From 18:00 to 19:00 UTC on July 7, 2026, ETH/USDT fell 0.36% during the period, with a price range of 1802.67 to 1810.44 USDT and an amplitude of 0.43%. After a rapid rebound in early July, the market experienced a technical pullback, with selling pressure relatively concentrated and overall sentiment leaning toward wait-and-see.
The main driver of this abnormal movement is the need for a technical pullback. After its rapid rebound in early July, ETH encountered technical resistance, triggering short-term profit-taking behavior, which aligns with the common "retrace after rebound" pattern in crypto markets. Meanwhile, according to Glassnode data, the number of active ETH addresses has fallen from a February peak of approximately 795,000 to around 420,000 in June, a decline of 46%. The continued contraction in network usage directly weakened ETH's fundamental demand support.
In addition, institutional capital outflow pressure and on-chain liquidity contraction have formed a resonance. Although the outflow trend of Spot Ethereum ETFs has slowed, it has not yet formed a sustained net inflow. End-of-quarter fund behavior has put periodic pressure on prices. On-chain data shows large transfer activity down 86%, open interest has been compressed from over $17 billion to about $10 billion, and market depth is deteriorating, amplifying price volatility. Although whale addresses increased at the end of June, historical data shows this signal is not a reliable buying indicator.
The current price is trading in the range of $1,500 to $1,753, near the lower boundary. If the daily closing price effectively breaks below $1,500, it will expose downside space to the $1,200 region, a drop of approximately 20%. Users need to closely monitor the effectiveness of key support levels, ETF fund flow changes, and on-chain activity indicators, and be alert to the risk of a technical breakdown.