TeacherAbu

Among my followers, there are several alt accounts from peers. These days I've seen some square bloggers criticizing me for the "see 2000" thing. I've been saying bearish since 2400, why don't you mention that? My record of being bullish from 1500-1600 and taking profit at 1840, why don't you mention that? You were bearish yesterday from 1740, and now it's only dropped 100 points; what's there to be proud of? Including followers, with so many winning streaks before, don't say you didn't dare to open trades (just scroll through my posts). Recently I lost a few trades and you opened them? (I told you to short at hype76 and take profit at 62, you didn't open? Long at 1738-1751, stopped out at 1723, you opened and held until now?)
In my previous posts, I said for two months that 2000 is the target; if it doesn't reach, I'll quit the circle. No big deal, bro, there's another guy with 20k followers and a community of 10k people.

To understand this super IPO of SpaceX, you first need to recognize its shareholding structure. Currently, only 4.25% of the total shares are publicly tradable, which is also the main reason why the stock price surged wildly on the first day due to the extreme scarcity of tradable shares—buying demand far exceeds the available market supply.
Key time points are clearly visible: options will officially open next Tuesday.
The extremely low circulating shares are likely to trigger gamma squeezing, leading to short-term trading and further amplified volatility; on July 6th, after 15 trading days since listing, the company is expected to be included in the Nasdaq 100 index, forcing various passive funds to buy in, which will trigger a wave of passive buying; after the Q2 earnings report on August, early investors and employees can unlock 20% of their shares, with additional releases of 7% in batches; after the Q3 earnings report in November, another 28% will be unlocked; by mid-December, after 180 days since listing (excluding Musk himself who is locked for a year), almost all other shares will be unlocked.
Among these, the August unlocking window is the riskiest point. Early investors have already gained returns of dozens or even hundreds of times, and their strong desire to cash out after unlocking will inevitably cause significant selling pressure.
From my trading perspective, I plan to start shorting in stages before SpaceX is included in the index on July 6th, by buying put options with strike prices near 200-250, controlling total position size at 5%, holding until the end of the year, and gradually building positions.
Currently, SpaceX is operating at a loss but has a market value in the trillions, entirely supported by market sentiment and faith, with obvious bubble characteristics.
Referring to historical patterns, the median maximum drawdown in the first year of super IPOs can reach as high as 53%. Meta dropped 31% after listing, Uber and Robinhood even plummeted 80%. The more story-driven the stock, the more extreme the short-term sentiment tends to be.
Investors who get allocated new shares can consider exiting after the stock peaks, and avoid blindly chasing highs in the secondary market at the emotional peak. #SpaceX

I predicted this way ahead of time—ever since 1600, I’ve been telling everyone to go long (you can scroll back and check my posts). Those who listened have already started to get meat.
Read this analysis a bit more—if you’re worried you won’t be able to see it because you haven’t subscribed, don’t worry. I intentionally left a special note in the comments so everyone can go long. This rebound has just started. During the pullback, find a better entry point and go in more.
I strongly advise everyone to blacklist the bloggers who are still letting you go short right now!!!