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$BTC
BULLS ARE LAUGHING AT ME because I'm calling for 66k on Bitcoin
For 20 days, Bitcoin has been unable to get past 72k and get back to range highs.
That means we're not in an uptrend anymore (higher lows and higher highs).

Now that the war seems over, a ceasefire has been reached, you want me to believe $BTC will NOW PUMP HARD?
Seriously. This is news-driven hype. And in those cases, price often crashes back down.
March 2, 2025.
Also, as I explained before, $BTC should have moved much more decisively instead of doing another low to 66k on March 27.
This is why I'm staying true to what

$BTC
Good morning crypto friends
AFTER THE CEASEFIRE, TIME FOR THE DUMP ⚠️
We finally got that ceasefire. Bitcoin pumped and I managed to close my long trade with a small profit this morning. Nothing crazy though.
And I'm going to be VERY CLEAR now : despite the news and distractions, we're still in a bear market.
I still expect $BTC to CRASH BACK TO 66K after this ceasefire and the stock market open later today.
I have BEEN TELLING YOU for days this whole structure was bearish and bulls weren't faring very well.
The structure hasn't changed.
Don't FOMO now.
Surprises can and will happen.

$BTC
In the middle of a BEAR MARKET
Is there still SOMEONE WHO BELIEVES this structure can end up pumping back to 90k?
Everyone who studied the previous bear markets KNOWS we are much more likely to break down.
This won't go above 72-73k as we need a LOWER HIGH before that huge move down.
The candle to 66k on March 27 would have never happened if $BTC was strong enough to break to the upside.

$BTC
We'll DUMP TO 66K and then 63K WILL BE UNAVOIDABLE !
This really was a NICE liquidation candle back to 70k, but I'm STILL BEARISH!
We're back to the middle of the range. However, this is clearly NOT an uptrend anymore.
As I said previously, an upward-trending structure was needed to have a real recovery and RECLAIM OF 90K
This has NOT HAPPENED and the most likely scenario is now a DUMP to 63k within a matter of weeks.
Yes, 66k provided us with a bounce. However, it may NOT LAST LONG especially if we crash back down.
This last pump was a mechanical effect due to a shorters getting exhau

$BTC
68-69K is COMING. DUMP AFTER THAT.
So far so good for bulls
As long as we remain ABOVE 66k and keep ranging as we are doing right now, this means we can have that LIQUIDATION candle past 68k
In the past, patterns where price crashed hard, then flat lined and slowly rose back up are BULLISH ones.
And although we're not moving with a straight line, we're slowly getting there.
The structure remains fragile. That means one sharp dump back to 66k and we risk crashing even lower.
63 000$ will come sooner or later. However, price may range a bit more in the coming days before we finally dump

$BTC
180 DAYS since we made an ATH (all-time high).
-46.5% DOWN since then.
In 2022, 180 days post-ATH : -56%
In 2018, 180 days post-ATH : -67.5%
In 2014, 180 days post-ATH : - 45%
What's happening is totally normal. Since 2018, crashes have become less severe (from -67.5% to -46.5%) as the market matures.
However, in all these instances, we were far from the bottom.
In 2022, Bitcoin did another -47.5% until the bottom
In 2018, Bitcoin did another -50% until the bottom
In 2014, Bitcoin did another -73% until the bottom
Based on historical patterns, we can expect another good -40%. That bring

$BTC
WATCH OUT FOR THIS ⚠️
If you look at the SP500 index, you can see we're in a clear downtrend.
In fact, we may get a rejection and large crash at the open. Also because of the Iran war, which is having a rather negative impact on the markets.
A SP500 crash will certainly have an impact on Bitcoin and send us decisively under 65k.
Until then, I'm remaining cautiously bearish

$BTC
WATCH OUT FOR THIS ⚠️
In less than 2 hours, the stock market will open.
If you look at the SP500 index, you can see we're in a clear downtrend.
In fact, we may get a rejection and large crash at the open. Also because of the Iran war, which is having a rather negative impact on the markets.
A SP500 crash will certainly have an impact on Bitcoin and send us decisively under 65k.
Until then, I'm remaining cautiously bearish

$BTC
If we can't HOLD 66K, WE'RE DONE
Bitcoin has two choices now. And one of them (the bearish scenario) is more likely.
We can either bounce from here, reclaim 72k and get back to the upper part of the range
Or we can slowly crash down more and more until the final bull capitulation.
Considering we're in a bear market and that we've been grinding down that 66k level, I'm leaning bearish.

$BTC
WE'RE ABOUT TO CRASH ❗️❗️
Price is retesting this 66 000$ level again and again.
When I notice this pattern, it usually ends up breaking DOWN and making a new low.
It is now clear that the impulse needed to make a new high on smaller timeframes will need to be very strong.
That means we're more likely to make a lower high below the previous high at 69 290$.

$BTC
63K IS COMING ⚠️⚠️
The whole structure got bearish as we previously plunged to 66 000$
Now, our uptrend is largely weakened as it's unlikely we get back above 72k
Whether we take some time to consolidate or we crash directly, I believe we'll soon see 63 000$.
The only condition to fully tip the scale would be a quick pump to 72k.
Bears will win this out in the end.

$BTC daily chart
2 indecision candles in a row
Bitcoin is and remains weak because we can't form a lower high easily and sustain our uptrend.
Despite the appearances, price won't dump instantly because liquidity, algorithms and FOMO are slowing us down.
I won't be able to update until tomorrow morning as I'll be in the plane.
However, Bitcoin could wait until the Monday stock market opening to make a move.

This is the scenario I envision for $BTC
A quick bounce to grab liquidity back to 68k.
Then bears keep pushing us down slowly but surely until we reach the next support level.
This happened in January.
It can repeat now.

🟩🟩 $BTC LIMIT LONG TRADE 🟩🟩
ENTRY: 67504
STOP-LOSS: 65800
TAKE PROFITS: Taking 50% out at 71490, the rest at 74920
Leverage: 35X
I am remaining consistent with my initial idea on Bitcoin.
We're in an upward-trending range, making higher lows.
Keeping a limit long open at the bottom of the range.