No surprises here.
The likelihood of a clear breakout from this area is very low.
If I try to be very optimistic ( and assume we won't start another decline ):
• The best-case scenario is textbook-style accumulation — slow bleeding, multiple dips to lows, then a breakout and trend reversal, clearing the current lows, and starting to rise.
But that is just one scenario, not a
Endless chop.
Euphoria gone again.
No comments.
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Since there’s a lot of noise, anger, and abuse in the comments; let me make one thing clear.
I’ve seen this cycle play out multiple times.
I’ve been exactly where most of you are right now — wanting price to go up just because it’s been down for so long.
That desperation to see the chop end… I get it.
But markets don’t move based on what you want.
They move based on structure.
Being Patient ≠ bearish.
It’s clarity.
I rarely short (95% longs / 5% shorts).
My takes are near-term based on triggers, levels, and structure.
This is what I do for a living.
For those questioning bias:
My first public
BTC5,22%
ETH5,98%
TAO8%
SOL5,91%
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Let’s assume for a moment the bottom is in on $ETH the bull run has started.
The real money won’t be made under this trend
it will be made once the price is above it.
Right now?
We’re sitting exactly at macro trend resistance while still respecting a lower high structure.
This is where most people front-run and get chopped.
If this is truly a reversal, price will:
- Break the trend
- Flip it into support
- Show acceptance above
Until that happens, this is just another retest in a downtrend.
Don’t confuse positioning with guessing. I have seen this movie 4 times over the past 10 years.
ETH5,98%
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Too much excitement for what is clearly a low volume, news-driven move on $BTC
Nothing has changed from a macro perspective.
• Still in a downtrend
• Still trading below key Weekly S/R
• Currently retesting a confluence of diagonal + horizontal resistance
This is where most get trapped — confusing reaction for reversal.
Until structure shows clear strength and shift, nothing has changed.
I’m perfectly fine being wrong on a few trades.
But I’ll always back the system that’s kept me in the game for 10+ years.
#BTC #BTCUSDT
BTC5,22%
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