The Polymarket cryptocurrency sector has already become a pre-market. There are a total of 207 prediction events, of which 93 are related to project pre-market prices, TGE timing, and similar events, accounting for 45% of the total. The remaining events focus on price predictions of leading cryptocurrencies (BTC, ETH, etc.).

#数字资产动态追踪 📊Morning Market Analysis From the current chart, the 5-day moving average has crossed below the 10-day moving average, indicating that the bearish momentum is gradually increasing. The price is currently trading below all major moving averages, forming a typical bearish alignment. It is also below the middle band of the Bollinger Bands, approaching the support level of the lower band. After confirming the double top pattern, the price has started to decline, with significant selling pressure above. Regarding MACD, the DIF line has crossed below the DEA line, producing a death cross, and the histogram bars have turned green, indicating that short-term momentum is weakening. As for volume, it shows a typical pattern of "increasing during declines and decreasing during rebounds." The bulls lack the willingness to absorb selling, so the rebound's sustainability is limited. 💡Key Price Level Reference: For $BTC, the 88000-88800 zone faces quite a strong resistance. If the price cannot break through this area, the selling pressure above may push the price to test the support zone at 86800-85600. For $ETH, the short-term resistance is at 2985-3010. If the rebound faces resistance here, it is highly likely to move towards 2940-2900 for confirmation.

#数字资产动态追踪 The digital asset market in 2026 is迎来 a critical turning point. A recent heavyweight research report指出，the coming year will mark a historic shift in crypto assets from retail-driven to institution-led. **Bull Market Framework Rewrite** The widely discussed "four-year cycle" theory may need to be re-evaluated. The logic of the 2026 trend has already changed—not just a simple cycle repetition, but structural acceleration. On a macro level, the pressure of USD depreciation and the demand for alternative value storage are pushing asset prices higher. From a regulatory perspective, moving from chaos to clarity will open the doors for institutions. Currently, the total market cap of all crypto assets has already reached the $3 trillion level, which is the size of a mid-cap alternative asset. **Bitcoin's Certainty** $BTC is very likely to hit new highs in the first half of the year, not just breaking previous highs. The supporting forces come from two aspects: first, the scarcity story on the supply side— the 20 millionth Bitcoin is expected to be mined in March 2026, and this milestone will reinforce the scarcity narrative; second, large-scale inflows of institutional capital, with various ETF products becoming channels for traditional wealth to enter crypto. **Six Major Sectors Rise Together** The overall market tone is bullish. The Fed's rate cut cycle will continue to support risk assets, and the crypto sector, as part of risk assets, will naturally benefit. The probability of bipartisan cooperation in the US to introduce a crypto market structure bill is rising, which means the door to on-chain issuance and traditional financial integration is opening. **Top Ten Themes in Detail** **1. Currency Substitution** The depreciation pressure on the dollar has increased the attractiveness of alternative assets. Assets like $BTC, $ETH, ZEC are becoming hedging tools. **2. Regulatory Certainty** This may be the most important variable. Clear rules benefit almost all crypto assets, especially those projects that can obtain regulatory approval. **3. Stablecoin Explosion** Stablecoins are no longer fringe products. Public chains like $ETH, $TRX, $BNB, $SOL, $LINK are competing for a share of the stablecoin ecosystem. This is an incremental market. **4. Asset Tokenization Takeoff** Real-world assets are being tokenized on-chain from concept to reality. $LINK, $ETH, $SOL, $AVAX, $BNB will be the infrastructure beneficiaries of this wave, with an expected growth of 1000 times by 2030. **5. Rising Privacy Needs** Against the backdrop of increasing data leaks and surveillance, privacy solutions are becoming necessities rather than optional. Projects like ZEC, AZTEC, RAIL have new narratives. **6. AI + Blockchain Fusion** The risks of centralized AI are being exposed; distributed AI needs blockchain. $TAO, IP, $NEAR, WORLD represent this direction. **7. Accelerating DeFi Lending** Traditional financial lending regulations are boosting on-chain lending demand. Protocols like $AAVE, MORPHO, MAPLE, $UNI will benefit from this influx of capital. **8. Next-Generation Infrastructure** New generation public chains like $SUI, MON, $NEAR, MEGA are starting to prove themselves, and the market is allocating weight to them. **9. Sustainable Income is King** Institutional investors dislike volatility and prefer stable cash flows. Staking income models of $SOL, $ETH, $BNB, $TRX have become core selling points. **10. Staking Becomes Standard** From optional to mandatory, assets like $LDO, JTO related to staking now have new valuation logic. **Entry Barriers Rise** One side effect of institutional adoption is the increase in entry barriers. Projects no longer rely solely on teams and marketing; they must have: clear regulatory status, sustainable revenue models, and real application scenarios. This will weed out many vaporware projects but is a boon for those truly doing work. Supported by the Fed, the bipartisan regulatory framework, the 1000x growth potential of asset tokenization, and large-scale institutional wealth inflows—when these factors stack up by 2026, the landscape of the digital asset market will be completely different from the past.