Polymarket's 'Strategy Bitcoin Sell' Market Reverses to 51% 'Yes' After $20M Trading on May 31 Disclosure

BTC-2.6%
According to PolyBeats, Polymarket's prediction market on whether Strategy will sell Bitcoin before May 31 saw dramatic reversal after Strategy disclosed selling 32 BTC last week. The probability of 'yes' surged to 85% from initial 'no' settlement expectations, currently settling at 51%, with dispute over timing: the 'yes' side argues the sale is confirmed, while the 'no' side contends the announcement came after May 31 and should not count. The market has exceeded $20 million in volume. Polymarket stated it will release a clarification statement at 1 p.m. EDT on June 1 (1 a.m. Beijing time) if needed; if no statement is published, no further clarification will be issued. Order book clearance is scheduled for 1 p.m. EDT regardless.
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