Prediction Market

The team behind the P2P.me decentralized trading platform disclosed that it opened positions on the Polymarket prediction market related to its recent capital raise. The team opened the positions 10 days before the raise went live, wagering whether the project would hit its $6 million fundraising t

In brief ICE has invested another $600 million into Polymarket, fulfilling its commitment made in October. Rival Kalshi recently raised $1 billion at a $22 billion valuation, outpacing Polymarket's current valuation. Prediction markets face mounting regulatory pressure, with lawmakers

BlockBeats news, on March 28, U.S. Secretary of State Rubio: We can achieve our goals in Iran without deploying any ground troops. We have exchanged information with the Iranian side and received hints that they are willing to negotiate on certain issues. According to monitoring by PolyBeats, the current probability of U.S. ground troops entering Iran by the end of the month on the prediction market Polymarket is 18%, and the probability of entering Iran by the end of April is 61%.

In brief California public officials are banned via executive order from using inside information to make money on prediction markets. The ban extends to state officials and appointees using information to help others from profiting, as well. The order follows continued scrutiny from

The P2P Protocol team responded to the FUD raised by large predictions related to the "P2PTeam" account, stating that they do not confirm whether it is associated with the team. The team pointed out that using $20,000 for predictions is not market manipulation, but rather an early belief bet. The IC0 of MetaDAO has launched, with a fundraising goal of $6 million, and it has currently reached $5.3 million.

ICE's increased investment in Polymarket signals strong institutional confidence in prediction markets, despite regulatory scrutiny. The $600 million funding adds to ICE's previous commitments, indicating a belief in the sector’s long-term potential amidst rising market activity and the need for oversight.

The Intercontinental Exchange has invested $600 million in Polymarket, increasing its total investment to $2 billion. This investment highlights the growing recognition of prediction markets in institutional settings, especially amid competition from Kalshi.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE), the parent of the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE), said Friday it completed a new $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, deepening its bet on prediction markets as a new area of growth for exchange operators. The company also said it expects to

Iranian Parliament Speaker Ghalibaf strongly criticized the status of U.S. troops in the Middle East, stating that the U.S. is unable to protect its own soldiers, implying its threats against Iran are ineffective. Meanwhile, the Iranian Foreign Minister accused the U.S. military of using civilians as "human shields" and called for a boycott of U.S. military booking. The U.S. Department of Defense is considering increasing ground troops to respond to potential changes in the situation.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) announced a cash investment of $600 million in the prediction market Polymarket and plans to acquire $40 million worth of securities from existing shareholders. ICE had previously invested $1 billion in Polymarket, bringing the total to $1.6 billion, demonstrating confidence in the potential of prediction markets. This investment is not expected to significantly impact ICE's financial performance.

Intercontinental Exchange (ICE) has invested an additional $600 million in prediction market platform Polymarket, bringing its total commitment to nearly $2 billion. The investment underscores growing interest in event-based trading, despite regulatory concerns.

The parent company of the New York Stock Exchange, Intercontinental Exchange, announced a $600 million investment in Polymarket, the world's largest prediction market platform, which is a concrete implementation of its $2 billion plan from last year. The partnership between ICE and Polymarket will start in 2025 and will promote the institutionalization of prediction markets; however, the U.S. Congress is also concerned about related regulatory issues.

BlockBeats news, on March 27, according to The Wall Street Journal, Intercontinental Exchange, Inc. (NYSE: ICE) announced that, as part of the previously arranged investment with Polymarket, ICE has completed a $600 million direct cash investment in Polymarket, which is part of Polymarket's equity financing. ICE also expects to purchase up to $40 million of Polymarket equity from some existing shareholders.

According to a report by Bloomberg, the Intercontinental Exchange has invested $600 million in the prediction market platform Polymarket.

Gate News reports that on March 27, data from the Polymarket platform shows that the probability of Bitcoin falling below $65,000 in March has risen to 67%, with a trading volume of approximately $8.24 million; the probability of Ethereum falling below $1,800 in March is 21%, with a trading volume of approximately $1.48 million. The time frame for the relevant contracts is from March 1, 13:00 Beijing time to April 1, 11:59.

The U.S. Senate has introduced the "Financial Prediction Markets Public Integrity Act," aimed at stopping government officials from trading event contracts using non-public information. The bill covers multiple officials, with violators facing severe economic penalties and transparency requirements. This legislation reflects the rising demand for regulation of prediction markets, signaling that they will become mainstream financial instruments.

The prediction market is heating up, with the total trading volume in the latest week reaching $6.41 billion, a month-over-month increase of over 11%. Kalshi and Polymarket have become the market leaders with transaction volumes of $3 billion and $2.5 billion, respectively. The two have formed a "dual-track parallel" development due to their differentiated positioning in compliance and blockchain architecture. Overall activity levels show divergence, reflecting the sensitivity of the prediction market to external events. Future growth will depend on product innovation and regulatory clarity, which could become a bridge between traditional finance and blockchain.

Israeli Air Force reservists are accused of using confidential information to trade on Polymarket in order to profit from the war between Israel and Iran that began last year. The two men have been charged with serious security offenses, bribery, and obstruction of justice. They had previously successfully predicted specific military operations and earned $162,663 in profits. Details of the case have been partially disclosed, but the defendants’ names have not yet been made public.

On the Polymarket platform, one wallet bet $200,000 that the United States would not invade Iran before March 31, despite the current market price falling. Iranian officials say there are no specific arrangements for negotiations, while Trump says negotiations with Iran are nearing substantive progress.

An Israeli Air Force reservist major allegedly used confidential information to trade on Polymarket, involving last year’s war between Israel and Iran. He and an accomplice were charged with serious offenses and made $162,663 in profits. Case details became public after some court gag orders were lifted, but the defendants’ names were not disclosed.