You only need a win rate of 54%!!!

At Dartmouth College in 2024, Federer said something that shocked the entire audience:

"In my entire career, my win rate is only 54%."

He has won 20 Grand Slams, becoming one of the most successful, consistent, and wealthiest athletes in the history of tennis.

But his secret is not perfection,

Instead: the ability to tolerate failure.

People always think that top performers win more because they almost never make mistakes.

But the truth is, they just win a little more than others and then persist a little longer.

1. 54% Philosophy

AlphaGo followed the same logic when it defeated world champion Ke Jie.

Its win rate for each move only aims to be slightly higher than 51%.

Imperfect, yet stable.

This is the way of intelligent thinking:

It does not pursue the beautiful step, only the overall optimal.

However, our problem is exactly the opposite.

We want to win at every step.

I want to make my romantic relationship perfect, achieve the utmost in my career, and ensure that every choice I make is "correct."

The result is - being dragged down by perfectionism and being kidnapped by fear.

The casino understands this.

As long as it controls the odds well, even if it only wins 1%,

After an infinite number of trials, it will never lose.

2. The Algorithm of Life: Iteration × Winning Rate

Many people lose in an illusion—

They think success relies on a single "hit,"

But real experts rely on iteration.

You don't have to win every time you start a business,

As long as the failure rate can be kept below 49%;

You don't have to be happy every time you fall in love,

As long as bad relationships do not exceed half;

You don't have to make every decision perfect,

As long as we can maintain a little bit of correctness -

That little bit is the compound interest of life.

Don't underestimate this 4%.
In the world of compound interest, it will be magnified into a miracle by time.

Persistence is not a matter of willpower,
But it's a matter of sample size.

The more you try and the more samples you have, the system will naturally find the patterns.

Most of life's problems do not lie in the number of failures, but in the speed at which you stop iterating.

Emotions are the same.
You can't expect every relationship to be sweet, and every partner to understand you.

But you can make yourself recover faster, summarize more, and update iteratively.

Finally:
You don't need a 90% win rate in your life.

No perfect plan is needed, nor is a one-time decision necessary.

You only need 54%.

Just be a little better than yesterday and a little more awake than the last time.
Choose the right direction and then iterate quickly.