According to Citi's recent investment report, analyst Beata Manthey indicated the firm's proprietary Bear Market Checklist has lit up 10 of 18 global indicators, marking the highest reading since the 2008 financial crisis. The U.S. stock market shows heightened risk at 11.5 on the checklist, while European markets remain relatively stable at 5 indicators.
Citi cautioned that once the warning signals enter double digits, risk trends typically accelerate. The report noted that at current levels, stocks have not reached critical meltdown thresholds—the 2000 dot-com peak saw 17.5 signals and 2008 saw 13—but warned that further deterioration would signal investors should avoid blind "buy-the-dip" strategies if a market correction occurs.