North Carolina Adopts 6% Tax on Prediction Markets Starting Jan 1, 2027, Recognizes CFTC Authority

KALSHI-3.16%
According to Bitcoin.com, North Carolina signed a budget bill on July 10 that will impose a 6% tax on prediction market net trading revenue starting January 1, 2027. Notably, the state will not require platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket to obtain state licenses, effectively recognizing CFTC federal regulatory jurisdiction over event contracts. The state raised sports betting tax to 23% during the same period. North Carolina becomes the first state to formally acknowledge CFTC-registered prediction markets as legitimate while refusing state-level licensing requirements. Other states have taken different approaches: Kentucky imposed a 14.25% consumer tax on prediction markets, while Illinois incorporated them into sports betting regulations, both leading to ongoing litigation. Federal courts remain split on the issue, with Kalshi prevailing in some states but losing in others. The CFTC has sued at least nine states to defend its jurisdiction, and legal experts expect the dispute to reach the U.S. Supreme Court.
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