Polymarket: U.S. intelligence assessment states that the Iranian leadership is largely intact, with no short-term collapse risk

Gate News reports that on March 12, the prediction market platform Polymarket posted on X stating that U.S. intelligence assessments indicate that the Iranian leadership remains “largely intact” and there is no imminent risk of collapse in the short term. According to data from the Polymarket platform, the market’s predicted probability of the Iranian regime collapsing before June 30 is 24%.

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