纽约翻仓大神

#加密市场开年反弹 $ETH ‌
Ethereum Bull Trap Warning: Selling Risks Approaching, Short Positions Are Justified

Core Viewpoint

Ethereum's current rise is a typical bull trap pattern. Technical signals are clearly bearish, and hidden concerns exist in the capital flow. The short-term selling risk is extremely high, and immediate caution and short position deployment are necessary.

Key Warning Basis

1. Technical Outlook Fully Bearish: MACD indicator forms a death cross at high levels and crosses below the zero line. The green downward momentum bars continue to expand, and the price has broken bel

#加密行情预测 Pay attention to risks, reference point today! Strict trading discipline!

#加密市场开年反弹 $BTC ‌
Personal opinion: The 2026 crypto market is a structural bull market, not a broad-based crazy bull, but rather an excellent opportunity for trap trading and market dumps.
1. Core judgment: 2026 will be a institution-driven structural bull market, with funds only recognizing blue-chip coins like Bitcoin and Ethereum. A broad-based rally led by retail investors is unlikely.
2. Rhythm projection: Federal Reserve rate cuts + policy benefits + ETF capital inflows will likely cause a wave of Bitcoin price increases. (It's unlikely to dump at the start of the year, as that would hin

#加密行情预测 $ETH ‌
Ethereum Market Analysis (Short Squeeze Induction and Risk Warning) and Exit Point Report
1. Core Market Judgment
Currently, Ethereum (ETH) exhibits characteristics of “weak rebound + long-short struggle.” After surging to around $3100 at the beginning of 2026, it fell into a USD consolidation range due to factors such as whale sell-offs and technical suppression. This is essentially a technical correction after a decline rather than a trend reversal, with significant short squeeze induction risks. Although macroeconomic easing expectations and increased ecological staking volu

#加密行情预测 $ETH Fake Breakouts in Double Bottoms: The Main Players' "Smoke Screen" Trick, 90% of Retail Investors Are Falling Into the Trap!
In 2025, the double bottom will decline by over 12% throughout the year. Now, it is repeatedly testing the 3050 level. What seems to be a breakout to "break the deadlock" is actually hiding a false breakout trap! The favorite tactic of the main players is: pushing through a key resistance level to lure you into a long position, then reversing and smashing the order when retail investors rush in, trapping them at high levels and directly harvesting.
To ident

#加密行情预测
False breakout! Fake bull market!
Don't chase the highs! Fans who ignore my advice are stuck at the top. Unless they initiate a second round of trap trading, you'll be uncomfortable for several days. The dumping phase is also approaching. Be cautious of risks. Experts never lack this wave opportunity; surviving is the key...
(Follow me for precise entry points)
$ETH ‌$BTC ‌

#加密行情预测 $ETH Fake Bull Market Crash Warning！！！！！！
The so-called “bull breakout” is completely illusory in the face of a 200-point monthly increase. The core logic of a bull market is synchronized growth in volume and price along with fundamental resonance, but the current slight increase lacks trading volume support and is detached from the effective backing of macroeconomic fundamentals. It completely does not conform to the upward pattern of “big rise and small fall” and sector rotation characteristics.
This narrow fluctuation is essentially a typical false breakout—appearing to break throug

$ETH Fake Bull Market！（Several days ago, multiple updates already reminded everyone that a bullish trap was coming. Before the risk arrives, traders can take profits and exit their long positions.)
History does not simply repeat itself, but it often bears a striking resemblance. The “bull trap” in the cryptocurrency market often begins with a false breakout and ends with trapped traders chasing the high. Currently, ETH’s price action has met the three main conditions indicating the end of a bullish trap: divergence between volume and price, reversal signals in technical analysis, and the quie

Don't believe in the four-year cycle!
The recent rise of Bitcoin and Ethereum is a false breakout, and caution is needed for a pullback risk.
Recently, Bitcoin has been testing around $89,000, and Ethereum has been attempting to break the $3,000 level. These movements are essentially false breakouts. Both assets lack core support: Bitcoin repeatedly tested the $90,000 resistance level without success, quickly falling back to the $87,000 range after rebounds, without forming an effective stabilization; Ethereum has attempted to break the $3,000 key level multiple times, but trading volume has a

#加密行情预测 - $ETH Current situation: By January 2026, the market will stabilize above $2900, with short-term fluctuations between $2900 and $3000. It briefly broke through the $3000 level before pulling back.
- Short-term forecast: Likely to maintain consolidation, with support around $2880-$2900 and resistance at $3000-$3060. There is a possibility of a pullback to around $2950.
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Personal opinion: This is a bait rally, beware of risks, and be prepared for sudden sell-offs.

Bitcoin Reversal Countdown: Triple Negative Resonance, Bear Market Is on the Way!
Currently hovering around $87,000 with narrow fluctuations, this is not a rebound gathering strength but the final trap before the bear market begins! Those who mistakenly believe that sideways trading is a “low-risk entry window” completely ignore the market’s early warning signs of a crash—this reversal wave will only end with a downward break!
The core negative factors have already resonated: technical fundamentals have completely collapsed. Bitcoin has broken below the 365-day moving average for the first tim

As of 12.31 8:00 PM: ETH short-term oscillation leaning bullish, intra-day first watch 2920-3030 range, break above to 3060-3080, break below to 2880-2900; 1-2 weeks leaning bullish probability 65%, target 3050-3100, stop loss 2880. The following are quantitative and key basis.
1. Instant price and range (12-31 20:00)
- Current price approximately 2970 USD, 24h volatility ±2%, mainly oscillating.
- Core range: support 2925-2930, 2880-2900; resistance 3030-3035, 3060-3080.
2. Probabilities and key scenarios (quantitative)
1. Intra-day (before 12-31 close)
- Range oscillation (55%): back and for

Bitcoin remains under heavy selling pressure above 88,000, with both retail and institutional players offloading and fleeing. Currently, it's a trap for bullish traders. Once the liquidation is complete, there won't be many chips left above, while the chips below are accumulating more and more, which will accelerate the downward move. Be cautious of risks, and consider adding to short positions on rallies!